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Oil consolidates, gold rallies
Oil consolidates Oil prices eased slightly overnight in corrective price action consistent with a consolidation of oil’s recent impressive price gains. Brent crude fell by 1.0% to USD 81.00, rising to USD 81.30 a barrel in Asia.
by Jeffrey Halley
Currency markets nervously range-trade
US dollar looking for direction The US dollar rallied sharply overnight as US equities headed south, only to give back most of those gains towards the end of the New York session as the Nasdaq recovered. US bond markets provided no direction with yields almost unchanged.
by Jeffrey Halley
Another mixed day for Asian equities
Asian markets mixed  Wall Street had a schizophrenic session overnight, falling hard for most of the day as markets continued winding themselves up that the Federal Reserve could tighten by as early as March, amid escalating inflation concerns. It is very much a short-term phenomenon though, as US inflation break evens all the way from 1 to 10 years are still pricing in a return to a 2.0% inflation nirvana.
by Jeffrey Halley
Rate hike frenzy continues
It was another choppy session overnight in equity and currency markets, followed today, by another cautious Asian session on equity markets, with forex markets marching on the spot. In other words, business as usual for the past few days. Rate hike fever rises after US job reports Federal Reserve rate hike nerves continue to grow tauter after Friday’s fall in unemployment and rise in employment cost indexes.
by Jeffrey Halley
Commodities and Cryptos: Oil softer as supply returns, Gold steady
Oil Crude prices are lower after Libya’s largest oil field resumed production, Kazakhstan’s TCO oilfields are back to normal levels, and as China's zero-COVID tolerance will lead to new restrictions.  The oil market will likely remain very tight as the world learns to live with COVID.  Travel bans will continue to be lifted as the focus will go to testing and that should do wonders for international travel once test makers have a better handle of the situation. Considering how much oil prices
by Edward Moya
US Close: Stocks slump as inflation fears drive Fed rate hike expectations, Dollar follows Treasury yields
US stocks are sliding as surging pricing pressures have the Fed on a fast-track to get rates back to neutral.  Every trader over the weekend read the Goldman note that eyed four Fed rates hikes and balance sheet runoff in July, if not sooner. Surging yields are kryptonite for many tech stocks and that theme won't change until after we get past the first couple rate hikes. Today is all about risk aversion as fears grow that financial markets completely misread the Fed's scramble to battle inflat
by Edward Moya
Oil prices ease, gold trading sideways
Oil eases near highs Oil prices are easing again on Monday after the rally lost steam around the October highs late last week. Supply issues in Kazakhstan and Libya contributed to the latter stage of the rally, with the bulk since late December coming from more promising omicron data that indicates the economic impact of the new variant will be more subdued than feared. While prices may be pulling back, aided perhaps by the broader shift in risk appetite in the markets, the fundamentals remain
by Craig Erlam
Sell-off gathers momentum
It was a fairly timid start to the week but the sell-off accelerated around the open on Wall Street, pushing Europe well into negative territory at the end of the day. Omicron relief has been replaced by interest rate angst over the past week and that may take some time to pass. We're seeing data from the US at the moment that appears to show supply issues abating, which should allay temporary inflation pressures, but more permanent pressures - like wages rising - which will concern central ban
by Craig Erlam
Aussie steady ahead of retail sales
The Australian dollar is trading quietly at the start of the week. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.7172, down 0.14% on the day. US dollar unable to capitalize on soft NFP December job numbers in the US were mixed.
by Kenneth Fisher
Euro edges lower at start of week
The euro is in negative territory at the start of the new trading week. EUR/USD is trading around 1.1320 in the European session. Investment confidence up, unemployment down The week kicked off with positive European events, although the euro was unable to gain any ground.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil and gold directionless
Oil ignores US jobs data Oil prices were almost unchanged on Friday, with Brent crude and WTI maintaining their gains even as headline US jobs data came in soft. Brent crude edged 0.20% lower to USD 81.80, and WTI fell 1.0% to USD 78.85 a barrel.
by Jeffrey Halley
The US dollar retreats
US dollar dips after weak nonfarm payrolls Perhaps the most surprising move post the US Non-Farm Payrolls, came from the US dollar, which staged a sharp retreat versus major currencies, even as US yields rose. The dollar index slumped 0.52% to 95.74, before recovering to 95.90 in Asia today.
by Jeffrey Halley
Asian equities diverge
Asian markets look for direction Friday’s US data dump saw the interest rate hawks win the day, thanks to both the participation and unemployment rate tumbling lower. That saw US equities retreat once again, although a soft Non-Farm headline print took the edge of the negativity.
by Jeffrey Halley
Asia struggling for conviction
US jobs data a mixed bag The conflicting hodgepodge of US employment data released on Friday night hasn’t given Asia much in the way of themes to hang their hats on today, complicated by a Japanese holiday reducing liquidity. An underlying theme of caution still permeates the region, but it is a very mixed picture in equity markets across the region, while currency markets look like they are stuck in the mud, going nowhere fast. On Friday, the US Non-Farm Payrolls disappointed, adding only 199
by Jeffrey Halley
Market Insights Podcast (Episode 279)
Jonny Hart looks back on the week's business and markets news with OANDA Senior Market Analyst Ed Moya in New York.  This week they discuss the mixed nonfarm payroll report, FOMC rate and balance sheet expectations, what was behind the moves with oil's strong price rally, and the poor first week of trade for cryptos.  They also discuss what the week ahead has in store for financial markets.
by Edward Moya
Week Ahead - Earnings season is upon us
It's been quite the start to the year, with omicron fears subsiding only to be replaced by interest rate anxiety once more. This could be the theme for the coming months, as policymakers are forced to take inflationary pressures more seriously in the hope that a little now will prevent the need for a lot more later.
by Craig Erlam
Commodities and Cryptos: Oil pares weekly gain, Gold’s bad week could have been worse, Tough week for cryptos
Oil After a robust trading week, oil prices had a choppy Friday session after reports that Kazakhstan did not have to halt any oil and gas production and following the latest employment report that still paved the way for a March Fed rate hike. While optimism is high that the omicron variant impact on the crude demand outlook will be short-lived, it is too early to be optimistic that the worst of this wave is over.  The US CDC Director noted that the US hasn't seen the peak of this covid wave
by Edward Moya
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