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Canadian dollar drifting ahead of retail sales
Canada's retail sales expected to fall to zero The Canadian dollar is showing limited movement for a second straight day. In the European session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3496, down 0.13%. Markets brace for stagnant retail sales Canada releases retail sales for November later today, and the markets are expecting no growth, following a 0.7% gain in October.
by Kenneth Fisher
GBP/JPY - Pulls off highs as UK retail sales plunge in December
A poor December for UK retailers Is weaker demand a good thing for the BoE? GBPJPY eases off eight-year highs UK retail sales fell sharply in December as consumers tightened their pursestrings during what is normally a hugely important time of year for retailers. Any sense of optimism from the jump in sales in November was short-lived, with the decline in sales last month as widespread as it was steep. Everyone from food retailers to department stores saw a sharp reduction in sales as consumers
by Craig Erlam
GBP/USD dips as retail sales slide
UK retail sales slide 3.2% in December GBP/USD edges lower The British pound has weakened slightly on Friday. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2682, down 0.18%. UK retail sales take a tumble The markets were expecting a letdown from December retail sales after a strong November reading, but nobody was expecting a multi-year drop.
by Kenneth Fisher
Nasdaq - A decent rebound but more data needed to justify market optimism
Investors remain hopeful Data not delivering Double top forming in the Nasdaq? Stock markets are modestly higher on Thursday, recovering some of Wednesday's losses as investors seemingly struggle to determine where things stand. There's clearly a desperate desire to cling on to the optimism that enabled such a strong end to the year but unlike in that period, the data isn't really playing ball. The releases we've seen so far this month have been fine and in the main, perfectly in keeping with t
by Craig Erlam
AUD/USD - Promising jobs and housing data from the US
US jobless claims fall last week Australian employment unexpectedly falls in December A head and shoulders potentially forming in AUDUSD Data from the US today has been a little positive, although, in the case of jobless claims, it's hard to say at this stage how much. Initial claims unexpectedly fell below 200,000 but arguably more promising, continuing claims have continued to edge down which suggests the market for those laid off has improved slightly.
by Craig Erlam
Japanese yen can't find its footing
US unemployment claims fall to 187K Japan's core CPI expected to ease to 2.3% on Friday The Japanese yen has stabilized on Thursday. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 148.04, down 0.08%. Is yen headed back to 150? The Japanese yen continues to show strong volatility.
by Kenneth Fisher
GBP/USD eyes UK retail sales
UK retail sales expected to dip by 0.5% on Friday The British pound has edged lower on Thursday. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2655, down 0.20%. Markets brace for retail sales downswing What goes up must come down.
by Kenneth Fisher
US SPX 500: Bulls are getting lethargic, and at risk of a minor corrective decline
The US 10-year Treasury yield has pierced above 4.06% & its 200-day moving average; a sign that recent easing liquidity conditions have started to abate. A 3-year low seen in the implied correlation among S&P 500 constituents may trigger an imminent spike in the VIX. The S&P 500 is now at risk of forming a short-term top below 4,820 resistance. After stellar Q4 quarterly and 2023 annual performances of 11.24% and 24.23% respectively, the US S&P 500 has started 2024 on a lacklustre footing, in
by Kelvin Wong
Aussie stems the bleeding
The Australian dollar has stabilized after a nasty tumble this week. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6555, up 0.06%.
by Kenneth Fisher
Dow - Soft Chinese data, strong US consumer
Chinese economy slowly recovering US retail sales perform strongly in December Is a correction underway in the Dow? Chinese consumer activity remains a point of weakness for the economy The Chinese data wasn't great, although again it's not the end of the world either. Unemployment unexpectedly crept higher to 5.1%, while GDP in the fourth quarter rose to 5.2%, marginally lower than expected.
by Craig Erlam
AUD/USD Technical Analysis – Australian Dollar Employment Change
Talking Points Australia's Employment Change and Unemployment Rate AUS/USD Weekly Chart Technical Analysis and COT Update AUD/USD 1-hour Chart Technical Analysis Australia's Employment Change and Unemployment Rate The Employment Change numbers in Australia have been steady and often beating its forecasts for the past few months; the forecasted change in Employment for December 2023 numbers reflects a potential shift in course;
by Moheb Hanna
AUD/USD falls to 5-week low on weak Chinese data
Australian dollar declines sharply Chinese GDP and retail sales miss estimates Fed's Waller urges caution with regard to rate cuts The Australian dollar has extended its losses on Wednesday. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6538, down 0.69%.
by Kenneth Fisher
EUR/GBP - Inflation data casts doubt over interest rate cuts
UK inflation data surprises to the upside Eurozone inflation unrevised for December EURGBP breaks lower after UK data UK inflation figures were slightly higher than expected, with headline CPI actually rising a little back to 4%, rather than falling to 3.8%, and core remaining at 5.1% rather than falling to 4.9%. This is hardly a massive blow but investors have become accustomed recently to data delivering and more, so this is perhaps being viewed as a bigger setback than it actually is. This i
by Craig Erlam
Canadian dollar falls, inflation rises
Canada's inflation rate rises to 3.4% The US dollar continues to gain ground against its Canadian counterpart. In Wednesday's European session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3518, up 0.18%. Canada's inflation rate rises to 3.4% Canada's annual inflation rate rose in December to 3.4%, up from 3.1% in November and matched the market estimate.  Interestingly, the US inflation report for December also climbed from 3.1% to 3.4%.
by Kenneth Fisher
British pound gains ground as UK inflation rises
UK inflation rises unexpectedly GBP/USD climbs higher The British pound has edged higher after UK inflation rose unexpectedly in December. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2694, up 0.47%. UK inflation rises to 3.9% UK inflation has a tendency to surprise the markets and that happened again on Wednesday as December CPI ticked upwards to 4.0% y/y, up from 3.9% in November and above the consensus estimate of 3.8%.
by Kenneth Fisher
EUR/AUD Technical: AUD’s underperformance remains sticky
Current bout of risk-off behaviour has triggered an underperformance of higher beta risk-sensitive currencies such as the AUD. China Premier Li Qiang's speech in Davos has signalled “a lesser need” for China to enact massive stimulus measures which in turn may see lesser industrial commodities exports from Australia in the near term. AUD’s weakness has led to a short-term uptrend unfolding in the EUR/AUD cross pair. The risk-off behaviour has continued to spill over to today’s 17 January Asian
by Kelvin Wong
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