Analyst Profile

Łukasz Zembik

Senior Market Analyst

Education:

Łukasz graduated from the University of Warsaw with a degree in Finance and Accounting and holds a certified Financial Markets Dealer license.

Time in MarketPulse:

7 months

Łukasz Zembik has 13 years of experience in the financial markets. He specialises in foreign exchange and commodity markets, with a particular focus on central banks' fiscal policies. He's a regular market commentary contributor to leading Polish financial publications as well as international media outlets such as Reuters and Bloomberg. As a financial markets commentator, he combines both fundamental and technical analysis in his market approach.

Łukasz is the author of several educational resources on investing and financial markets for OANDA TMS clients. He also created a popular Live Trading webinar series in Poland, offering practical insights into real-time market dynamics and trading strategies.

Recently published by Łukasz Zembik

How long can the Fed still defend its independence?
The Fed is likely to keep interest rates unchanged while focusing on preserving its independence amid mounting political pressure. The labour market is stable but vulnerable, justifying caution. Markets do not expect near term rate cuts, while confidence in the dollar is increasingly at risk, raising the possibility of a self reinforcing period of dollar weakness.
by Łukasz Zembik
Why silver prices in the US and China have diverged so sharply
Silver prices have recently diverged sharply, with Shanghai trading about USD 10 per ounce above the US. The gap reflects structural differences between paper-driven Western markets and physically focused Chinese markets, strong local demand in China, and limited arbitrage. This premium signals tightening conditions in the physical silver market.
by Łukasz Zembik
Greenland as the trigger of a new trade war
Rising tensions over Greenland risk reviving an EU-US trade conflict, with Washington once again using tariffs as a tool of political pressure. Germany appears most exposed to the potential economic fallout, while cohesion within the EU remains uncertain. Beyond trade effects, renewed tariff threats are weighing on confidence in the US dollar and fueling concerns about lasting damage to transatlantic relations and the broader global economic order.
by Łukasz Zembik
Why venezuela’s political transition has left oil markets largely unmoved
Oil markets have largely ignored Venezuela’s political transition, as structural constraints prevent any rapid increase in supply. Production capacity is limited, infrastructure is degraded, and investment economics remain unattractive at current prices. While Venezuela’s vast reserves may matter in the 2030s if prices rise and politics stabilize, they pose little risk to global oil balances in the near term.
by Łukasz Zembik
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