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US Inflation and the Dollar Index (DXY) : A Pre-CPI Analysis
The upcoming US CPI data release on December 11th is a key event for markets, as it could influence the Fed's decision on interest rates at its December 18th meeting. While a rate cut is widely expected, a higher-than-forecast CPI print could raise questions about the Fed's path forward. The US Dollar has strengthened recently, partly due to positive economic data and a risk-off sentiment in markets. Can the Dollar continue its rise? Most Read: Gold (XAU/USD) Eyes $2,700 as Fed Rate Cut Looms,
by Zain Vawda
German inflation rises, euro edges higher
The euro is slightly higher on Tuesday. In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0528, down 0.23% at the time of writing. German inflation climbs to 2.2% Germany, the largest economy in the eurozone, remains a shadow of what was once the undisputed locomotive of Europe.
by Kenneth Fisher
AUD/USD rises after RBA holds rates
The Australian dollar continues to show strong movement and is down sharply on Tuesday. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6400, down 0.61% at the time of writing. RBA maintains cash rate There was no surprise as the Reserve Bank of Australia stayed on the sidelines and maintained the cash rate at 4.35%.
by Kenneth Fisher
Gold (XAU/USD) Eyes $2,700 as Fed Rate Cut Looms, Geopolitics in Focus
Gold prices are being supported by a shift in Chinese monetary policy, and geopolitical developments. China has resumed gold purchases after a six-month pause. From a technical perspective, gold is currently caught between support at $2650 and resistance at $2700. A break above $2700 could signal further upside potential.
by Zain Vawda
Japanese GDP revised upwards, US NFPs jump
The Japanese yen has edged lower on Monday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 150.42, up 0.26% on the day. Japan's GDP revised upwards in Q3 Japan's economy expanded in the third quarter by 0.3% q/q, according to the final estimate.
by Kenneth Fisher
Markets Weekly Outlook - Central Bank Focus as US Inflation Looms
US Jobs report all but confirms a December rate cut, with markets pricing in an 80% probability. Nasdaq nears 22,000 as US equities continue their strong performance, with the S&P 500 also hitting record highs. Global markets await US CPI and ECB decisions, with expectations of a 25 bps rate cut from the ECB. Focus for the week ahead includes US CPI, ECB decision, and Chinese inflation data. Read More: EUR/USD: Additional accommodative monetary policy guidance from the ECB may be forthcoming We
by Zain Vawda
USD/CAD steady ahead of Can. job growth, US NFP
The Canadian dollar is showing small gains on Friday.  In the European session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.4041, up 0.12% at the time of writing. Canada's job growth expected to climb Canada releases job growth for November later today. The market estimate stands at 25 thousand, compared to 14.5 thousand in October. The modest growth in job creation has not kept pace with the labor force, which has rapidly expanded as a result of high immigration to Canada.
by Kenneth Fisher
Euro rally ends, Eurozone GDP expected to accelerate
The euro is steady on Friday after jumping 0.7%  a day earlier. In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0581, down 0.06% at the time of writing. The eurozone wraps up the week with the GDP and job growth reports and the market is expecting an improvement.  Third-quarter GDP is expected to improve to 0.4% q/q from o.2% in the second quarter.
by Kenneth Fisher
EUR/USD: Additional accommodative monetary policy guidance from the ECB may be forthcoming
Pronounced weakness in manufacturing activities in Germany may spread to the broader Eurozone. ECB may be forced to remove its “restrictive monetary policy” forward guidance next Thursday and evolve into a “recession fighting” move. The medium-term downtrend of EUR/USD remains intact but a mean reversion corrective rebound may occur first below 1.0770 key medium-term resistance.
by Kelvin Wong
US Jobs Report Preview: Implications for DXY and Gold (XAU/USD)
US jobs report (NFP) is highly anticipated, with market expectations for a 200k payroll figure. The unemployment rate is also a key focus, with a potential slight uptick to 4.2%. A print in line with expectations could lead to short-lived US Dollar reactions. Gold prices are currently range-bound between $2600-$2660, with the 2655-2660 zone being a key resistance area. Goldman analyst forecasts and impacts of the NFP report.
by Zain Vawda
British pound rises as UK Construction PMI jumps
The British pound has extended its gains for a third straight trading day. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2757, up 0.45% on the day. British UK Construction PMI accelerates in November The UK Construction sector rose to 55.2 in November, up from 54.3 in October and above the market estimate of 53.4.
by Kenneth Fisher
Euro steady as France’s government collapses
The euro has been drifting most of this week and remains steady on Thursday. In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0533, up 0.22% at the time of writing. France in political chaos as government collapses France’s coalition government has collapsed after a no-confidence vote against the government passed on Wednesday.
by Kenneth Fisher
EUR/USD Hugs 1.0500 Ahead of French No-Confidence Vote, Breakout Incoming?
EUR/USD hovers near 1.0500 as traders await the outcome of the French no-confidence vote. ECB policymakers suggest a 25 bps rate cut is likely in December. Technical analysis indicates key support and resistance levels for EUR/USD. Most Read: USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Is a Short-Term Pullback Imminent Despite USD/JPYs Slide? The 1.0500 continues to serve as a magnet for EUR/USD with the pair moving higher or lower for brief periods before finding its way back to the psychological level. It ap
by Zain Vawda
Euro shrugs after eurozone services PMI contracts
The euro is almost unchanged on Wednesday. In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0506, up 0.02% at the time of writing. Eurozone Services PMI falls into contraction in November The monthly eurozone Services PMI reports can be viewed as report cards for business activity and the news wasn’t good in November.
by Kenneth Fisher
USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Is a Short-Term Pullback Imminent Despite USD/JPYs Slide?
USD/JPY continues its decline, with a fresh low around 148.797. Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Ueda's hawkish rhetoric suggests a potential rate hike sooner than later. Technical analysis indicates a potential short-term pullback towards 150.00, despite the overall downward trend. Most Read: OPEC+ Meeting in Focus: Will Oil Production Cuts Continue Through March 2025? USD/JPY has continued its decline today having displayed some resilience with a brief pullback in part of the Asian and early Euro
by Zain Vawda
Australian dollar eyes GDP
The Australian dollar is drifting on Tuesday. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6461, down 0.20% on the day at the time of writing. Australia’s GDP expected to improve in Q3 Australia’s economy is expected to improve in the third quarter, with a market estimate of 0.4% q/q.
by Kenneth Fisher
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