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Canadian dollar steady ahead of inflation report
Canada releases the May inflation report later today, with the BoC hoping to gain some clarity about the inflation picture. Oil prices are down today and AUD/USD and NZD/USD are sharply higher, as risk appetite has risen following a ceasefire between Israel and Iran.
by Kenneth Fisher
Yen slides on oil supply jitters after US attack on Iran
The Japanese yen is sharply lower on Monday, as oil prices continue to rise. The US attack on Iran on the weekend has raised concerns about global oil supplies and the yen has been under strong downward pressure since the Israel-Iran war started on June 13. Japan's core CPI rose to 3.7%, its highest level since Jan. 2023.
by Kenneth Fisher
Pound Steady as BoE holds rates
The Federal Reserve and Bank of England have both maintained interest rates in decisions that were widely expected. Both central banks are finding it difficult to lower rates, with inflation above the 2% target.
by Kenneth Fisher
Updated: FOMC Rate Decision, Powell coming up - SEP Outlook
Markets await the FOMC Rate Decision at 2:00 P.M. ET, with no change expected. The real focus is on the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), which could shift sentiment. Stay tuned for live updates. FED Chair Powell's press conference begins at 2:30 P.M.—key for market direction.
by Elior Manier
Pound recovers as UK CPI edges lower
UK inflation eased to 3.4% from 3.5% and matched expectations. The inflation report won't change minds at the BoE, which is widely expected to hold rates on Thursday. In the US, retail sales fell -0.9% as US consumers are holding back due to worries about the economy.
by Kenneth Fisher
Dow Jones Recovers 400 Points from Lows, Downside Risks Remain
The Dow Jones recovers 400 points after a dip due to Middle East tensions. Israel's attacks on Iran and US responses create market uncertainty. Airline stocks fall, defense stocks rise. Potential for weekend market gaps due to the fluid geopolitical situation. Technical analysis shows key support and resistance levels for the Dow Jones Index. President Trump comments on the situation, further impacting market sentiment. Volatility is expected.
by Zain Vawda
CPI Misses, Everything (But the Dollar) Rallies–Market Reactions
US CPI data came in weaker than expected, with Core CPI rising just 0.1% m/m vs 0.3% forecast. This eased inflation pressure despite last week's strong NFP beat. Markets rallying as falling inflation alongside solid job growth reduces stagflation fears and strengthens the case for a soft landing.
by Elior Manier
Markets weekly outlook - US Inflation on Deck as Trade Uncertainty Lingers
This weekly outlook covers the latest market trends, including a review of US jobs data and its impact on Wall Street. It analyzes trade uncertainties, the US-China relationship, and fund flows across different regions. The report also looks ahead to key economic data releases, focusing on US and Chinese inflation figures, and examines the US Dollar Index's performance and key levels.
by Zain Vawda
US Services PMI dipping into Contraction - Equities continue to reject Highs
US Services PMI dropped to 49.9 vs 52 expected, marking a sharp contraction in key components like orders and employment. Prices surged at the fastest pace since Nov 2022. Markets reversed gains from earlier ADP data, signaling growing concerns over tariffs and weakening economic momentum. USDCAD and USDJPY Intra-day Chart analysis
by Elior Manier
Markets Rattle as ADP Report Sends Stocks and USD Lower
US Employment data is sending mixed signals as ADP Private Employment rose by just 37K vs 115K expected—its weakest print in 2 years. The slowdown highlights the strain of high interest rates on private hiring, raising concerns ahead of Friday’s key NFP release. Equity markets are seesawing ahead of the Services PMI release at 10:00.
by Elior Manier
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