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New Zealand dollar edges lower after soft retail sales
The New Zealand dollar has been on a roll but is in danger of snapping a seven-day rally during which it gained over 2% against the US dollar. NZD/USD is trading in the European session at 0.6185, down 0.16%. New Zealand retail sales decline by 1.9% Another retail sales report, another decline.
by Kenneth Fisher
Nasdaq 100 Technical: Bulls rescued by Nvidia (again)
A 16% rally seen in Nvidia (ex-post earnings) has led the Nasdaq 100 to recoup its entire loss of -3.5% from last Friday, 16 February high to Wednesday, 21 February low. The current positive momentum and trend conditions of Nvidia may assert a further positive feedback loop back into the Nasdaq 100. Watch the key pivotal support at 17,650 with the next intermediate resistance at 18,220/270 for Nasdaq 100.
by Kelvin Wong
EUR/USD - A bullish breakout or just further consolidation?
Eurozone sees marginal improvement in surveys US services cool in February EURUSD breaks through descending channel The PMI surveys have certainly made it an eventful day in the markets, albeit one that doesn't necessarily provide more clarity on interest rate movements in the coming months. The eurozone PMIs displayed some improvement on the services side, with the survey moving out of contraction territory for the first time in six months. Manufacturing on the other hand reversed some of the
by Craig Erlam
USD/CAD drifting ahead of FOMC minutes
The Canadian dollar is trading quietly on Wednesday. In the North American session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3517, down 0.07%. FOMC minutes loom Investors are anxiously awaiting the release of the minutes of the Fed’s January meeting later today, hoping for some insights about the Fed’s future interest rate path.
by Kenneth Fisher
Australian dollar pares gains after strong wage growth
The Australian dollar continues to climb and has put together a five-day winning streak. The Aussie rose as much as 0.36% earlier but has pared most of these gains and is currently trading at 0.6552 in the European session, up 0.05%. Wage Price Index climbs 4.2% in Q4 Australia’s wage price index (WPI) rose 4.2% y/y in the fourth quarter, up from a revised 4.1% gain in the third quarter and above the market estimate of 4.1%.
by Kenneth Fisher
GBP/USD climbs after Bailey’s dovish comments
The British pound is higher on Tuesday. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2650, up 0.43%. Is Bailey turning dovish? With little else on the calendar today, Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey is front and center.
by Kenneth Fisher
Australian dollar shrugs after RBA minutes, China rate cut
The Australian dollar continues to rally and has extended its gains for a fifth successive day. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6550, up 0.19%. Minutes: RBA considered raising rates The minutes of the RBA’s February meeting were released earlier today.
by Kenneth Fisher
USD/CAD - A quiet start to the week but plenty to come
Canadia inflation expected to have fallen again in January Will the FOMC minutes shed any light on rate cuts? USDCAD higher but momentum remains weak It's no surprise that it's been a quiet start to the week, with both countries observing a bank holiday but several events on the horizon should ensure things pick up. Canadian inflation data on Tuesday is the first of those, with the headline rate expected to have eased slightly in January. While not nearly enough to make the next Bank of Canada
by Craig Erlam
AUD/USD Technical: Bulls have failed to break above the 0.6570 resistance
Recent China’s stimulus policies have failed to provide a positive feedback loop for AUD/USD bulls. The recent movement of the AUD/USD seems to be more driven by the fixed income yield spread between the 2-year US Treasury note and the Australian government bond. The pushback in expectations of the first Fed funds rate cut has put downside pressure on the 2-year negative yield spread between the Australian government bond and the US Treasury note. Watch the 0.6570 key short-term resistance for t
by Kelvin Wong
Market Insights Podcast - FOMC minutes, flash PMI from Japan, Eurozone & UK are the key focus
OANDA Senior Market Analyst Kelvin Wong joins Jonny Hart to discuss this week's key economic data and events, notably on the release of the FOMC minutes of the recent January Fed's monetary policy meeting where market participants will be scrutinizing the thoughts and comments of Fed official on the views of US inflationary pressure trajectory given the hotter than expected CPI and PPI prints for January. Meanwhile, China stock market is backed after a 5-day Lunar New Year break, and the Nikkei
by Kelvin Wong
New Zealand dollar rises on strong services data
The New Zealand dollar continues to gain ground and has extended its gains for a fourth straight day. In the North American session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.6149, up 0.44%. Services PMI hits 8-month high New Zealand’s BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index improved to 52.1 in January from 48.8 in December, above the forecast of 49.6.
by Kenneth Fisher
Australian dollar extends gains, RBA minutes next
The Australian dollar extended its gains for a fourth straight day. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6537, up 0.10%. Last Tuesday, the Australian dollar suffered its worst one-day showing of the year, declining by 1.18%, after US inflation was higher than expected, which sent the US dollar surging higher.
by Kenneth Fisher
EURJPY Price Action and Technical Analysis Overview
Talking Points: FOMC January 31st, 2024, Meeting Minutes. Technical Analysis EUR/JPY 8-Hour chart Commitment of Traders Report - EUR/JPY OANDA’s Position Ratio Indicator FOMC January 31st, 2024, Meeting Minutes This Wednesday, markets await the FOMC minutes for their latest meeting on January 31st, 2024; it is not expected that there will be any significant surprises in the minutes; however, traders will be searching within the text for indications regarding the Fed’s economic projections and
by Moheb Hanna
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