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The US dollar retreats
US dollar dips after weak nonfarm payrolls Perhaps the most surprising move post the US Non-Farm Payrolls, came from the US dollar, which staged a sharp retreat versus major currencies, even as US yields rose. The dollar index slumped 0.52% to 95.74, before recovering to 95.90 in Asia today.
by Jeffrey Halley
Asian equities diverge
Asian markets look for direction Friday’s US data dump saw the interest rate hawks win the day, thanks to both the participation and unemployment rate tumbling lower. That saw US equities retreat once again, although a soft Non-Farm headline print took the edge of the negativity.
by Jeffrey Halley
Asia struggling for conviction
US jobs data a mixed bag The conflicting hodgepodge of US employment data released on Friday night hasn’t given Asia much in the way of themes to hang their hats on today, complicated by a Japanese holiday reducing liquidity. An underlying theme of caution still permeates the region, but it is a very mixed picture in equity markets across the region, while currency markets look like they are stuck in the mud, going nowhere fast. On Friday, the US Non-Farm Payrolls disappointed, adding only 199
by Jeffrey Halley
Market Insights Podcast (Episode 279)
Jonny Hart looks back on the week's business and markets news with OANDA Senior Market Analyst Ed Moya in New York.  This week they discuss the mixed nonfarm payroll report, FOMC rate and balance sheet expectations, what was behind the moves with oil's strong price rally, and the poor first week of trade for cryptos.  They also discuss what the week ahead has in store for financial markets.
by Edward Moya
Week Ahead - Earnings season is upon us
It's been quite the start to the year, with omicron fears subsiding only to be replaced by interest rate anxiety once more. This could be the theme for the coming months, as policymakers are forced to take inflationary pressures more seriously in the hope that a little now will prevent the need for a lot more later.
by Craig Erlam
Commodities and Cryptos: Oil pares weekly gain, Gold’s bad week could have been worse, Tough week for cryptos
Oil After a robust trading week, oil prices had a choppy Friday session after reports that Kazakhstan did not have to halt any oil and gas production and following the latest employment report that still paved the way for a March Fed rate hike. While optimism is high that the omicron variant impact on the crude demand outlook will be short-lived, it is too early to be optimistic that the worst of this wave is over.  The US CDC Director noted that the US hasn't seen the peak of this covid wave
by Edward Moya
Oil rally, bullish gold case weak, bitcoin lower
Oil at two month high as OPEC struggles to hit quotas Oil prices are continuing to climb at the end of the week as unrest in Kazakhstan and lower output from Libya further hamper producers' ability to gradually return to pre-pandemic levels. We are already seeing OPEC+ struggle to deliver the agreed 400,000 barrel per day increase and this is further exacerbating the problem. And it's happening at a time when demand is expected to remain strong thanks to omicron symptoms being mild by comparison
by Craig Erlam
Pressure mounts on central banks
Jobs report adds to inflation fears Stock markets are back in the red on the final day of the week as investors continue to fret about the prospect of higher interest rates this year. Whether this is just an exhaustion of the omicron relief trade, a case of January blues that will quickly be forgotten once earnings season gets underway next week, or something more significant will only become clear later this month. But the data isn't offering investors much chance for relief and the jobs repor
by Craig Erlam
Pound steady as markets eye NFP
UK Construction PMI cools off The UK Construction PMI for December indicated that growth at cooled off and fallen to a 3-month low. The PMI slowed to 54.3, down from 55.5 in November.
by Kenneth Fisher
Canadian dollar calm ahead of job reports
The Canadian dollar is on a holding pattern ahead of key Canadian and US employment reports later today. Currently, USD/CAD is trading just above the 1.27 line. Nonfarm payrolls could shake up US dollar It could be an active North American session for the Canadian dollar, with the release of Canada's job creation numbers and the US nonfarm payrolls.
by Kenneth Fisher
Yen hovers just below 116
All eyes are on US nonfarm payrolls, perhaps the monthly highlight on the economic calendar. An interesting prelude to nonfarm payrolls was the ADP employment report on Wednesday.
by Kenneth Fisher
Kazakhstan bites bitcoin
Bitcoin volatile over Kazakhstan unrest Bitcoin and other digital Dutch tulips have endured a torrid week thus far, with bitcoin falling 4.0% to USD 41.400.00 in Asian trading. Kazakhstan is the world’s second-biggest bitcoin mining hub and while Russian troops are shooting protestors there to restore order, bitcoin mining and the internet have been taken offline.
by Jeffrey Halley
Oil rises on supply disruptions, gold slides
Oil rallies impressively As mentioned yesterday, oil’s price action is bullish, as it shrugged off a series of seemingly bearish news inputs over the last 48 hours. That news swung the other way overnight, with domestic protests disrupting local production, and with the arrival of Russian paratroopers to restore order.
by Jeffrey Halley
Buying the dip
Markets calm ahead of US nonfarm payrolls Lots of noise, but little substance probably describes the last 24 hours in global markets. US equities moved sideways overnight, the US dollar was steady versus major currencies, US yields edged a little higher, while oil, a consistent outperformer, received a Libyan and Kazakhstan boost. The US data dump overnight held no real surprises.
by Jeffrey Halley
Asian equities rise with US futures
Asian markets mixed ahead of US nonfarm payrolls Equities traded sideways overnight as US data balanced itself out and with bulls nervously on the sidelines after the rout of the past few days, and ahead of tonight’s US Non-Farm Payrolls. However, the buy-the-dip couldn’t contain its addiction anymore, especially with the news tickers remaining quiet.
by Jeffrey Halley
Commodities and Cryptos: Oil market getting tighter, Gold battered as yields rally, Bitcoin in danger
Oil A tight oil market just got hit with supply disruptions and geopolitical risks, which means oil prices are headed higher.  Oil prices were boosted after growing unrest in Kazakhstan posed a risk to their 1.6 million barrels per day of production.  Insurgents were responsible at the beginning of the year for sending Libyan production to the lowest levels in more than a year.  Energy traders are growing very confident this market will remain very tight and now that omicron worries have eased o
by Edward Moya
US Close: Mixed Session, US Data, Yields rally, Lira weakens
US stocks were mixed as some traders found value in the heavily beaten-up tech sector, while some were hesitant to put on massive positions before Friday’s nonfarm payroll report. The big question for many traders' is how high yields will go up and at one point will it become a problem for the economy.  Most of Wall Street has an upbeat outlook for 2022, but the risks of a Fed policy mistake, US geopolitical tensions with both Russia and China, and inflationary pressures, pose serious risks to t
by Edward Moya
Oil pushes higher, gold slides after FOMC
Oil shakes off sentiment hit Oil is continuing to push higher as traders price in a modest economic impact from omicron. The OPEC+ meeting this week supported the view and the price of oil is now not far from its October peak, with WTI closing in on USD 80 for the first time in almost two months. The knock to broader market sentiment from the Fed minutes is not reverberating around the crude market, with prices up more than 2% on the day and backed by momentum. Gold hit hard by Fed minutes G
by Craig Erlam
January blues
It's been something of a downbeat day in the markets, something we may see more of this morning as the January blues kick in. The omicron relief trade appears to have played out now and attention has quickly shifted back to the interest rates dilemma, with the economy performing well but not firing on all cylinders, the labor market extremely tight and inflation at risk of getting out of control. Central bank policymakers would ordinarily like to be more patient during this stage of the recove
by Craig Erlam
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