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Euro edges lower despite positive inflation report
The euro has posted slight losses on Friday. EUR/USD is down 0.28%, trading at 1.0837 in the North American session at the time of writing. Eurozone CPI steady, core CPI falls The April inflation report showed that headline inflation remained steady at 2.4% y/y, holding at its lowest level in almost three years.
by Kenneth Fisher
Pound edges lower, markets eye FedSpeak
The British pound is down slightly on Friday. GBP/USD is down 0.14%, trading at 1.2648 in the European session at the time of writing. It has been a good week for the pound, which has gained 1% against the US dollar.
by Kenneth Fisher
Australian dollar hits 4-month high
The Australian dollar is lower on Friday. AUD/USD is currently trading at 0.6658 in the European session, down 0.31% on the day. The Aussie touched a high of 0.6714 on Thursday, its highest level since January 10th.
by Kenneth Fisher
Euro edges lower after ECB’s financial stability warning
The euro has posted slight losses on Thursday. EUR/USD is down 0.20%, trading at 1.0860 in the North American session at the time of writing. ECB warns of risks to financial stability The ECB’s Financial Stability Review expressed concern that financial stability could be affected by the possibility of “adverse economic and financial surprises”.
by Kenneth Fisher
USD/JPY steady as Japanese economy contracts
The Japanese yen climbed as much as 0.85% earlier on Thursday but has pared most of those gains. USD/JPY is trading at 155.38, up 0.31% in the European session. Japan’s economy contracted in the first quarter.
by Kenneth Fisher
Australian dollar surges after US inflation ease
The Australian dollar is lower on Thursday after surging 1% a day earlier. AUD/USD is currently trading at 0.6671, down 0.33% on the day. Australian job growth rebounds but unemployment rate rises Australian employment bounced back in April with an increase of 38,500 after a decline of 5,900 in March and higher than the market estimate of 23,700.
by Kenneth Fisher
EUR/USD - USD/JPY - USD/CAD Technical Analysis Overview ahead of US CPI and Retail Sales
Talking Points US Consumer Price Index - US CPI US Retail Sales EUR/USD Daily Chart - Technical Analysis USD/JPY Daily Chart - Technical Analysis USD/CAD Weekly Chart - Technical Analysis US Consumer Price Index - US CPI The core CPI, which excludes Energy and food products, came in at 3.8% in March, slightly higher than 3.75% in February 2004. The uptick was mainly driven again by a rise in the cost of services.
by Moheb Hanna
Gold Technical: Stagflation risk and a softer US 10-year Treasury real yield are supporting the bulls
Stagflation risk has led to a softer US 10-year Treasury real yield below 2.38%. The 6% decline of Gold (XAU/USD) from its recent all-time high in April may have reached an inflection point to kickstart another potential medium-term impulsive bullish sequence. Watch the key short-term support of US$2,327 on Gold (XAU/USD). This is a follow-up analysis of our prior report, “Gold Technical: A floor may have been formed for the bulls” published on 6 May 2024.
by Kelvin Wong
Australian dollar higher, wage growth dips lower
The Australian dollar has extended its gains on Wednesday. AUD/USD is up 0.24%, trading at 0.6642 in the European session at the time of writing. Has Australia’s wage growth peaked? Australian wages rose less than expected in the first quarter, a sign that inflationary pressures may be easing. The wage price index rose 0.8% q/q in the first quarter, down from a revised 1% in Q4 2023 and below the market estimate of 0.9%.
by Kenneth Fisher
AUD/USD gains ground ahead of wage growth
The Australian dollar has posted gains on Tuesday. AUD/USD is up 0.19%, trading at 0.6620 in the North American session at the time of writing. Australian wage growth expected to remain unchanged Australia’s wage growth for the first quarter is expected to remain unchanged.
by Kenneth Fisher
EUR/USD steady as German confidence index rises
The euro is drifting on Tuesday. EUR/USD is up 0.07% on Tuesday, trading at 1.0798 in the European session at the time of writing. German inflation steady, confidence higher Germany’s inflation rate remained unchanged in April at 2.2% y/y, matching the market consensus.
by Kenneth Fisher
A steeper JGB yield curve may kickstart another bullish leg in the Nikkei 225
Nikkei 225 has undergone a 4-week corrective decline of 10.6% since its 41,088 all-time high printed on 22 March. Nikkei 225 major uptrend phase in place since 4 January 2023 remains intact. BoJ’s recent announcement on its reduction of 5 to 10-year JGBs purchases has led to a spiked up in JGBs yields that implied BoJ may have loosened its grip on “yield control”. A further steepening on the JGBs yield curve may trigger a positive feedback loop back into the Nikkei 225. This is a follow-up ana
by Kelvin Wong
Pound edges lower as UK labor market cools
The British pound has posted slight losses on Tuesday. GBP/USD is down 0.08%, trading at 1.2548 in the European session at the time of writing. UK job growth slides The UK labor market continues to show cracks as job growth was sharply lower in today’s employment report.
by Kenneth Fisher
Market Insights Podcast - US CPI , Fed Speak from Powell, China retail sales and industrial production looms
OANDA Senior Market Analyst Kelvin Wong joins Jonny Hart to discuss this week's key economic data and events. Firstly, after a slew of Fed Speak from officials Bowman, Daly, Bostic, Collins, Kashkari, and Barkin last week that erred towards a "higher-for-longer" approach in terms of the direction of the Fed funds rate; for this week, market participants will hear from the helm of the Fed, Chair Powell's view via his public speeches on Tuesday (14 May).
by Kelvin Wong
GBP/USD higher with eye on employment report
The British pound is slightly higher on Monday. GBP/USD is up 0.20%, trading at 1.2549 in the European session at the time of writing. UK job growth expected to slide The UK labor market has held up well despite high interest rates but cracks have appeared and Tuesday’s job report is expected to be soft.
by Kenneth Fisher
NZ dollar edges lower as inflation expectations fall
The New Zealand dollar has edged lower on Monday. NZD/USD is down 0.17% on the day, trading at 0.6009 in the European session at the time of writing. NZ inflation expectations ease to 2.3% New Zealand’s inflation expectations fell to 2.3% in the second quarter, its lowest point since Q3 2021.
by Kenneth Fisher
NZ dollar dips as Manufacturing PMI contracts
The New Zealand dollar is lower on Friday. NZD/USD is down 0.31% on the day, trading at 0.6015 in the European session at the time of writing. New Zealand manufacturing has been in a prolonged slump and the April Manufacturing PMI remained in contraction, with a reading of 48.9, up from 47.1 in March.
by Kenneth Fisher
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