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Silver (XAG/USD) Technical Outlook: Bullish Momentum Building?
Silver has outperformed gold year-to-date, driven by increasing demand. The fundamental picture for silver is positive, with demand expected to continue outpacing supply. Short-term volatility is possible due to the US election and Federal Reserve meeting. Technically, silver is at a key support level; a close above 32.60 could signal renewed upward momentum.
by Zain Vawda
Australian dollar jumps on hawkish RBA
The Australian dollar has posted strong gains on Tuesday. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6624, up 0.59% on the day. RBA holds rates, stays hawkish Nobody should have been surprised that the Reserve Bank of Australia maintained interest rates on Tuesday.
by Kenneth Fisher
SPX 500: Downside tail-risk protection activities prevail on the eve of the US presidential election
The VIX (the implied volatility of the S&P 500) has inched higher above the 20 level in the past four sessions. The VVIX/VIX ratio has moved lower since 16 September, and past data suggests a potential short to medium-term corrective decline in the S&P 500. Watch the key intermediate support of 5,675 on the S&P 500. This is a follow-up analysis of our prior report “SPX 500: Second sign of downside volatility emerges, odds of medium-term corrective decline increase” published on 1 November 2024
by Kelvin Wong
Brent Crude - Oil Prices Rise as OPEC + Extend Output Cuts
OPEC+ extends oil production cuts, boosting Brent Crude prices above $75 per barrel. OPEC Secretary General expresses optimism about oil demand despite challenges. US Presidential election and potential geopolitical tensions add to market volatility. Technical analysis suggests Brent Crude faces resistance at $76.35, with support around $72.39.
by Zain Vawda
Markets Weekly Outlook - US Elections and Central Banks Lead the Way
Global markets experienced a mixed week, influenced by geopolitical risks and US jobs data revisions. The week ahead focuses on China's Standing Committee meeting, the US election and Central Bank Meetings. Wall Street indexes struggled, potentially due to high valuations and AI capital spend. Read More: GBP/USD Technical: Trendline Break Sets the Stage for Further Downside Week in Review: US Jobs Revised Downward After Positive GDP A mixed week comes to a close as markets deal with renewed geo
by Zain Vawda
GBP/USD Technical: Trendline Break Sets the Stage for Further Downside
GBP/USD has broken below a long-term ascending trendline, signaling potential further downside. UK budget concerns and a drop in manufacturing PMI have contributed to the Pound's struggle. UK budget concerns and a drop in manufacturing PMI have contributed to the Pound's struggle. Most Read: Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN) Earnings Preview: AI Capital Spending and iPhone Sales in Focus Cable has struggled this week following the UK budget. Pound Sterling should have appreciated against the greenbac
by Zain Vawda
SPX 500: Second sign of downside volatility emerges, odds of medium-term corrective decline increase
Bearish reversal detected below 5,930 key medium-term resistance of the SPX 500. Market breadth indicator (% of component stocks above 20-day and 50-day moving averages) has deteriorated. The odds have increased for a medium-term corrective decline on the SPX 500 as the key US presidential election risk event looms on 5 November. This is a follow-up analysis of our prior report “SPX 500: First sign of volatility detected” published on 16 October 2024. Click here for a recap. Since our last pub
by Kelvin Wong
USD/JPY bounces back ahead of US jobs report
The Japanese yen is in negative territory on Friday after rising 0.89% a day earlier. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 152.82 at the time of writing, up 0.52% on the day. Markets brace for super-soft nonfarm payrolls The US releases the October employment report later today and the markets are bracing for a soft nonfarm payroll report of just 113 thousand.
by Kenneth Fisher
EUR/USD shrugs as eurozone CPI rises to 2%
The euro is flat on Thursday after three straight winning days. In the European session, EUR/USD is unchanged on the day, trading at 1.0854. Eurozone CPI hits 2% target Eurozone inflation rose to 2% y/y in October, up from 1.7% in September and above the market estimate of 1.9%.
by Kenneth Fisher
USD/JPY eyes Bank of Japan meeting
The Japanese yen continues to have a quiet week. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 153.25, at the time of writing, down 0.07% on the day. Bank of Japan expected to stay on sidelines The Bank of Japan concludes its two-day meeting on Thursday and is widely expected to maintain policy settings, including its benchmark rate at 0.25%.
by Kenneth Fisher
Australian dollar rises as CPI falls to 3.5-year low
The Australian dollar has broken a three-day skid and is in positive territory on Wednesday. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6577, up 0.26%. Australian inflation falls below 3% Australia’s inflation rate fell below 2.8% y/y in the third quarter, down sharply from 3.8% in the second quarter.
by Kenneth Fisher
EUR/USD rises as German GDP beats forecast
The euro is up for a third straight day on Wednesday. In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0839 at the time of writing, up 0.20% on the day. Germany’s GDP for the third quarter surprised on the upside with a modest 0.2% gain.
by Kenneth Fisher
UK Budget Preview: GBP/USD, GBP/JPY and EUR/GBP Price Action Ideas
UK Autumn Budget anticipation mounts as markets remain calm, unlike during the 'Trussonomics' era. GBP/USD faces a critical juncture at the 1.3000 level, with potential for both upside and downside breaks. GBP/JPY nears the 200.00 handle, a daily close above could trigger a run towards July highs. READ MORE: This article follows my previous GBP Price Action Ideas Piece on October 16. The GBP has steadily gained ground against the majority of G7 counterparts with the exception of the US Dollar a
by Zain Vawda
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