All Articles

OANDA Senior Market Analyst Ed Moya reviews the latest market news with Jonny Hart. They discussed the return of the bond bears following a wave of hawkish Fed speak, oil's weekly loss, crypto markets, and the week ahead.

17-02-2023 16:13 GMT by Edward Moya

Oil slides, gold under pressure

Oil slides but remains in range We’re continuing to see oil prices fluctuate, although recent choppiness has occurred largely near the upper end of their range since early December. Brent and WTI are on the decline on Friday, matching up with overall risk appetite in the markets but broadly speaking, little has changed. One major upside risk to prices remains China and its recovery from the transition to living with Covid.

17-02-2023 08:24 GMT by Craig Erlam

Finally hitting home

Equity markets are ending the week in the red after finally falling victim to the persistent disappointment of US economic data on Thursday. It's taken a lot but it would appear investors' eternal optimism is being shaken, with the latest PPI figures finally driving the message home that bringing the economy in for a soft landing will be extraordinarily challenging and there'll likely be plenty of turbulence along the way. In reality, the message should have sunk in much sooner but investors wer

17-02-2023 08:19 GMT by Craig Erlam

Week Ahead - Economic data dominates

The latest round of economic data (retail sales, CPI, PPI, jobless claims) are all signaling more Fed rate hikes are coming. Wall Street will pay close attention to the flash PMIs, which could show manufacturing and service sector activity is stabilizing, existing home sales, jobless claims, and personal income & spending data.

17-02-2023 06:49 GMT by Craig Erlam

USD/JPY breaks above 135

The Japanese yen is down sharply on Friday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 134.93, up 0.73%.

17-02-2023 04:39 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

EUR/USD at 3-week low after strong US data

The euro is down for a third straight day and fell earlier to 1.0629, its lowest level since Jan. 23.

17-02-2023 03:26 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

US Close: Stocks lower post hot PPI report and hawkish Fed speak, Fed's Mester saw case for 50 bp rise, Oil edges higher, Gold rebounds after six-week low, Bitcoin rises

A hot PPI report and unexpected initial jobless claims decline sent stocks lower as investors started to price in more Fed tightening. This week was a rude awakening for the disinflation process.

16-02-2023 14:28 GMT by Edward Moya

Canadian dollar extends losses

The Canadian dollar continues to lose ground on Thursday. In the North American session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3461, up 0.50%. Soft data weighs on Canadian dollar Weak Canadian releases are weighing on the Canadian dollar, which is down about 1% this week.

16-02-2023 11:11 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

GBP/USD steadies, eyes UK retail sales

The British pound has steadied on Thursday. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2053, up 0.25%.

16-02-2023 07:16 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Aussie shaky after soft job data

It has been a busy session for the Australian dollar, which started the day with losses but has recovered. In European trade, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6919, up 0.23%. Mixed Australian data Australia delivered some mixed data earlier today.

16-02-2023 05:16 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Sustained belief

Equity markets are poised to open in the green once more on Thursday, continuing what has been a rather strange week of trade so far. We've seemingly gone from euphoria at the start of the year on the back of some really encouraging economic data to turning a blind eye to it when it suits. It's all really quite odd, especially when other corners of the market are behaving in a more orthodox manner, which begs the question, what do equity (and crypto) traders know that the rest of us do not? In t

16-02-2023 03:54 GMT by Craig Erlam

Market Insights Podcast (Episode 432)

Craig Erlam joins Jonny Hart to discuss the latest economic releases from the UK and US and what they mean for markets and interest rate expectations, as the FTSE 100 topped 8,000 for the first time ever.

15-02-2023 13:00 GMT by Craig Erlam

Mid-Market Update: US stocks drop after impressive retail sales data supports the Fed’s hawkish case for more hikes, January shopping spree, Empire improves, Massive stockpile build sinks oil, Gold weakens, Crypto wavers

US stocks softened after an upside surprise with retail sales supports the idea that the Fed can remain very aggressive with fighting inflation. The US economy is looking like it will have a solid first quarter and recession doubts are getting some vindication here.

15-02-2023 11:03 GMT by Edward Moya

AUD/USD sinks on hawkish Lowe

It has been a disastrous session for AUD/USD, which has plunged 1.26% and is trading at 0.6899. Lowe says more hikes coming RBA Governor Philip Lowe faced a grilling from Australian lawmakers earlier. Higher rates and high inflation have caused a cost-of-living crisis and the RBA has been heavily criticised for the sharp rate-tightening cycle. Lowe confirmed that more rate hikes were on the way due to the need to curb inflation.

15-02-2023 07:37 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Pound sliding despite inflation drop

UK inflation falls but remains above 10% The British pound is sharply lower on Wednesday. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2069, down 0.88%. UK inflation continues to fall, although it clearly has a long way to go.

15-02-2023 06:14 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

A small setback

Equity markets are poised to open a little softer on Wednesday following similar moves in Asia overnight as investors weigh up the latest setback in US data. The inflation report really needed to over-deliver after the red-hot labour market figures earlier in the month and it simply didn't do it. The trend remains positive but it may be stalling and that won't give the Fed any encouragement to stop raising interest rates. The next 25 basis point hike was never really in doubt anyway but now mark

15-02-2023 04:24 GMT by Craig Erlam

Oil range-trading, gold slips lower

Large inventory build weighs Oil prices are a little lower again today but remain broadly within the same range they've traded in over the last couple of months. China has been a very bullish development for crude oil but the global economy as a whole is much more uncertain.

15-02-2023 04:21 GMT by Craig Erlam

Market Insights Podcast (Episode 431)

Craig Erlam and Jonny Hart take a look at how markets have responded to the US inflation data and what it means for interest rates. They also discuss the labour market figures from the UK ahead of tomorrow's inflation release.

14-02-2023 14:53 GMT by Craig Erlam

Mid-Market Update: Disinflation Danger, Wild market swings post Inflation report, Oil lower as SPR to get tapped again, Gold softer, Modest rise for Bitcoin

US stocks went on an inflation rollercoaster after a mostly in-line report saw extreme volatility. The knee-jerk reaction to the January CPI figures was dollar strength as yields surged following the slight deceleration with pricing pressures from a year ago. Big declines with used cars and airfares were countered with strong increases with apparel and medical care. The Fed won’t be changing their message, which means Wall Street is still confident that we could see just two more quarter-point

14-02-2023 12:04 GMT by Edward Moya

Japanese yen swings on US inflation

The Japanese yen has shown some strong movement on Tuesday. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 132.85, up 0.32%. US inflation slows, but less than expected US inflation in January ticked lower to 6.4%, down from 6.5% but higher than the forecast of 6.2%.

14-02-2023 09:51 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

All news & analysis