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Japan's GDP missed expectations and declined for the first time in a year. In the US, UoM consumer sentiment and inflation expectations are expected to rise in May.

16-05-2025 10:30 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

New Zealand dollar jumps as inflation expectations hits 1-year high

The New Zealand dollar has posted strong gains as inflation expectations rose to 1-year high. US consumer sentiment and inflation expectations are expected to accelerate.

16-05-2025 09:20 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

New Zealand dollar extends losses, inflation expectations expected to rise

The New Zealand dollar continues to lose ground. The Reserve Bank and the markets are keeping a close eye on inflation expectations, which is expected to rise to 2.4%. In the US, retail sales posted a negligible gain of 0.1% and PPI declined.

15-05-2025 14:10 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

UK GDP stronger than expected, US retail sales post small gain,pound posts gains

The British economy grew by 0.7% q/q in the first quarter, better than the market estimate. In the US, retail sales posted a weak gain of 0.1% while PPI declined.

15-05-2025 13:10 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Australia employment soars, Australian dollar calm

Australia's employment soared by 89 thousand, blowing past expectations. Despite the strong jobs numbers, the RBA is widely expected to lower rates by a quarter-point next week.

15-05-2025 10:20 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Australian dollar loses ground, jobs report next

The Australian dollar has declined after massive gains a day earlier. Australia's wage growth improved to 0.9%, higher than expected. Australia's employment change is expected to ease on Wednesday.

14-05-2025 15:50 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Yen posts sharp gains as PPI hit 4 percent

The yen has surged about 1% today after PPI rose by 4% in April. The Fed remains in a wait-and-see stance after US inflation rose slightly but was lower than expected.

14-05-2025 12:50 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Australian dollar climbs on higher consumer confidence and soft US inflation

The Australia dollar has gained close to 1% today. Australia's consumer confidence rebounded in May with a gain 2.2%. In the US, core and headline inflation rose in April was softer than expected.

13-05-2025 13:30 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

UK labor market cools, US CPI next, Pound steady

The UK employment report indicated that job growth and wages declined, while the unemployment rate climbed. In the US, inflation is expected to rise in April.

13-05-2025 09:45 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Pound slides to one-month low as US-China deal boosts US dollar

The British pound is sharply lower on Monday, as the US-China tariff deal has boosted the US dollar. The UK releases the employment report tomorrow, with job growth expected to fall and the unemployment rate projected to rise.

12-05-2025 15:45 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Japanese yen tumbles to five-week low on US-China tariff deal

The safe-haven yen is down almost 2% on Monday, after the US and China reached a deal to slash tariffs for 90 days and continues talks. Japan's household spending and wage growth fell in March, supporting the case for the BoJ to maintain interest rates.

12-05-2025 12:10 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

ImportExport_Cases_Import_Export_Tariffs

Markets Weekly Outlook - US-China trade talks & global economic data

This week's market outlook focuses on US-China trade talks, analyzing their potential impact on global markets. Key topics include US Dollar trends, gold and oil price movements, and upcoming economic data releases in Asia, Europe, and the US. The report also examines the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates and anticipated inflation figures amidst tariff uncertainty, providing insights into market sentiment and potential trading opportunities.

09-05-2025 15:30 GMT by Zain Vawda

Canadian dollar shrugs after mixed employment numbers

Canada's employment report was a mix. The economy added 7.4 thousand jobs but the unemployment rate jumped to 6.9% from 6.7% and was higher than expected. There are a host of Fed members speaking on Friday and Saturday and the markets willl be looking for some insights as far as future rate policy.

09-05-2025 14:00 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Bank of England lowers rates, UK-US Trade Deal, Pound Rises

The BoE lowered rates by a quarter-point to 4.25%, the second rate cut in 2025. The UK and US announced a trade deal XX. In the US, the Federal Reserve held rates and Fed Chair Powell warned that tariffs could lead to stagflation.

08-05-2025 14:10 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Japanese yen extends losses, wage growth expected to fall

The yen continues to lose ground against the US dollar. The Federal Reserve held rates on Wednesday and Fed Chair Powell pushed back against Donald Trump's calls for lowering rates. Powell said the tariffs could lead to stagflation and the Fed would remain cautious before making any cuts. Japan released the minutes of the BoJ March meeting, with members concerned about the impact of US tariffs on Japan's economy.

08-05-2025 08:25 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Yen rally ends, markets eye Fed rate decision and BoJ minutes

The Bank of Japan releases the minutes of its March meeting on Thursday. Later today, the Fed makes its rate announcement, which is likely to be a hold on rates.

07-05-2025 10:50 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

New Zealand unemployment rate lower than expected, Kiwi declines

New Zealand's unemployment rate remained at 5.1% in Q1, lower than the forecast of 5.3%. Wage growth eased to 0.4% from 0.6% and employment change rose 0.1%. The data supports further rate cuts from the RBNZ. In the US, the Fed is virtually certain to holds rates at today's FOMC meeting.

07-05-2025 09:25 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Euro edges upwards as Services PMIs inch higher

Eurozone and German Services PMIs are showing stagnation, as business activity remains weak due to the difficult economic conditions and concerns over US tariffs. The Federal Reserve is widely expected to maintains rates on Wednesday.

06-05-2025 15:30 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

New Zealand dollar steady ahead of employment data

New Zealand releases the Q1 employment report on Wednesday. The unemployment rate is expected to rise to 5.3% from 5.1%, which would be the highest level in over 8 years. The Federal Reserve is widely expected to maintain interest rates on Wednesday.

06-05-2025 10:20 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Swiss franc climbs as Swiss inflation flat

The Swiss franc continues to climb, which could lead the SNB to intervene in order to keep Swiss exports competitive. Swiss inflation fell to zero from 0.3%. In the US, the ISM Services PMI improved slightly to 51.6 from 50.6. US nonfarm payrolls dropped slightly to 177 thousand, above the forecast of 130 thousand.

05-05-2025 15:40 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

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