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Yen edges lower after BoJ's Ueda testimony
The Japanese yen is slightly weaker on Friday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading just above the 135 line. Ueda pledges to continue easy policy Incoming Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda appeared at a parliamentary hearing on Friday and the markets were all ears.
by Kenneth Fisher
Japanese yen steady ahead of CPI report
Thursday is a bank holiday in Japan and not surprisingly, the yen is almost unchanged as it trades close to the 135 line. Japan's CPI expected to rise Japan's inflation levels are much lower than in the US, but the Bank of Japan is concerned as inflation continues to rise. We'll get a look at National Core CPI, a key inflation indicator on Friday.
by Kenneth Fisher
NZ dollar steady after RBNZ, FOMC minutes
The New Zealand dollar remains in calm waters, with little reaction to the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's rate hike or the FOMC minutes. The RBNZ raised rates by a half-point on Wednesday, as the central bank remains aggressive in its battle to curb inflation. The move was in line with expectations and the New Zealand dollar moved higher but quickly pared those gains.
by Kenneth Fisher
A pinch of salt
Equity markets are heading for a positive start to the session, paring Wednesday's gains as investors digest the latest Fed minutes. The usual caveat applies to the minutes, being that a lot of time has passed, and to a great extent, the contents of them are either outdated or known. Still, as we saw on Wednesday, that doesn't always matter and markets can still respond accordingly. The starkest takeaway was arguably that some policymakers could have gotten behind another 50 basis point increase
by Craig Erlam
Oil consolidating, gold drops after FOMC
Glacial consolidation Oil markets are continuing to consolidate, albeit at a glacial pace, and today we're seeing prices creep higher just as they near the lows from earlier this month. While traders remain optimistic about China, they have become less so about the global economy as more and more rate hikes have been priced in. If one of those narratives changes, or we see a significant shift in another driving force in the oil markets - Russia, OPEC+, etc - then we could see prices break out of
by Craig Erlam
Yen calm ahead of Fed minutes
The Japanese yen has edged lower on Wednesday. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 134.75 down 0.20%. Fed's Bullard calls for more aggressive policy Fed member Bullard has called for the Fed to deliver rate hikes more quickly in order to beat inflation.
by Kenneth Fisher
US Open: Bullard’s projections suggest Fed’s work is almost done, China-Russia ties, RBNZ hikes, Oil remains heavy, Gold edges higher, Bitcoin softens ahead of Fed Minutes
US stock turned positive after Fed’s Bullard stated that markets might be over-pricing US recession risk.  Bullard said his projections for rates are to reach 5.375%, which implies 75 bps more in rate increases.  Bullard is one of the more hawkish members, so if he thinks we only have a little ways to go here, the peak in rates might be properly priced in.  The disagreement between the Fed and markets on how high rates to go might be over and that could provide a tentative boost for stocks.
by Edward Moya
Aussie dips after soft wage data
The Australian dollar has extended its losses on Wednesday. In North American trade, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6824, down 0.47%. Wage growth misses forecast Australian wage growth was short of the forecast, with a gain of 0.8% q/q in Q4 2022.
by Kenneth Fisher
New Zealand dollar pares gains after RBNZ
The New Zealand dollar jumped after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand meeting but has pared most of these gains. In the European session, NZD/USD is almost unchanged at 0.6216. RBNZ hikes by 50 basis points The RBNZ delivered a 50 bp rate increase today, bringing the cash rate to 4.75%, its highest level since 2009.
by Kenneth Fisher
Market Insights Podcast (Episode 435)
OANDA Senior Market Analyst Ed Moya reviews the latest market news with Jonny Hart. They discussed the Walmart and Home Depot earnings, President Putin's State of the Nation address, and cryptos.
by Edward Moya
Canadian dollar dips on lower inflation
The Canadian dollar has weakened on Tuesday. In the North American session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3517, up 0.48%. Inflation drops, retail sales mixed Canada's inflation rate dropped in January.
by Kenneth Fisher
Australian dollar dips after RBA minutes
The Australian dollar is in negative territory on Tuesday. In European trade, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6876, down 0.50%. RBA minutes indicate concern over inflation The Reserve Bank of Australia keeps getting in the way of the Australian dollar.
by Kenneth Fisher
US Open: A busy Tuesday, Putin vows to continue War, Weak outlooks from retailers, Walmart, Home Depot, Oil struggles, Gold lower ahead of Fed, Bitcoin resilience
US stocks are declining after retail earnings suggest margin worries are here and it will only get worse as the Fed is likely to deliver more tightening into early summer. Treasury yields are surging here as a tight labor market will force the Fed to do more tightening.  Retailer earnings are suggesting it is going to be a tough year ahead and that should keep the pressure on stocks.  Geopolitics Russia’s Vladimir Putin’s State of the Union speech suspended participation in a key nuclear arms p
by Edward Moya
NZD/USD eyes central bank meeting
The New Zealand dollar is slightly lower on Tuesday. NZD/USD declined over 0.50% earlier but has pared most of these losses and is trading at 0.6240, down 0.20%. RBNZ expected to hike by 50 bp The Reserve Bank of New Zealand will meet on Wednesday, its first policy meeting this year.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil in choppy waters, gold edges lower
Choppy trading continues Oil remains choppy this week with Brent and WTI slipping around 1% in early trade on Tuesday, wiping out similar gains at the start of the week. There is undoubtedly more optimism around the Chinese economy which will stimulate more demand this year but at the same time, sentiment is cooling on the global economy as interest rates are projected to go a little higher than previously anticipated. This was always likely to be a quarter of big swings in sentiment as it was t
by Craig Erlam
Plenty to look forward to
It hasn't been the most thrilling start to the week but the good news is that it should improve from here as the US rejoins and the economic calendar fills out. We were basically treading water on Monday which is often the case on a US bank holiday. The fact that the calendar was as thin as it was elsewhere naturally doesn't help and it may be no bad thing either.
by Craig Erlam
Market Insights Podcast (Episode 434)
Craig Erlam joins Jonny Hart to discuss how financial markets are trading at the start of the week, why China outperformed following the LPR decision, and the week ahead.
by Craig Erlam
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