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Global bond yields slide as stocks rebound, US data, bitcoin rallies
US stocks breathed a tentative sigh of relief now that the bond market selloff appears to be taking a break.  In just a few weeks, Wall Street has gone from pricing in a gradual tightening of policy to a hurry-up offense that could deliver 4 to 5 rate hikes this year and a balance sheet reduction kickoff this spring.  Fed tightening expectations have been overdone and investors are now scaling back into risky assets. US data Investors quickly shrugged off a rather hot initial jobless claims re
by Edward Moya
USD/JPY dips ahead of Japanese CPI
The Japanese yen has edged higher for a second straight day. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at the 114.00 line. In economic news, Japan releases December inflation data and the BoJ will publish the minutes of its December meeting.
by Kenneth Fisher
Euro drifting as CPI hits 5%
The euro is steady on Thursday, as EUR/USD trades at 1.1330 in the North American session. Eurozone CPI hits 5.0% Inflation has been the buzzword across the major economies, boosted by soaring energy costs and supply bottlenecks which have resulted in shortages in some products. In the eurozone, inflation ticked up from 4.9% to 5.0% y/y in December.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil rally wanes, gold edges higher
Oil rally finally losing momentum Oil has been on a remarkable run in recent weeks driven by very bullish fundamentals as disrupted supply struggled to keep up with strong demand. OPEC and the IEA have referenced the resilience of demand since the emergence of omicron in recent weeks and the inability of OPEC+ to hit their production targets, or even come close, has led to the kind of one way price action we've been witnessing. While the fundamentals haven't changed, it does appear that we're
by Craig Erlam
A mixed day as earnings season continues
It's turned into a mixed session across Europe with indices giving up earlier gains initially before reversing course once more to tread water as we near the open on Wall Street. It appeared we could have been heading for a second consecutive positive session when Europe got things underway this morning, something we haven't been treated to much so far this year. But it wasn't long until we were back in the red; a further sign of the angst in the markets right now that is proving hard to shake
by Craig Erlam
CAD edges up as inflation soars
The Canadian dollar has posted slight gains and has pushed USD/CAD back below the 1.25 line. Canadian inflation hits 30-year high Investors are getting accustomed to seeing headlines that inflation has surged to 30-year highs. First, it was US inflation, followed by the UK just this week, and now Canada has joined the club of surging inflation.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil's one-way move, gold breakout,
Oil keeps rolling It appears that crude prices are still on a one-way street headed towards USD 100 oil.  The improving demand outlook and vulnerable supply situation suggest the oil market will remain tight for the foreseeable future. It seems like the list of disruptions to supply keeps on growing, in the past week the following countries have been impacted: Libya, the US (North Dakota), Peru, Iraq to Turkey, UAE, and Kazakhstan. The lack of investment in new wells suggests the oil market wi
by Edward Moya
Rollercoaster stock ride, globally hot CPI reports, earnings, US housing data, BOC to hike, yields reverse, bitcoin struggles
Stocks went on a wild ride as global bond yields reacted to a steady stream of hot global inflation reports, decent earnings, all while the Nasdaq tentatively fell to correction territory.  Inflation in both Canada and the UK hit the highest level in three decades. There is a 75% chance the Bank of Canada will hike interest rates next week and the BOE should deliver a second rate hike at the next meeting on February 3rd.
by Edward Moya
Market Insights Podcast (Episode 284)
OANDA Senior Market Analyst Ed Moya previews the day's market news with Jonny Hart. They discussed markets, both UK and Canadian CPI data reaching highest level in three decades, recap Goldman Sach's earnings, oil hitting a seven-year high, China's GDP data, and the recent bond market volatility.
by Edward Moya
Aussie rises ahead of key employment data
The Australian dollar has reversed directions and pushed above the 72 line. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.7224, up 0.54% on the day. Australia will release December employment numbers in Thursday's Asian session.
by Kenneth Fisher
Sterling rises as UK inflation jumps
The British pound is in positive territory after falling for three straight days. GBP/USD has pushed above the 1.36 line and is trading at 1.3635 in the North American session, up 0.27% on the day. UK inflation hits 30-year high Anyone reading the news has seen plenty of headlines screaming "US inflation hits 30-year high!".
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil posts gains, gold calm
Oil gathering momentum as USD 100 oil looks increasingly likely Oil prices are continuing to climb on Wednesday and find themselves only a little shy of USD 90 a barrel. This happened as IEA confirmed that the market looks tighter than previously anticipated as a result of stronger demand, despite omicron, and the inability of OPEC+ to hit its monthly increased production targets.
by Craig Erlam
Temporary reprieve
Equity markets are recovering some of yesterday's losses but anxiety and uncertainty continue to dominate after a disappointing start to earnings season. Inflation and interest rate concerns are going nowhere soon and with traders now increasingly considering the possibility of hikes larger than 25 basis points, the possibility of more pain in stock markets is very real. The idea that we could go from rock bottom rates and enormous bond-buying to rapid tapering, 50 basis point hikes, and earli
by Craig Erlam
Canadian dollar falls below 1.25
The Canadian dollar continues to push higher and USD/CAD has dropped below the symbolic 1.25 line. The pair is currently trading at 1.2476 and is close to 1.2553, its lowest level since November 10th. US Treasury rates continue to move higher.
by Kenneth Fisher
NZD rises as US dollar rally pauses
After falling over 1% since late last week, the New Zealand dollar is in positive territory on Wednesday. NZD/USD is trading at 0.6785 in the European session, up 0.19% on the day. ANZ says RBNZ to hike up to 3% The RBNZ has embarked on a series of incremental interest rate hikes, starting with two hikes of 25 bps in the fourth quarter of 2021, bringing the current rate to 0.75%.
by Kenneth Fisher
US Close: Stocks selloff as bond yields soar, Empire Survey plunges, NAHB edges lower, Goldman shows employees the money
The stocks market is selling off after disappointing earnings from Goldman Sachs, the Empire State manufacturing survey showed growth stalled in January, and as surging yields have investors abandoning rate-sensitive sectors such as technology. The emergence of skyrocketing expenses for Wall Street banks has many investors worried that wage inflation may have been broadly underpriced across the entire US economy. US data The Empire manufacturing data delivered a massive miss as omicron cripple
by Edward Moya
Oil at 7-year high, gold steady
Oil jumps as OPEC see a well-supported market Oil is trading at a seven-year high and the latest OPEC report offers little hope of that trend reversing course, with the group confident that demand growth will remain strong this year. OPEC sees demand hitting 100m barrels per day in Q3, surpassing pre-pandemic levels this year.
by Craig Erlam
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