Forex: all news & analysis

Explore our comprehensive Forex Archive, an essential resource that provides expert insights on price movements, trends, and the currency market. By analysing past price actions and key events, you can uncover vital market dynamics and elevate your understanding of effective trading strategies. Whether you're focusing on major currency pairs or emerging markets, our archive is packed with information to help you sharpen your trading decisions.

USD/CHF: Two-year yield surges as the risks grow to the US outlook
Republican Jim Jordan does not have enough votes to be elected House speaker in the first round of floor voting. Risk aversion was the early trade as hot data fueled Fed rate hike bets Investors await key Chinese data that could alleviate global growth concerns USD/CHF been a tough trade over the last week as geopolitical concerns initially sent safe haven flows towards the franc, but resilient economic data prevented risk aversion from running wild.  The movement with Treasury yields are drivi
by Edward Moya
EUR/USD: Dollar volatile as Treasury yields surge; parity calls grow
JPMorgan expects EUR/USD to test parity, down from prior 1.05 target Citibank is eyeing a move to parity within six months ING head of research sees euro-dollar parity as possible Rabobank, Nomura, and RBC are eyeing a euro decline to 1.02 by end of year Both the US dollar and stocks are lower as good news about the economy is once again bad news, since it will keep policymakers on the fence on delivering more tightening. Treasury yields are rising after a couple of strong economic releases abo
by Edward Moya
GBP/USD slips on strong US retail sales
GBP/USD down over half a percent US retail sales higher than expected UK inflation projected to decline on Wednesday The British pound has declined 0.56% against the US dollar on Wednesday, wiping out yesterday's gains. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2158, down 0.48%.
by Kenneth Fisher
Australian dollar calm after RBA minutes
RBA releases minutes Investors eye Israel-Hamas war The Australian dollar has extended its gains on Tuesday. AUD/USD is trading at 0.6353 in Europe, up 0.18%. It has been a rough patch for the Australian dollar lately.
by Kenneth Fisher
Podcast - Gold may continue its upside momentum with China's Q3 GDP and UK inflation on the radar next
OANDA Senior Market Analyst Kelvin Wong joins Jonny Hart to discuss several key highlights for the week ahead, potential firmer gold and oil prices due to lingering geopolitical risk premium, key China economic data (Q3 GDP, Retail Sales & Industrial Production) as well as UK's inflation data for September where the consensus is expecting another month of slowdown to 6% y/y for core inflation from 6.2% y/y in August. https://open.spotify.com/episode/25ibbNurKomUjUhujYrn2K
by Kelvin Wong
EUR/NZD Technical – Start of a new potential bullish impulsive up move
The Kiwi dollar (NZD) has been the worst performer among the US dollar major pairs in the past five days. A further slowdown in New Zealand’s Q3 CPI (5.6% y/y versus 6% y/y in Q2) reinforces RBNZ's current stance of maintaining its key policy official cash rate unchanged at 5.5%. A less hawkish RBNZ may put further downside pressure on the NZD that supports an ongoing major uptrend phase in the EUR/NZD cross pair. Watch the 1.7820 key short-term pivotal support on the EUR/NZD. The Kiwi dollar (
by Kelvin Wong
USD/CHF: Dollar softens despite a surge in Treasury yields
Safe-haven flows likely to head Swiss franc and gold's way as US debt concerns and liquidity concerns grow A week filled with Fed speak will see Wall Street focus on Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's speech on Thursday Empire Manufacturing contracted in October: -4.6 vs -6.0 eyed; Outlook for prices fell to a 3-year low Something doesn’t seem right on Wall Street.  The dollar is falling even as Treasury yields at the long-end of the curve surge as uncertainty persists on stickier inflation fears and
by Edward Moya
British pound eyes UK employment release
UK releases employment data on Tuesday BoE's Bailey says rate decisions will be tight The British pound has started the week in positive territory. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2166, up 0.17%.
by Kenneth Fisher
NZD/USD rises on strong Services PMI
In New Zealand: New Zealand dollar rebounds after awful week Services PMI crawls into expansion territory Inflation expected to almost double in third quarter The New Zealand dollar has started the week with strong gains. In the European session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.5919, up 0.55%.
by Kenneth Fisher
CHF/JPY further potential up move reinforced by CHF safe haven status
CHF was the top-performing currency among the USD pairs in the past five days. An uptick in geopolitical risk premium has reinforced CHF's safe haven status. CHF/JPY short-term and major uptrend phases remain intact with the next intermediate resistance coming in at 167.90/168.30. This is a follow-up analysis of our prior report, “CHF/JPY Technical: Continuation of potential bullish impulsive up move” published on 10 October 2023. Click here for a recap. The CHF/JPY has staged the expected imp
by Kelvin Wong
Global growth concerns send Commodity Currencies lower despite surge in oil and prices
Dollar remains strong on safe-haven flows spurred by the Israel-Hamas war Gold volatility surges the most since March Oil prices surge on disruption concerns The Canadian currency and Australian are both weaker against the greenback as fears of rising global market turmoil grow as the Israel-Hamas conflict escalates.  Oftentimes a surge in commodity prices provide a boost to key countries that deal with surging commodities, but that isn't happening here. Oil Crude prices are surging as the oi
by Edward Moya
Mideast tensions send the Swiss franc, oil and gold sharply higher
Univ of Mich: Short- and longer-run inflation expectations surge (1-year rises to 3.8% and 5-10 year rise to 3.0%) Consumer  sentiment plunges from 68.1 to 63.0, worst slide since June 2022 Bank stocks initial rally faded It has been a very busy Friday on Wall Street. Stocks traded mostly lower as investors digested an impressive start to earnings, surging inflation expectations and rising tensions with the conflict between Israel and Hamas.
by Edward Moya
Aussie stabilizes after sliding on US inflation
China inflation dips to 0.0% Australian dollar sinks after US inflation and employment data The Australian dollar is unchanged on Friday, trading at 0.6312. The Aussie was roughed up by the US dollar a day earlier and plummeted 1.56%, its largest one-day decline since August. The sharp downswing was driven by US inflation and unemployment reports on Thursday.
by Kenneth Fisher
USD/JPY heads closer to 150 after US inflation report
The Japanese yen is slightly lower on Friday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 149.63, down 0.12%. The US inflation report for September was unchanged at 3.7% y/y, but this was higher than the market estimate of 3.6% y/y and the market reaction sent the US dollar higher against all the major currencies.
by Kenneth Fisher
New Zealand dollar extends losses after plunge
US headline CPI higher than expected US jobless claims remain low New Zealand Manufacturing Index declines The New Zealand dollar is lower on Friday after a massive plunge a day earlier. In the European session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.5911, down 0.25%. The US inflation report was stronger than expected, and the US dollar responded with sharp gains against the major currencies.
by Kenneth Fisher
USD/JPY: Surging Treasury yields bring back the pressure onto Japanese officials
Dollar holds onto gains as projected rate hike bets hold firm Treasury 30-year auction sees soft demand as concerns grow over rising deficits Yen's October rally nearly completely erased as US growth exceptionalism remains in place The BOJ must be frustrated that the yen's rally at the start of the month has quickly evaporated.  Pressure is growing for the Japanese officials to act otherwise, the yen could see another significant devaluation.  Last night, Bank of Japan board member Noguchi note
by Edward Moya
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