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Euro drifting ahead of FOMC meeting
The euro continues to have a quiet week and is trading just shy of the 1.13 level. All eyes on FOMC It has been a calm week for the euro, but that could change later today when the FOMC releases its policy decision.  Fed policy makers are in an unenviable position, as they strive to find that proper balance between responding to the inflation threat while also being careful not to be overly aggressive in raising interest rates. If the markets feel that the Fed has not achieved this delicate ba
by Kenneth Fisher
NAS100 - Heading for bear market territory?
Fed a big test on Wednesday It's been a wild ride so far this year and there may still be plenty more to come. The NAS100 has smashed through key support levels on an almost weekly basis and now sits around 15% off its highs, thanks to a remarkable rebound on Monday. The index has trended lower once more today but remains above yesterday's lows which could be a promising signal. Turnarounds like yesterday don't happen very often and the power of the rebound could be viewed as an encouraging s
by Craig Erlam
Gold rally, oil higher on geo risks
Gold/FX Gold is rallying as investors run to safety over fears the Fed will aggressively tighten policy and as the list of geopolitical risks continues to grow:  The Russian-Ukraine standoff will remain a tense situation for the foreseeable future, North Korea may resume nuclear tests, and Iran nuclear talks are approaching a decisive moment. The dollar edged higher as the Treasury steadied into the start of the two-day FOMC policy meeting. Oil rises over Russia/Ukraine jitters Geopolitical r
by Edward Moya
Market volatility remains elevated, another stock market comeback, US data, bitcoin base formed
Market volatility remains elevated as investors are still feeling jittery over a very tense Ukraine-Russia situation, a whole range of inflationary issues that include a potentially aggressive Fed and a global chip problem that just won’t get any better.  Optimism remains that a massive correction is still unlikely to happen because the US growth story will likely remain intact this year, but Wall Street is not seeing many buyers emerge ahead of the Fed and as the conflict in Ukraine escalates.
by Edward Moya
Euro falls, German business climate rebounds
The euro has fallen below the 1.13 level in Tuesday trade. EUR/USD is trading at 1.1266 in the North American session, down 0.55% on the day. Risk appetite down, greenback up The US dollar is higher against all the majors except for the yen, as risk sentiment has taken a tumble.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil picture favourable, gold well supported
Fundamentals remain bullish for oil Oil got caught up in the sell-everything panic at the start of the week, sliding more than 3% at one stage before recovering a little. There wasn't much sense behind the move, but the fact that the dollar was strengthening and crude was already seeing profit-taking after peaking just shy of USD 90, probably contributed to it. The market remains fundamentally bullish and conflict with Russia does nothing to alleviate supply-side pressures.
by Craig Erlam
A huge few days for markets
It's been a rollercoaster start to what was always going to be a massive week in the markets and there's little reason to expect that to change in the coming days. The turnaround on Monday was incredible. From eye-watering losses to ending the day in the green; it's not often you see that kind of action.
by Craig Erlam
Swiss franc extends slide
The Swiss franc is down sharply on Tuesday, with USD/CHF climbing above the 92 line for the first time in two weeks. In the North American session, USD/CHF is trading at 0.9184, up 0.58% on the day. Investors will be keeping an eye on Swiss Economic Expectations which will be released on Wednesday.
by Kenneth Fisher
Dollar pushes yen above 114
The Japanese yen is slightly lower, as USD/JPY is trading at the 114 line in the European session. BoJ Core CPI rises After years of deflation, Japanese inflation indicators continue to point upwards. The latest gauge to confirm the upswing was BoJ core inflation for December, which rose from 0.8% to 0.9% y/y, above the consensus of 0.7%.
by Kenneth Fisher
Aussie yawns after inflation surges
The Australian dollar is flat on Tuesday, trading quietly at 0.7140 in the European session. Q4 inflation higher than expected Inflation remains on the move, as fourth-quarter CPI beat expectations. CPI climbed 1.3% q/q (1.0% exp.), up from 0.8% in Q2.
by Kenneth Fisher
Bitcoin - Brief respite or recovery?
Rollercoaster start to the week It's been an awful couple of months for bitcoin , plunging more than 50% from its highs and looking extremely vulnerable to further losses. What started as a correction in the cryptocurrency has morphed into part of a broader sell-off that's pummelled bitcoin along with other risk assets. The concerning thing for bitcoin is that there is still plenty of anxiety in the markets and it is not far away from a massive support level . Some may be encouraged by the re
by Craig Erlam
US Close: Stocks Claw back, Fed Preview, Oil drops, Gold steady, Bitcoin fights for its life
Stocks tried to claw their way back from a massive Monday liquidation that stemmed from rising fears of aggressive Fed tightening and on fears of Russian invasion of Ukraine.  Investors may have gotten a bit too pessimistic about the growth outlook and the market selloff looked more like a reaction that the Wall Street was thinking the Fed could signal a 50-basis point rate hike for the March meeting and a late spring kickoff to the balance sheet runoff.  Fed Preview Market expectations going in
by Edward Moya
Oil prices ease, gold pares gains
Oil lower but fundamentals remain bullish Oil prices are lower at the start of the week as we continue to see some profit-taking alongside another hit to risk appetite. It's been a remarkable rally and there's nothing to suggest that prices are peaking.
by Craig Erlam
Make or Break Week
Another woeful start to trading on Monday, as heightened geopolitical risk compounds investor anxiety and drags on risk assets. It could be a make or break week for the markets, with the Fed meeting on Wednesday, big tech earnings, and ongoing tensions on the Ukraine/Russia border. That may sound a bit over the top given how deep a correction we've already seen, particularly in the Nasdaq, but it could get much worse before it gets better. Wednesday is going to be massive.
by Craig Erlam
Euro dips despite strong mfg. data
The euro has edged lower at the start of the week and dipped below the 1.13 line in the European session. EUR/USD is trading at 1.1315 in the North American session, down 0.25% on the day, as the US dollar is broadly higher. German PMIs outperform The week started with strong German data, as PMIs pointed to faster expansion in manufacturing and services for January.
by Kenneth Fisher
Canadian dollar extends slide
The Canadian dollar has started the week with losses, continuing the downswing we saw on Friday. USD/CAD is up over 1% since Thursday, as the US dollar is broadly higher against the major currencies. The week ended on a sour note for the Canadian dollar, due to weak Canadian data.
by Kenneth Fisher
Market Insights Podcast (Episode 286)
OANDA Senior Market Analyst Craig Erlam reviews the latest market news with Jonny Hart and previews the week ahead. They discussed another sell-off in equity markets, bitcoin's plunge, and Boris Johnson.
by Craig Erlam
Japanese yen at 5-week high
After gaining ground over three straight sessions, the Japanese yen has paused on Monday, as it trades around 113.80. Markets eye BoJ inflation gauge Inflation indicators continue to garner attention in Japan, which is showing inflationary pressures after years of deflation. December core CPI climbed 0.5% y/y, just shy of the 0.6% forecast.
by Kenneth Fisher
Aussie falls to 2-week low
The Australian dollar is in negative territory to start the week. AUD/USD is down about one percent since Thursday as the pair remains under pressure ahead of the Australian CPI release on Tuesday.
by Kenneth Fisher
Bitcoin Weekend Plunge: 50% off Record Highs
Cryptocurrency traders have been suffering a slow painful death after the Fed ran out of excuses in tackling inflation. In just a few months, Wall Street had to reprice a much more aggressive Fed tightening strategy that made Bitcoin go from having a simple correction, to entering bear market territory, and now has fallen over 50% from its record highs. Many crypto traders were anticipating one last plunge before jumping back in, but the regulatory environment got a lot cloudier now that the Wh
by Edward Moya
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