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Gold: Potential bullish breakout from 6-week range
Positive price actions in Gold (XAU/USD) as it reintegrated back above its 20-day moving average. A continuation of the medium-term bearish trend on the US 10-year Treasury real yield below 1.82% key resistance may add further bullish impetus for Gold. A rise in geopolitical risk premium may also support a firmer Gold. Watch the US$2,015 key short-term support on Gold (XAU/USD).
by Kelvin Wong
GBP/USD - Markets price in more Fed rate cuts after US PPI data, UK to avoid recession?
US PPI data weaker than expected UK could avoid a recession after November GDP recovery GBPUSD breakout coming after consolidation? Stock markets are ending the week on a high, buoyed by weaker PPI readings from the US that suggest inflation will keep falling in the coming months. The PPI data has repaired the damage done by yesterday's CPI data which came in a little higher than expected.
by Craig Erlam
Japanese yen edges higher after US PPI rises
US PPI rises 1%, missing estimate of 1.3% The Japanese yen has edged higher on Friday. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 144.80, down 0.3e%. The US Producer Price Index followed the CPI's lead and rose in December, with a gain of 1%.
by Kenneth Fisher
USD/CAD - Technical Analysis Forecast
Canada CPI and BOC Overnight Rate schedule Technical Analysis for Monthly, Daily, and 4-hour charts The Canadian Dollar opened 2024 with a decline against the US Dollar, the Forex pair USD/CAD rose from 1.3180 in late December 2023 to its current average price of 1.3380 and has been trading near this level for a few days. The pair held steady throughout the US CPI data release as well as the recent upside move in oil prices.
by Moheb Hanna
Australian dollar edges up as China CPI slips
China's CPI declines by 0.3% Fed's Mester pushes back against March rate cut expectations The Australian dollar has edged higher on Friday. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6693, up 0.09%. Policy makers at Australia's central bank are keeping a close eye on this week's inflation data out of Australia and China.
by Kenneth Fisher
GBP/USD yawns after strong UK GDP
UK GDP rebounds to 0.3%, but economy remains weak US inflation hotter than expected at 3.4% The British pound is showing limited movement on Friday. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2769, up 0.05%. UK GDP bounces back in November The British economy grew in November by 0.3% m/m, rebounding from a 0.3% decline in October and edging above the market estimate of 0.2%.
by Kenneth Fisher
Aussie dips as US inflation higher than expected
The Australian dollar has posted sharp losses on Thursday. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6655, down 0.68%. US inflation report sends greenback higher US inflation was higher than expected in December with a gain of 3.4%.
by Kenneth Fisher
EUR/USD - US CPI no game-changer for interest rate expectations
US CPI (YoY) 3.4% in December (3.1% in November) US Core CPI (YoY) 3.9% in December (4% in November) EURUSD fails at 1.10 The CPI report has become a source of good news for investors, as inflation has fallen sharply to within touching distance of the Federal Reserve's 2% target. The last step may be the hardest, as many have warned, but investors are clearly of the view that the hard work has been done and it's only a matter of time until rates are falling.
by Craig Erlam
GBP/USD flat ahead of US inflation data
US CPI expected to edge higher to 3.2% UK GDP projected to rebound to 0.2% The British pound is unchanged on Thursday, trading at 1.2741 in Europe. We could see some movement from the pound in the North American session following the release of the US inflation report.
by Kenneth Fisher
Easing liquidity conditions may provide interim support for China and Hong Kong stock markets
China's credit impulse has remained on a slow upward trajectory since July 2023. Key China’s central bank (PBoC) official has signalled a further accommodating monetary policy in 2024. Growth in China’s services activities expanded in December 2023. Watch the 16,100 key long-term secular support on the Hang Seng Index. This is a follow-up analysis of our prior report, “Hang Seng Index: Fed’s dovish pivot provides a temporary breather” published on 14 December 2023. Click here for a recap. Chin
by Kelvin Wong
Japanese yen takes a tumble
Japan's wage growth decelerates to 0.2% The Japanese yen is down sharply on Wednesday. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 145.74, up 0.86%. Japanese wage growth sputters Japan's wage growth was a major disappointment in November, with a meager gain of 0.2%.
by Kenneth Fisher
British pound eyes Bailey testimony
The British pound is slightly higher on Wednesday. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2725, up 0.12%. BoE's Bailey testifying before Treasury Select Committee Bank of England Governor Bailey is testifying before the Treasury Select Committee today.
by Kenneth Fisher
Australian dollar rises after CPI falls
The Australian dollar has rebounded on Wednesday. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6705, up 0.28%. Australian CPI eases to 4.3% Australia's CPI for November rose 4.3% y/y, down considerably from 4.9% in October and just shy of the market estimate of 4.4%.
by Kenneth Fisher
Nikkei 225: Major bullish breakout from 7-month range with further potential upside in store
Nikkei 225 rallied to a 34-year high & outperformed the major US benchmark US stock indices year-to-date. Domestic demand-oriented sectors are the outperformers in the current bullish movement seen in the Japanese stock market. The USD/JPY is now having a negative correlation with the Nikkei 225. The sustainability of the current bullish tone seen in the Nikkei 225 is largely more dependent on Japan’s inflation growth outlook. This is a follow-up analysis of our prior report, “Nikkei 225 Techni
by Kelvin Wong
Euro edges lower after soft German data
German industrial production declines Atlanta Fed's Bostic says he expects two rate cuts in 2024 The euro has edged lower on Tuesday. In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0928, down 0.20%. German industrial production declines The German locomotive continues to struggle as we start the New Year.
by Kenneth Fisher
Australian dollar falls despite solid retail sales
The Australian dollar is in negative territory on Tuesday. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6685, down 0.51%. Australian retail sales surge Australia's retail sales sparkled in November but the strong rebound wasn't reflected in the Australian dollar.
by Kenneth Fisher
Japanese yen shrugs as Tokyo Core CPI slows
Tokyo Core CPI eases to 2.1% The Japanese yen has posted slight gains for a second straight day. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 144.10, down 0.09%. Tokyo Core CPI dips to 2.1% Tokyo Core CPI rose 2.1% y/y in December, down from 2.3% in November and matching the estimate of 2.1%.
by Kenneth Fisher
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