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GBP/USD climbs after Bailey’s dovish comments
The British pound is higher on Tuesday. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2650, up 0.43%. Is Bailey turning dovish? With little else on the calendar today, Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey is front and center.
by Kenneth Fisher
Australian dollar shrugs after RBA minutes, China rate cut
The Australian dollar continues to rally and has extended its gains for a fifth successive day. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6550, up 0.19%. Minutes: RBA considered raising rates The minutes of the RBA’s February meeting were released earlier today.
by Kenneth Fisher
USD/CAD - A quiet start to the week but plenty to come
Canadia inflation expected to have fallen again in January Will the FOMC minutes shed any light on rate cuts? USDCAD higher but momentum remains weak It's no surprise that it's been a quiet start to the week, with both countries observing a bank holiday but several events on the horizon should ensure things pick up. Canadian inflation data on Tuesday is the first of those, with the headline rate expected to have eased slightly in January. While not nearly enough to make the next Bank of Canada
by Craig Erlam
AUD/USD Technical: Bulls have failed to break above the 0.6570 resistance
Recent China’s stimulus policies have failed to provide a positive feedback loop for AUD/USD bulls. The recent movement of the AUD/USD seems to be more driven by the fixed income yield spread between the 2-year US Treasury note and the Australian government bond. The pushback in expectations of the first Fed funds rate cut has put downside pressure on the 2-year negative yield spread between the Australian government bond and the US Treasury note. Watch the 0.6570 key short-term resistance for t
by Kelvin Wong
Market Insights Podcast - FOMC minutes, flash PMI from Japan, Eurozone & UK are the key focus
OANDA Senior Market Analyst Kelvin Wong joins Jonny Hart to discuss this week's key economic data and events, notably on the release of the FOMC minutes of the recent January Fed's monetary policy meeting where market participants will be scrutinizing the thoughts and comments of Fed official on the views of US inflationary pressure trajectory given the hotter than expected CPI and PPI prints for January. Meanwhile, China stock market is backed after a 5-day Lunar New Year break, and the Nikkei
by Kelvin Wong
New Zealand dollar rises on strong services data
The New Zealand dollar continues to gain ground and has extended its gains for a fourth straight day. In the North American session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.6149, up 0.44%. Services PMI hits 8-month high New Zealand’s BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index improved to 52.1 in January from 48.8 in December, above the forecast of 49.6.
by Kenneth Fisher
Australian dollar extends gains, RBA minutes next
The Australian dollar extended its gains for a fourth straight day. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6537, up 0.10%. Last Tuesday, the Australian dollar suffered its worst one-day showing of the year, declining by 1.18%, after US inflation was higher than expected, which sent the US dollar surging higher.
by Kenneth Fisher
EURJPY Price Action and Technical Analysis Overview
Talking Points: FOMC January 31st, 2024, Meeting Minutes. Technical Analysis EUR/JPY 8-Hour chart Commitment of Traders Report - EUR/JPY OANDA’s Position Ratio Indicator FOMC January 31st, 2024, Meeting Minutes This Wednesday, markets await the FOMC minutes for their latest meeting on January 31st, 2024; it is not expected that there will be any significant surprises in the minutes; however, traders will be searching within the text for indications regarding the Fed’s economic projections and
by Moheb Hanna
RBNZ’s Orr – Inflation expectations still too high
The New Zealand dollar is drifting on Friday. In the European session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.6110, up 0.08%. Orr pushes back against rate cut expectations The Reserve Bank of New Zealand has made inflation its top priority and the Bank’s steep rate-hiking cycle has brought inflation lower.
by Kenneth Fisher
GBP/USD yawns as UK retail sales soar
The British pound has edged lower on Friday. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2578, down 0.17%. UK retail sales rebound with 3.4% gain UK retail sales were more than impressive, surging 3.4% m/m in January.
by Kenneth Fisher
Nikkei 225 Technical: Eyeing a potential new all-time high
Nikkei 225 has continued its bullish momentum despite a technical recession in the Japanese economy. Current price action is just 0.9% away from its 38,957 all-time high printed in December 1989. Medium-term momentum is overbought but no clear signs of bullish trend exhaustion. Watch the 38,260 key short-term support. This is a follow-up analysis of our prior report, “Nikkei 225: Major bullish breakout from 7-month range with further potential upside in store” published on 10 January 2024. Clic
by Kelvin Wong
USD/CAD - Rally stalls again after weaker US retail sales data
US retail sales below expectations at -0.8% in January November and December also revised lower USDCAD falls after briefly breaching resistance There was a big data drop from the US ahead of the opening bell on Wall Street today, with one report in particular getting people's attention. The retail sales data for January were poor. Not only that, they were much poorer than already low expectations.
by Craig Erlam
Brent Crude - Oil gives back gains after inventory data
EIA reported inventories rose by 12 million barrels last week Volatility remains amid uncertainty Inverse head and shoulders forms Oil prices remain very volatile and last week's unexpected and substantial inventory build, reported by EIA, further added to that. The price fell sharply after the data and continued earlier today before recouping those losses to trade flat on the session.
by Craig Erlam
Empire State Manufacturing Index - EURUSD Technical Analysis Overview
The markets await the Empire State Manufacturing Index this morning; the index is based on surveying a monthly sample of the State’s manufacturing executives and is handled by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. The index is considered a leading indicator; a reading above zero reflects expansion, and below zero reflects contraction.
by Moheb Hanna
Australian dollar shrugs after weak jobs report
The Australian dollar is showing limited movement on Thursday. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6496, up 0.07%. Australian job growth flatlines Australia’s employment report was softer than expected, but the Australian dollar didn’t show much reaction.
by Kenneth Fisher
GBP/USD - UK in recession but that's unlikely to sway the BoE yet
UK GDP -0.3% in Q4 and -0.1% in December BoE not concerned about recession GBPUSD momentum fading near February lows? The UK fell into recession in the second half of last year after GDP figures for the fourth quarter showed a steeper contraction than expected. While a recession was expected ahead of the release, the fourth quarter number was slightly worse despite December performing better than anticipated.
by Craig Erlam
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