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AUD/USD gains ground ahead of wage growth
The Australian dollar has posted gains on Tuesday. AUD/USD is up 0.19%, trading at 0.6620 in the North American session at the time of writing. Australian wage growth expected to remain unchanged Australia’s wage growth for the first quarter is expected to remain unchanged.
by Kenneth Fisher
EUR/USD steady as German confidence index rises
The euro is drifting on Tuesday. EUR/USD is up 0.07% on Tuesday, trading at 1.0798 in the European session at the time of writing. German inflation steady, confidence higher Germany’s inflation rate remained unchanged in April at 2.2% y/y, matching the market consensus.
by Kenneth Fisher
A steeper JGB yield curve may kickstart another bullish leg in the Nikkei 225
Nikkei 225 has undergone a 4-week corrective decline of 10.6% since its 41,088 all-time high printed on 22 March. Nikkei 225 major uptrend phase in place since 4 January 2023 remains intact. BoJ’s recent announcement on its reduction of 5 to 10-year JGBs purchases has led to a spiked up in JGBs yields that implied BoJ may have loosened its grip on “yield control”. A further steepening on the JGBs yield curve may trigger a positive feedback loop back into the Nikkei 225. This is a follow-up ana
by Kelvin Wong
Pound edges lower as UK labor market cools
The British pound has posted slight losses on Tuesday. GBP/USD is down 0.08%, trading at 1.2548 in the European session at the time of writing. UK job growth slides The UK labor market continues to show cracks as job growth was sharply lower in today’s employment report.
by Kenneth Fisher
Market Insights Podcast - US CPI , Fed Speak from Powell, China retail sales and industrial production looms
OANDA Senior Market Analyst Kelvin Wong joins Jonny Hart to discuss this week's key economic data and events. Firstly, after a slew of Fed Speak from officials Bowman, Daly, Bostic, Collins, Kashkari, and Barkin last week that erred towards a "higher-for-longer" approach in terms of the direction of the Fed funds rate; for this week, market participants will hear from the helm of the Fed, Chair Powell's view via his public speeches on Tuesday (14 May).
by Kelvin Wong
GBP/USD higher with eye on employment report
The British pound is slightly higher on Monday. GBP/USD is up 0.20%, trading at 1.2549 in the European session at the time of writing. UK job growth expected to slide The UK labor market has held up well despite high interest rates but cracks have appeared and Tuesday’s job report is expected to be soft.
by Kenneth Fisher
NZ dollar edges lower as inflation expectations fall
The New Zealand dollar has edged lower on Monday. NZD/USD is down 0.17% on the day, trading at 0.6009 in the European session at the time of writing. NZ inflation expectations ease to 2.3% New Zealand’s inflation expectations fell to 2.3% in the second quarter, its lowest point since Q3 2021.
by Kenneth Fisher
NZ dollar dips as Manufacturing PMI contracts
The New Zealand dollar is lower on Friday. NZD/USD is down 0.31% on the day, trading at 0.6015 in the European session at the time of writing. New Zealand manufacturing has been in a prolonged slump and the April Manufacturing PMI remained in contraction, with a reading of 48.9, up from 47.1 in March.
by Kenneth Fisher
Hang Seng Index: Oversold-led positive animal spirits overshadowed currency war risk
The Hang Seng Index has transformed into a medium-term uptrend phase with key support at 17,110. Momentum factor is now taking a front seat over fundamentals such as the deflationary risk spiral. A softer than-expected China CPI and PPI prints for April may further erode consumer confidence. A yuan devaluation cannot be ruled out to offset weak domestic demand via a boost in export growth that can spark a currency war. This is a follow-up analysis of our prior report, “Hang Seng Index: Potentia
by Kelvin Wong
Canadian dollar quiet ahead of jobs data
The Canadian dollar is almost unchanged on Friday. USD/CAD is up 0.03%, trading at 1.3680 in the European session at the time of writing. Canada’s job growth expected to rebound Canada releases the April employment report later today.
by Kenneth Fisher
British pound listless despite strong GDP
The British pound is drifting on Friday. GBP/USD is up 0.05%, trading at 1.2531 in the European session at the time of writing. UK GDP rises 0.6% The British economy grew by 0.6% q/q in the first quarter, higher than the market estimate of 0.4% and above the Q4 2023 decline of 0.3%.
by Kenneth Fisher
Pound shows little reaction as BoE holds rates
The British pound is showing limited movement on Thursday. GBP/USD is up 0.15%, trading at 1.2515 in the North American session at the time of writing. Bank of England maintains rate at 5.25% The Bank of England kept the cash rate unchanged at 5.25% for a sixth straight time in a widely expected move.
by Kenneth Fisher
NZ dollar rises ahead of Manufacturing PMI
The New Zealand dollar has made gains on Thursday. NZD/USD is up 0.33% on the day, trading at 0.6024 in the North American session at the time of writing. New Zealand manufacturing has been in the doldrums and the April manufacturing PMI, which will be released on Friday, is expected to show contraction, with a forecast of 48.5.
by Kenneth Fisher
Japanese yen lower after BoJ minutes
The Japanese yen has posted a three-day slide and is in negative territory on Thursday. USD/JPY has risen 0.26% on the day and is trading at 155.93 at the time of writing. Is the BoJ turning hawkish? The Bank of Japan released its Summary of Opinions from its April 26th meeting earlier today.
by Kenneth Fisher
Euro drifting after weak German data
The euro continues to have an uneventful week. EUR/USD is up down 0.06%, trading at 1.0748 in the North American session at the time of trading. German industrial production declines It has been a mixed week for German data.
by Kenneth Fisher
Canadian dollar slips despite strong Ivey PMI
USD/CAD has edged higher on Wednesday and is up 0.25%, trading at 1.3760 at the time of writing. Canada’s Ivey PMI climbed sharply in April to 63.0, up from 57.5 in March and beating the forecast of 58.1. This marked the highest level since May 2022, indicating that purchasing managers have seen an improvement in business activity.
by Kenneth Fisher
Australian dollar weakens as RBA says no rate hikes planned
The Australian dollar has lost ground on Tuesday. AUD/USD has dropped by 0.31%, trading at 0.6604 in the European session at the time of writing. RBA stays pat but wary of inflation There was no surprise as the Reserve Bank of Australia maintained the cash rate at 4.35% for a sixth straight time.
by Kenneth Fisher
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