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A big week of earnings
Not the most eventful start to the week but that's unlikely to last with earnings being a particular focus in the coming days. This is likely to be one of the busier earnings weeks with some major names scheduled to report. It hasn't been a great start and disappointing results last week, particularly in financials, took the wind out of the sails of the new year rally.
by Craig Erlam
Market Insights Podcast (Episode 422)
OANDA Senior Market Analyst Ed Moya reviews the latest market news with Jonny Hart. They discussed Netflix earnings, Google's layoff announcement, oil markets, crypto news, and the week ahead.
by Edward Moya
Stocks rally as Google job cuts support disinflation trends, Fed speak, Oil’s good week, Gold hovers near 9-month highs, Bitcoin above $21k
US stocks are rallying as tech stages a comeback following Google parent Alphabet’s announcement that they will cut its global workforce by more than 6%. The reduction of 12,000 jobs globally for Google confirms a clear trend of mega-cap cost-cutting measures. ​ First it was Amazon and Microsoft with major job cut announcements and now it is Google. ​ We should see this theme spread across other sectors throughout the year and that should help keep disinflation trends intact.
by Edward Moya
Week Ahead - Earnings season a highlight
US It will be a busy week filled with the first look at Q4 GDP, corporate earnings, and US debt ceiling gridlock. There is a lot of risk on the table and a key focal point for many will be the modest growth we will see alongside a plethora of data points that are signalling recession warnings.
by Craig Erlam
It's going to be a bumpy ride
It's been another eventful week and one that serves to remind us that while there may be more sources of optimism this year, compared with last, it's going to be a very bumpy ride. There's no doubt that there's been plenty more cause for optimism so far this year, especially compared with what we became accustomed to in 2022. The US could achieve the soft landing that many have doubted is possible, China could bounce back strongly from the dropping of Covid restrictions and the euro area may avo
by Craig Erlam
Oil remains choppy, gold near record high
Speed bumps ahead Oil prices have been choppy this week after climbing back towards their late December/early January peaks. It would appear the rally is running short of momentum amid a week of less promising data from the US and a downturn in market sentiment, more broadly.
by Craig Erlam
EUR/USD drifting continues
The euro continues to have a very quiet week, as EUR/USD appears content to trade around the 1.08 line. Lagarde brings her message to Davos It's difficult to think of ECB President Lagarde as a hawk, as she ignored rising inflation in the eurozone for a long period, insisting that it was transitory. The ECB was late to the global tightening party and found itself scrambling to curb inflation.
by Kenneth Fisher
USD/CAD eyes retail sales
The Canadian dollar is unchanged on Friday, trading at 1.3466 in the European session. We could see some volatility in the North American session, as Canada releases retail sales. Retail sales expected to decline The markets are bracing for a downturn in retail sales for November, with a forecast of -0.5% m/m for the headline figure and -0.4% for the core rate.
by Kenneth Fisher
Yen edges higher ahead of Tokyo CPI
The Japanese yen has edged higher on Thursday, after showing strong volatility a day earlier. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 128.48, down 0.32%. There was plenty of anticipation ahead of the Bank of Japan meeting on Wednesday, with speculation that the central bank would follow up on the December meeting and change its policy settings.
by Kenneth Fisher
Central bank warnings
It's been a solid start to the year for equity markets but that optimism appears to be fading as policymakers queued up in Davos to push back against market interest rate expectations. Let's be clear on this; the markets have a much better record over the last 18 months of anticipating shifts in interest rates than central banks so to some degree these warnings will fall on deaf ears. But then, they come at a time when stocks have had a good run so perhaps it's a case of any excuse to lock in so
by Craig Erlam
Will retail sales weigh on British pound?
The British pound is almost unchanged on Thursday, trading at 1.2342 in the European session. Markets brace for another decline in retail sales All eyes will be on the UK's December retail sales, which will be released on Friday. The UK consumer has been holding tight to the purse strings, which is bad news for an economy that has tipped into recession.
by Kenneth Fisher
AUD/USD slides after soft Aussie job report
The Australian dollar has extended its slide on Thursday. AUD/USD is trading at 0.6884 in Europe, down 0.82%. Australian employment data disappoints Australia's December employment report was weaker than expected, sending the Australian dollar sharply lower.
by Kenneth Fisher
Recession bound, Yellen restarts talks with China, BOJ, oil higher, gold holds $1900, bitcoin weakens
US stocks declined after traders digested softer economic readings that are starting to raise growth concerns. ​ The ‘bad news is good news’ rally ran out of steam as investors started to realize a recession is coming. US data A swathe of economic data confirmed that disinflation trends clearly remain in place. ​ Recession-bound risks are rising after a larger-than-expected PPI decline, a major downshift in spending, and plunging industrial production. This round of falling PPI pressures comp
by Edward Moya
Australian dollar hits 5-month high on soft US data
The Australian dollar punched across the symbolic 70 line earlier on Wednesday, for the first time since August. The Aussie has given up all of these gains and is unchanged at 0.6986 in the North American session. US retail sales fall December didn't bring much cheer to retailers, as the traditional holiday season was a massive disappointment.
by Kenneth Fisher
Pound jumps as inflation eases
The British pound is in full flight upwards on Wednesday. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2393, up 0.86%. UK inflation slows UK inflation eased for a second straight month in December.
by Kenneth Fisher
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