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CHF: Getting bid up due to safe haven status
The prior 6-month weakness of the Swiss franc against G-10 currencies has seen a short-term bullish reversal due to safe haven demand. Ongoing political uncertainty arising from the upcoming French legislative elections reinforced the ongoing CHF strength which led to three consecutive weekly losses on the EUR/CHF cross pair. A surprise dovish stance from the SNB monetary policy decision out on Thursday, 20 June may put a short-term halt to the ongoing CHF strength. EUR/CHF short-term downtrend
by Kelvin Wong
USD/CHF – Flat ahead of SNB rate decision
The Swiss franc is almost unchanged on Wednesday. USD/CHF is trading at 0.8838 in the North American session, down 0.04% on the day. Will the Swiss National Bank cut rates again? Switzerland’s central bank will announce its rate decision on Thursday and the markets are on edge.
by Kenneth Fisher
UK Inflation Back at 2% but Services Inflation Remains a Concern, GBP/USD Rises
UK Inflation Rate: UK Inflation Rate YoY reaches 2% yet services inflation poses a challenge. UK Core Inflation Rate YoY 3.5% down from a previous print of 3.9%. GBP/USD rises as 1.2750 resistance area beckons. The Bank of England (BoE) will likely have mixed feelings this morning following the release of the May inflation report. Inflation has hit the Central Bank's 2% target for the first time in nearly 3 years but the gap between goods and services inflation is a concern.  For all market-m
by Zain Vawda
Nasdaq 100, S&P 500 Take a Breath as US Retail Sales Disappoints
Fresh highs printed yesterday but weak retail sales appear to weigh on the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500. S&P 500 on a run of 330 days since recording a loss of 2% making it the longest streak since February 2018. Nasdaq eyeing a key trendline break.  Fundamental Overview  US Indices continued their advance yesterday with the Nasdaq 100 hitting another all-time high.The Nasdaq 100 came within a whisker of the 20000 mark before losing some momentum ahead of the market open today.
by Zain Vawda
GBP/USD eyes UK inflation
The British pound has edged lower on Tuesday. GBP/USD is trading at 1.2683 in the European session at the time of writing, down 0.16% on the day.
by Kenneth Fisher
Euro steadies after market jitters subside
The euro is steady on Monday. EUR/USD is trading at 1.0714 in the North American session, up 0.10% on the day. French election triggers market turmoil France’s financial markets took a tumble late last week, as investors are nervous about the snap parliamentary election at the end of June.
by Kenneth Fisher
Gold Price Outlook: Bears Take Early Control as US Dollar Index (DXY) Rises
Gold surrendered Friday's gains as a retest of $2300 gains momentum.  US dollar index (DXY) rises but faces stern resistance at 105.63. Geopolitics remains on the back burner for now, but risks remain. Fundamental Overview and Week Ahead Gold prices began the week on the backfoot, with a slight gap to the downside at the open.
by Zain Vawda
NZ dollar slips on soft manufacturing data
The New Zealand dollar is sharply lower on Friday. NZD/USD is down 0.61%, trading at 0.6130 in the European session at the time of writing. New Zealand manufacturing PMI misses estimate New Zealand’s manufacturing sector contracted for a 14th straight month in May.
by Kenneth Fisher
German DAX: Torpedoed by rising geopolitical risk premium in Eurozone
The rising power and influence of the EU’s far-right political parties have spooked European financial markets. A poll has indicated prominent French far-right National Rally party is leading by a significant margin over the incumbent President Macron’s party for the upcoming 1st round of the French legislative election on 30 June. The rapidly rising yield spread of the French and German 10-year government yields has triggered a reflexive negative feedback loop into the German DAX.
by Kelvin Wong
GBP/USD dips as UK growth stalls
The British pound has lost ground on Thursday. GBP/USD is trading at 1.2760 in the North American session at the time of writing, down 0.29% on the day. UK economy flatlines in April The UK economy showed no growth in April, which was in line with expectations but below the March reading of 0.4% m/m.
by Kenneth Fisher
Bank of Japan (BoJ) Preview: Potential Cut in Bond Buying to Aid Ailing Yen?
Hawkish FOMC adds further pressure on the BoJ as USD/JPY advances. Speculation builds that the BoJ will announce a more comprehensive cut to its bond buying programme. Fundamental Overview: FOMC Recap and BoJ Outlook The Japanese continued its slide this morning as USD/JPY edged higher toward the 160.00 psychological level. A brief respite yesterday for USD/JPY which was somewhat of a surprise given the outcome of the Federal Reserve (FOMC) meeting.
by Zain Vawda
Nasdaq 100: Minor melt-up sequence may have hit a roadblock
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) has given up all its ex-post US CPI intraday gains triggered by losses inflicted on the 10-year US Treasury Note futures. The ongoing weakness seen on the DJIA may act as a drag on the Nasdaq 100. Watch the 19,800 pivotal resistance on the Nasdaq 100 for a potential short-term mean reversion decline scenario to unfold. This is a follow-up analysis of our prior report, “Nasdaq 100: Bullish reversal remains intact supported by positive momentum in 10-year
by Kelvin Wong
Gold (XAU/USD) Vulnerable Heading Into US CPI and FOMC Releases
Gold struggles for direction ahead of key US data releases as geopolitics take a backseat.  People’s Bank of China (PBoC) pauses gold buying following 18-Month spree.  Downside momentum appears to be building as buyers lack conviction. Fundamental Overview Gold has edged higher this week yet remains under pressure heading into the US inflation data release and the FOMC decision.
by Zain Vawda
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