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Market Insights Podcast (Episode 440)
OANDA Senior Market Analyst Ed Moya reviews the latest market news with Jonny Hart. They discussed Fed Chair Powell's hawkish testimony, another round of strong second tier labor data, Bank of Canada rate decision, and cryptos.
by Edward Moya
Mid-Market Update: Powell Part Deux, Labor Market still looks hot after ADP & JOLTS, Stocks struggle, Oil remains heavy, Gold wavers, Bitcoin softens
US stocks struggled to find direction after another round of labor data suggests this market will remain tight and on Fed Chair Powell’s second day of testimony on Capitol Hill.  Powell did not deliver any surprises, repeating that the Fed may need to speed up the pace of its interest rate increases if necessary.
by Edward Moya
EUR/USD drifting, German retail sales slide
The euro has stabilized on Wednesday after sustaining sharp losses a day earlier. In the European session, EUR/USD almost unchanged, trading at 1.0550. German retail sales sink Germany, the bellwether of the German economy, continues to post soft data.
by Kenneth Fisher
A big blow
Stock markets are steadying ahead of Powell's second appearance of the week on Wednesday, after his comments a day earlier saw them go into retreat. The Fed Chair didn't hold back on his assessment of interest rates, signaling that the Fed will be willing to keep pushing rates higher if the totality of the data continues to necessitate it. I'll be honest, I think he's chosen his words wisely there even if he did produce a more hawkish performance than I anticipated but the message was clear. Whi
by Craig Erlam
Oil returns to range, gold crushed by hawkish Powell
Back into range Just as oil prices appeared to be gathering some momentum, Powell put an abrupt end to hopes of a breakout on Tuesday and sent them back to the middle of their recent range. Optimism over the Chinese recovery is one thing but if large parts of the global economy are going to stall or go into recession, oil prices are going to struggle to surge higher.
by Craig Erlam
Aussie takes a tumble after Powell
The Australian dollar has stabilized on Wednesday after a dreadful outing a day earlier. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading just below the 0.66 line. AUD/USD sustained its second most bearish day this year on Wednesday, with a staggering decline of 2.1%.
by Kenneth Fisher
US Close: King Dollar returns, Hawkish Powell sinks risk appetite, Oil and gold punished, Bitcoin nears lower boundaries
Fed Chair Powell killed risk appetite with a hawkish first day on Capitol Hill. Powell said that the Fed will likely need to raise interest rates more than expected due to the recent strong data and is prepared to move in larger steps if the "totality" of incoming information suggests more needs to be done to bring down inflation.  US stocks did not stand a chance after Fed Chair Powell convinced markets that policymakers are comfortable taking this rate hiking campaign much higher.
by Edward Moya
US Open: Stocks waver ahead of Powell, Biden eyes higher taxes, RBA almost done hiking, EUR supported on rising ECB bets, Oil and gold await Fed, Bitcoin softens
US stocks are slightly higher ahead of Fed Chair Powell’s Congressional testimony.  Everyone is expecting Fed Chair Powell to deliver his best hits of ‘we have more work to do’ and ‘higher for longer’.  Powell might not commit how much higher rates will go, but he will keep the door open for the Fed’s dot plots to move higher.  Lawmakers will argue that we don’t need to see a recession to bring inflation back to target.  Powell will likely signal that Americans could see economic pain later this
by Edward Moya
Swissie rally fizzles, SNB's Jordan up next
USD/CHF has rebounded on Tuesday, ending a rally that saw the Swiss franc climb over 1%. In the European session, USD/CHF is trading at 0.9344, up 0.40%. Swiss inflation higher than expected Switzerland released the February inflation report on Monday and the reading was higher than expected.
by Kenneth Fisher
All eyes on Powell
It's shaping up to be another relatively flat day in the markets as investors turn their attention to Capitol Hill ahead of Jerome Powell's first testimony. The Fed Chair will appear before the Senate Banking Committee later today to testify on the semi-annual monetary policy report. These events naturally attract a lot of attention but the reality is the Chair's performance is usually quite polished and uncontroversial, and the occasion itself can drag on and frequently venture away from topic.
by Craig Erlam
Oil pushing higher, gold awaits Powell
Pushing the highs Oil prices rebounded again on Monday, the second day in a row that they've reversed sizeable early losses to end the day in positive territory. They're now on a good run and traders were clearly not deterred by China's modest growth target for long.
by Craig Erlam
A blessing in disguise
It's been a calm start to the week as investors weigh up what China's modest growth target means for the global economy and look ahead to a busy few days. Safe to say markets were surprised by the decision to target only 5% growth this year while signaling no significant stimulus to turbo-charge the economic recovery. It may well prove to be a wise decision when you consider how well the country has transitioned from zero-Covid to living with it, while policymakers around the world may also be b
by Craig Erlam
Oil dips on China, gold eyes Powell
Oil slips on modest Chinese growth target It's not been a great day for commodities as a whole and that includes oil, which is down a little over 1% on the day. One big upside risk for oil prices this year was a strong, stimulus-driven, rebound in China and it would appear that isn't going to happen.
by Craig Erlam
Canadian dollar eyes Ivey PMI
The Canadian dollar is coming off a relatively quiet week but that could change as there a host of key releases this week. Ivey PMI kicks things off later today, followed by the Bank of Canada rate decision on Wednesday and the February employment report on Friday. Canada's Ivey PMI recorded a massive rebound in January, climbing from 33.4 all the way to 60.1 points.
by Kenneth Fisher
Aussie lower ahead of RBA decision
The Australian dollar is under pressure at the start of the new trading week. AUD/USD is trading at 0.6735 in Europe, down 0.50%. RBA expected to hike by 25 bp The RBA is widely expected to raise rates by 25 basis points on Tuesday, which would bring the cash rate to 3.60%, the highest level in a decade.
by Kenneth Fisher
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