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Forex: all news & analysis

Explore our comprehensive Forex Archive, an essential resource that provides expert insights on price movements, trends, and the currency market. By analysing past price actions and key events, you can uncover vital market dynamics and elevate your understanding of effective trading strategies. Whether you're focusing on major currency pairs or emerging markets, our archive is packed with information to help you sharpen your trading decisions.

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AUD/USD Technical: Potential short-term bullish reversal for AUD supported by China’s stock market rescue package
The higher beta risk-sensitive AUD has started to see a turnaround to the upside against the US dollar in the past two sessions. Reinforced by risk-on behaviour in global stock markets coupled with today’s China Premier Li Qiang’s verbal intervention that advocated more “forceful” measures to negate the rout in the China equities. AUD/USD’s minor bullish reversal unfolding with next intermediate resistances at 0.6640 and 0.6735. This is a follow-up analysis of our prior report, “EUR/AUD Techni
23-01-2024 01:53 GMT by Kelvin Wong
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Market Insights Podcast - BOJ and ECB in the focus with US PCE inflation
OANDA Senior Market Analyst Kelvin Wong joins Jonny Hart to discuss this week's key economic data and events; another horrendous start of the week for China and the Hong Kong stock markets, as they continued to plummet with the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index that recorded a daily loss of -2.44%, edging closer to almost a two-decade low. Market participants seem to be getting impatient with Chinese top policymakers in terms of the current pace and magnitude of stimulus measures.
22-01-2024 20:09 GMT by Kelvin Wong
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EUR/GBP - Has the time come for the ECB to pivot?
ECB meeting on Thursday Markets expecting the first rate cut in April EURGBP trading near summer lows ahead of the meeting Markets are pricing in a lot of rate cuts from the ECB this year and we could learn on Thursday whether they are correct to do so. The central bank has been resistant to speculation that it could be preparing to cut rates in March and that level of pushback has encouraged traders to push back the first move to April but it's still pricing in 125 basis points
22-01-2024 12:23 GMT by Craig Erlam
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Euro in calm waters as data calendar light
The euro is showing little movement on Monday. In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0890, down 0.07%. Will ECB pause again? The European Common Bank meets on Thursday for the first policy meeting of the year.
22-01-2024 11:43 GMT by Kenneth Fisher
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New Zealand dollar eyes Services PSI
New Zealand releases Performance of Services Index on Tuesday The New Zealand dollar is flat at the start of the week. In the European session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.6116, up 0.01%.
22-01-2024 08:35 GMT by Kenneth Fisher
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USD/JPY calm ahead of BoJ announcement
Bank of Japan to make announcement on Tuesday The Japanese yen is in a holding pattern on Monday as the Bank of Japan holds a two-day meeting today and Tuesday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 148.05, down 0.08%. The yen has been on a rollercoaster in recent weeks.
22-01-2024 05:28 GMT by Kenneth Fisher
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BoJ poised to offer guidance on the removal of short-term negative rates may spark JPY strength
10-year JGB implied volatility has tapered downwards since the implementation of flexible YCC in October 2023, lowering the odds of disorderly movements in the JGB Elevated demand-pull inflation (excluding fresh food & energy) in Japan may prompt BoJ to upgrade its inflation (excluding fresh food & energy) forecasts for FY 2024 & FY 2025. Technical analysis has detected bearish elements in USD/JPY where JPY may start to strengthen in the short term towards 146.25 and a break below it exposes 1
22-01-2024 02:19 GMT by Kelvin Wong
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Canadian dollar drifting ahead of retail sales
Canada's retail sales expected to fall to zero The Canadian dollar is showing limited movement for a second straight day. In the European session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3496, down 0.13%. Markets brace for stagnant retail sales Canada releases retail sales for November later today, and the markets are expecting no growth, following a 0.7% gain in October.
19-01-2024 06:46 GMT by Kenneth Fisher
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GBP/JPY - Pulls off highs as UK retail sales plunge in December
A poor December for UK retailers Is weaker demand a good thing for the BoE? GBPJPY eases off eight-year highs UK retail sales fell sharply in December as consumers tightened their pursestrings during what is normally a hugely important time of year for retailers. Any sense of optimism from the jump in sales in November was short-lived, with the decline in sales last month as widespread as it was steep. Everyone from food retailers to department stores saw a sharp reduction in sales as consumers
19-01-2024 05:23 GMT by Craig Erlam
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GBP/USD dips as retail sales slide
UK retail sales slide 3.2% in December GBP/USD edges lower The British pound has weakened slightly on Friday. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2682, down 0.18%. UK retail sales take a tumble The markets were expecting a letdown from December retail sales after a strong November reading, but nobody was expecting a multi-year drop.
19-01-2024 04:19 GMT by Kenneth Fisher
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AUD/USD - Promising jobs and housing data from the US
US jobless claims fall last week Australian employment unexpectedly falls in December A head and shoulders potentially forming in AUDUSD Data from the US today has been a little positive, although, in the case of jobless claims, it's hard to say at this stage how much. Initial claims unexpectedly fell below 200,000 but arguably more promising, continuing claims have continued to edge down which suggests the market for those laid off has improved slightly.
18-01-2024 12:22 GMT by Craig Erlam
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Japanese yen can't find its footing
US unemployment claims fall to 187K Japan's core CPI expected to ease to 2.3% on Friday The Japanese yen has stabilized on Thursday. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 148.04, down 0.08%. Is yen headed back to 150? The Japanese yen continues to show strong volatility.
18-01-2024 10:57 GMT by Kenneth Fisher
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GBP/USD eyes UK retail sales
UK retail sales expected to dip by 0.5% on Friday The British pound has edged lower on Thursday. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2655, down 0.20%. Markets brace for retail sales downswing What goes up must come down.
18-01-2024 09:09 GMT by Kenneth Fisher
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Aussie stems the bleeding
The Australian dollar has stabilized after a nasty tumble this week. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6555, up 0.06%.
18-01-2024 03:57 GMT by Kenneth Fisher
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AUD/USD Technical Analysis – Australian Dollar Employment Change
Talking Points Australia's Employment Change and Unemployment Rate AUS/USD Weekly Chart Technical Analysis and COT Update AUD/USD 1-hour Chart Technical Analysis Australia's Employment Change and Unemployment Rate The Employment Change numbers in Australia have been steady and often beating its forecasts for the past few months; the forecasted change in Employment for December 2023 numbers reflects a potential shift in course;
17-01-2024 12:57 GMT by Moheb Hanna
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AUD/USD falls to 5-week low on weak Chinese data
Australian dollar declines sharply Chinese GDP and retail sales miss estimates Fed's Waller urges caution with regard to rate cuts The Australian dollar has extended its losses on Wednesday. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6538, down 0.69%.
17-01-2024 12:03 GMT by Kenneth Fisher
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EUR/GBP - Inflation data casts doubt over interest rate cuts
UK inflation data surprises to the upside Eurozone inflation unrevised for December EURGBP breaks lower after UK data UK inflation figures were slightly higher than expected, with headline CPI actually rising a little back to 4%, rather than falling to 3.8%, and core remaining at 5.1% rather than falling to 4.9%. This is hardly a massive blow but investors have become accustomed recently to data delivering and more, so this is perhaps being viewed as a bigger setback than it actually is. This i
17-01-2024 11:49 GMT by Craig Erlam
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