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EUR/USD Hugs 1.0500 Ahead of French No-Confidence Vote, Breakout Incoming?
EUR/USD hovers near 1.0500 as traders await the outcome of the French no-confidence vote. ECB policymakers suggest a 25 bps rate cut is likely in December. Technical analysis indicates key support and resistance levels for EUR/USD. Most Read: USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Is a Short-Term Pullback Imminent Despite USD/JPYs Slide? The 1.0500 continues to serve as a magnet for EUR/USD with the pair moving higher or lower for brief periods before finding its way back to the psychological level. It ap
by Zain Vawda
Euro shrugs after eurozone services PMI contracts
The euro is almost unchanged on Wednesday. In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0506, up 0.02% at the time of writing. Eurozone Services PMI falls into contraction in November The monthly eurozone Services PMI reports can be viewed as report cards for business activity and the news wasn’t good in November.
by Kenneth Fisher
USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Is a Short-Term Pullback Imminent Despite USD/JPYs Slide?
USD/JPY continues its decline, with a fresh low around 148.797. Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Ueda's hawkish rhetoric suggests a potential rate hike sooner than later. Technical analysis indicates a potential short-term pullback towards 150.00, despite the overall downward trend. Most Read: OPEC+ Meeting in Focus: Will Oil Production Cuts Continue Through March 2025? USD/JPY has continued its decline today having displayed some resilience with a brief pullback in part of the Asian and early Euro
by Zain Vawda
Australian dollar eyes GDP
The Australian dollar is drifting on Tuesday. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6461, down 0.20% on the day at the time of writing. Australia’s GDP expected to improve in Q3 Australia’s economy is expected to improve in the third quarter, with a market estimate of 0.4% q/q.
by Kenneth Fisher
OPEC+ Meeting in Focus: Will Oil Production Cuts Continue Through March 2025?
Oil prices are currently stable, but OPEC+ is likely to extend oil output cuts into Q1 2025 due to weaker global demand. China's oil demand may have peaked due to a decline in transport fuel demand and the rise of electric vehicles. Upcoming API and EIA oil inventory data releases will provide insights into U.S. crude supply levels and influence oil prices. Most Read: DXY’s (US Dollar Index) Rise Amidst Trump’s BRICS Warning and French Uncertainty Oil prices are holding steady near the $72.35 s
by Zain Vawda
Swiss CPI declines in November
The Swiss franc has edged upwards on Tuesday. In the European session, USD/CHF is trading at 0.8846, down 0.21% on the day. Is Switzerland facing deflation?
by Kenneth Fisher
EUR/CHF: French’s political fiasco may trigger a major bearish breakdown
A no-confidence vote to remove French PM Barnier pushed out by the far-right National Rally party may topple the French government this week. A current political fiasco in France has triggered an increase in the credit risk premium on longer-term French sovereign bonds. A further uptick in French sovereign bonds’ credit risk premium may lead to a major bearish breakdown on the more risk-sensitive EUR/CHF cross pair. This is a follow-up analysis of our prior report, “EUR/CHF: Another potential d
by Kelvin Wong
Euro slides on soft Eurozone Mfg. PMIs
The euro has started the trading week with sharp losses. In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0466, down 1%. Eurozone manufacturing depression deepens The eurozone manufacturing sector continues to decline and is slowing down the eurozone recovery.
by Kenneth Fisher
BOJ’s Ueda hints at rate hike, yen dips
The Japanese yen is lower on Monday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 150.03, up 0.26% on the day. Ueda says rate hike is “nearing” Bank of Japan Governor Ueda has been hinting about a rate hike and gave what was perhaps his strongest hint on Friday.
by Kenneth Fisher
Australian retail sales jump but Aussie dips
The Australian dollar is in negative territory on Monday. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6491, down 0.26% on the day. Australia’s retail sales rise to 0.6% Australian events started the week on a strong note, as retail sales were higher than expected.
by Kenneth Fisher
Russell 2000: On sight for a potential fresh all-time high
Russell 2000 outperformance against S&P 500 and Nasdaq continued to persist since Q3 2024. The recent monthly Russell 2000 stellar performance of 10.8% in November has been reinforced by the incoming Trump administration’s “America First” policy. Watch the 2,288 key medium-term support on the Russell 2000. This is a follow-up analysis of our prior report, “Russell 2000: Soft to no-landing is supporting another bullish upleg” dated 7 October 2024. Click here for a recap. Since our last publicat
by Kelvin Wong
Canadian dollar calm ahead of GDP
The Canadian dollar has been quiet over the past two trading days but that could change today with the release of Canada’s GDP report. In the European session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.4005, down 0.27%.
by Kenneth Fisher
USD/JPY Technical: Potential start of a medium-term corrective decline
Yen strength continued to persist reinforced by an uptick seen in the leading Tokyo’s core-core inflation rate as it rose to 1.9% y/y in November. Japan’s overnight swap rates have indicated an increase in odds that BoJ may hike its short-term policy interest rate again in the upcoming 18-19 December meeting. Watch the 149.30 intermediate support (potential downside trigger) on the USD/JPY. Earlier this week, we published two reports that highlighted the potential looming yen strength against o
by Kelvin Wong
Swiss central bank eyes GDP
The Swiss franc has posted slight gains on Thursday. In the North American session, USD/CHF is currently trading at 0.8829, up 0.12% on the day.
by Kenneth Fisher
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