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USD/CAD gains ground after strong US unemployment claims
US unemployment claims fall to two-month low Canada's retail sales expected to ease on Friday The Canadian dollar started the day with gains but the US dollar has rebounded after a strong unemployment claims report. In the North American session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3173, up 0.07%. US jobless claims fall to 2-month low US unemployment claims fell last week to 228,000, down from 234,000 and well below the consensus estimate of 242,000.
by Kenneth Fisher
Nasdaq - Tesla and Netflix tumble after reporting Q2 earnings
Tesla beats on earnings and revenues but warns margins may be cut further Netflix massively outpaces subscriber growth forecasts but share price tumbles Nasdaq slips again but record highs not too far away Stock markets are treading water on Thursday, with earnings from the US failing to stimulate further gains in early trade. Equities have performed extremely well recently as economic data has been more promising and the banks kicked off earnings season positively.
by Craig Erlam
Japanese yen edges up ahead of Japanese inflation report
US employment claims expected to rise Japan's core inflation projected to tick higher BoJ's Ueda says no plans to tighten policy The Japanese yen is trading quietly on Thursday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 139.45, down 0.16%. Japan's core inflation expected to inch higher Japan releases National Core CPI for June on Friday.
by Kenneth Fisher
Gold - Eyeing another move above $2,000 as inflation outlook improves?
Progress on inflation driving gold's gains UK becomes the latest to make significant improvements $2,000 a major psychological level Gold broke higher again on Tuesday after briefly paring gains late last week and early this. Lower yields and a weaker dollar are continuing to boost its appeal on the back of some more promising inflation data and lower interest rate expectations. That inflation data has been both widespread, from the US to the eurozone and now the UK, and at both the headline a
by Craig Erlam
Oil rally capped, Gold finds its pre-FOMC decision range, RFK Jr talks Bitcoin
EIA Report showed Cushing stockpiles declined most since October 2021 Fed rate cut bets for December 13th FOMC meeting rise to 24.0% Bitcoin bulls nervous a US ETF launch could trigger a similar Bitcoin futures collapse Oil Crude prices tentatively rose but gains were capped as Russian exports are expected to rise and as the EIA report posted disappointing demand figures. Oil was steadily rising over the past few weeks on expectations that Russia and the Saudis would keep this market tight.  Ru
by Edward Moya
Stocks rally as earnings keep supporting soft-landing hopes
Apple is reportedly committing to grow its own generative AI tools So far it has been a solid start to earnings season Odds grow for the Fed to be one and done on rates US stocks are rising as soft-landing hopes grow as the regional banks provide stabilization signs and on hopes that inflation will continue to cool.  It doesn’t look like we will see a major credit crunch anytime soon and that could mean good news for the recovery that takes hold next year.  Goldman Sachs delivered an earnings
by Edward Moya
Brent Crude - Oil edging higher again after recent positive developments
Oil turns higher after brief pullback EIA reports small draw of 0.7 million 200DMA could provide next test of resistance Oil prices have been creeping higher throughout the European session after bouncing back a little on Tuesday. Output curbs from Saudi Arabia and Russia appeared to have got things moving but it may be the better inflation data that we're seeing that has enabled it to push on after two months of consolidation. We've seen some volatility around the inventory data from EIA today
by Craig Erlam
AUD/USD extends slide, Aussie employment report next
AUD/USD continues to slide Australian employment change expected to slow on Thursday The Australian dollar is down sharply on Wednesday. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6774, down 0.55%. For anyone who enjoys strong volatility, look no further than the Australian dollar.
by Kenneth Fisher
GBP/USD - UK inflation data offers hope for the Bank of England
UK CPI falls to 7.9% from 8.7%, core CPI 6.9% from 7.1% BoE base rate seen peaking at 5.75% according to markets GBPUSD slips below 1.30 after the data The inflation in the UK is finally on the decline and in a rare show of good news, it's falling at a faster pace than expected on both the headline and core levels. We haven't been treated to many reports like this over the last couple of years, and even when we have any enthusiasm has quickly been extinguished.
by Craig Erlam
Sterling takes a tumble as inflation falls
UK inflation eases more than expected British pound tumbles close to 1% Pound slides as UK inflation lower than expected The British pound is sharply lower on Wednesday. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2916, down 0.92%.
by Kenneth Fisher
A bipolar world of stock market performances
US benchmark stock indices continue to maintain global leadership as its cyclical laggards are now playing catch up to the technology-related Magnificent Seven (Apple, Microsoft, Meta, Nvidia, Telsa, Alphabet & Amazon). The laggard Dow Jones Industrial Average staged a bullish breakout from a 7-month range consolidation supported by strong performances in financials/banking stocks. China’s latest “New Consumption Plan” has failed to spark bullish sentiment in China and Hong Kong benchmark stock
by Kelvin Wong
AUD/USD - Minutes reveal the RBA is undecided on future rate hikes
RBA undecided on future policy moves Markets expect one more hike but not sure when AUDUSD facing significant resistance despite a weaker dollar It's safe to say there's quite a balanced debate taking place at the Reserve Bank of Australia right now, with policymakers torn on whether conditions have become restrictive enough and if a little more will do more harm or good. While markets appear confident that the RBA will hike once more this year, when that will come is far less clear. And as we
by Craig Erlam
Dow - Nears 35,000 even as US retail sales disappoint
Retail sales numbers don't hold Wall Street back Bank earnings give investors hope 35,000 a big obstacle to overcome for the Dow Stock markets have turned positive on Tuesday after falling earlier, with US retail sales data initially weighing slightly. The numbers were much weaker than expected for June but then the May figures were revised up so it wasn't all bad.
by Craig Erlam
GBP/USD edges lower ahead of UK inflation
US retail sales dip, core retail sales rise UK inflation expected to fall The British pound has edged lower on Tuesday. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3038, down 0.27%. UK inflation expected to fall The UK is lagging behind other major economies in the fight to curb inflation.
by Kenneth Fisher
Technicals and Triggers: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, and USD/CAD
EUR/USD excessively overbought? The euro-dollar ascent was mostly a one-way move for most of July.  After inflation eased to the slowest pace in more than two years, the dollar tumbled.  With the Fed entering their blackout period before the July 26th FOMC meeting, the lack of hawkish pushback has allowed the dollar to remain vulnerable to further pain just ahead of the 1.1300 handle.  Bullish momentum has cleared multiple hurdles but the 1.1350 level should prove to be rather strong. While th
by Edward Moya
Gold rises post ECB's Klot comment and Canadian CPI report
ECB's Knot (hawk) noted that for July I think it is a necessity, for anything beyond July it would at most be a possibility but by no means a certainty Canadian headline CPI was 2.8%, versus 3% expected, which should allow the BOC to keep rates on hold Global crypto market cap hovers around $1.2 trillion Oil Crude prices are steadying here on expectations that the oil market will remain tight as Russian shipments drop and as China prepares to provide more support to households.
by Edward Moya
Wall Street grows confident Fed will be 'One and Done' on rate hikes
Both the advance and core (ex-auto) retail sales monthly reading post third straight gain Fed rate hike odds stand at 93.6% for July 26th meeting ECB odds for a July rate hike stand at 93.2%. while September falls to 60.1% US stocks are lower after a retail sales report confirmed the US economy is still healthy and ready for another quarter-point rate rise by the Fed. It was a busy morning as Morgan Stanley posted mixed results, while Bank of America impressed.  We are done with the majority
by Edward Moya
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