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USD/CAD rises after Bank of Canada rate cut
The Bank of Canada lowered interest rates earlier on Wednesday and the Canadian dollar has lost ground against its US counterpart. In the North American session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3713, up 0.28%. Bank of Canada cuts cash rate to 4.75% The Bank of Canada took the plunge and cut interest rates for the first time in over four years, lowering the cash rate by 0.25% to 4.75%.
by Kenneth Fisher
Euro quiet as German services hits 12-month high
The euro is almost unchanged against the US dollar on Wednesday. EUR/USD is trading at 1.0883 in the North American session, up 0.04% on the day. German, eurozone services PMI accelerate The German services PMI was revised upwards to 54.2 in May, up from the initial estimate of 53.9.
by Kenneth Fisher
Hang Seng Index: Improvement in market breadth and southbound flows, the bull run may not be over
Hang Seng Index: Improvement in market breadth and southbound flows, the bull run may not be over Hang Seng Index component stocks that are trading above their respective 200-day moving averages have increased steadily in the past three months. A positive net inflow trend from mainland China investors and traders has developed toward the Hong Kong stock market. China Caixin Services PMI has continued to advance in May which reduces the odds of the deflationary risk spiral being entrenched in C
by Kelvin Wong
AUD shrugs as Australian GDP misses estimate
After starting the week with sharp swings, the Australian dollar is showing little movement on Wednesday. AUD/USD is trading at 0.6644 in the European session, down 0.06% on the day. Australian GDP posts 0.1% growth Australia’s GDP was a disappointment, with a gain of just 0.1% q/q in the first quarter.
by Kenneth Fisher
Market Insights Podcast - Volatile oil prices ex-post OPEC+, ECB and US NFP on the radar for this week
OANDA Senior Market Analyst Kelvin Wong joins Jonny Hart to discuss this week's key economic data and events. Firstly, OPEC+ members did not extend the voluntary cuts of 2.2 million bpd till end of 2024 but instead only until Q3 2024, oil prices reacted negatively due to incoming influx of more supplies after September 2024. Secondly, market participants have likely fully priced in a 25 bps cut for this coming Thursday, 6 June ECB monetary policy meeting.
by Kelvin Wong
Swiss franc climbing, eyes Swiss inflation
Swiss franc has extended its gains on Monday. USD/CHF is trading at 0.8961 in the North American session, down 0.68%. Swiss franc rally continues The Swiss franc posted its strong weekly gain of the year last week, rising 1.35%.
by Kenneth Fisher
Nasdaq 100: Bullish reversal remains intact supported by positive momentum in 10-year T-Note futures
Macro factor (10-year US Treasury yield) has likely taken over the driver's seat in dictating the short to medium-term directional movements of the major US stock indices. Last Friday, 31 May key intraday bullish reversals recorded in the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Dow Jones Industrial Average were led by an earlier rally in the 10-year Treasury Note futures that kickstarted in the European session. Watch the key short-term support of 18,340 on the Nasdaq 100. This is a follow-up analysis of our
by Kelvin Wong
EUR/USD calm as eurozone manufacturing improves
The euro has posted slight losses on Monday. EUR/USD is trading at 1.0835 in the European session, down 0.11% on the day. Eurozone manufacturing close to stabilizing The eurozone manufacturing sector is still contracting but there is light at the end of the tunnel.
by Kenneth Fisher
EUR/USD shrugs as Eurozone CPI higher than expected
The euro has  on Friday after edged higher on Friday after eurozone CPI was hotter than anticipated. EUR/USD is trading at 1.0848 in the European session, up 0.27% on the day. Eurozone inflation accelerates in April The inflation rate in the eurozone surprised the markets with a hotter-than-expected release for May.
by Kenneth Fisher
Canadian dollar eyes Canadian GDP
The Canadian dollar is showing little movement on Friday, but that could change with the release of Canadian GDP and the US PCE Price index later today. USD/CAD is trading at 1.3660 in the European session, down 0.15% on the day. Canada’s economy expected to have flatlined in March Canada’s economy is expected to have remained unchanged in March, after a weak gain in February of just 0.2% m/m, which was less than expected.
by Kenneth Fisher
USD/JPY: JPY cross pairs may get smacked down by higher JGB yields
A further rise in the JGB yields may increase the cost of JPY-funded carry trade strategies. The pace of the JGB yield upmove has increased significantly since March-end. A lower-end offered amount of 425 billion yen for BOJ’s scheduled bond-buying programme on 31 May for JGBs with residual maturity of 5 to 10 years may see a further rally in JGB yields. Watch the key short-term resistance of 158.30 on the USD/JPY. This is a follow-up analysis of our prior report, “USD/JPY: JPY weakness is back
by Kelvin Wong
EUR/USD climbs after US GDP, eurozone CPI next
The euro is in positive territory on Thursday. EUR/USD is trading at 1.0840 in the North American session, up 0.37% on the day. Eurozone inflation expected to tick higher to 2.5% The week wraps up with eurozone inflation on Friday.
by Kenneth Fisher
Swiss franc jumps as Swiss GDP improves
The Swiss franc has posted strong gains on Thursday after Switzerland’s GDP was hotter than expected. USD/CHF is down 0.83% on the day and is trading at 0.9056 early in the North American session.
by Kenneth Fisher
Euro edges lower as German inflation accelerates
The euro is quiet on Wednesday. EUR/USD is trading at 1.0840 in the North American session, down 0.14% on the day. German inflation rises to 2.4% Germany’s inflation rate rose to 2.4% y/y in May, following a 2.2% gain in each of the past two months.
by Kenneth Fisher
AUD/USD yawns as CPI higher than expected
The Australian dollar is showing limited movement on Wednesday. AUD/USD is trading at 0.6647 in the European session, down 0.02% on the day at the time of writing. What will it take to shake up the Australian dollar?
by Kenneth Fisher
WTI Oil: On track for a potential recovery after 2-month of 12% decline
Recent additional stimulus measures from China, a reduction in elevated net long positioning from large futures speculators & an uptick in geopolitical risk premium may support higher oil prices. Watch the key medium-term support of US$78.40/US$76.60 on WTI crude oil. A break above US$81.70 may trigger a multi-week bullish impulsive upmove in WTI crude oil. This is a follow-up analysis of our prior report, “WTI Oil Technical: Approaching a key medium-term resistance, at risk of a mean reversion
by Kelvin Wong
AUD/USD rises after retail sales tick higher
The Australian dollar has edged higher on Tuesday. AUD/USD is trading at 0.6667, up 0.25% on the day at the time of writing. Australia’s retail sales rise 0.1%, CPI next Australian consumers remain frugal and cautious, as retail sales rose just 0.1% m/m April.
by Kenneth Fisher
USD/JPY shrugs as Japan’s inflation data a mix
The Japanese yen continues to drift and is showing little movement on Tuesday. USD/JPY is trading at 156.92, up 0.01% on the day at the time of writing. Corporate service prices jumps, BoJ core CPI dips Japanese inflation indicators have been a mix this week.
by Kenneth Fisher
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