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Commodities: Oil rally pauses, Gold lower, Bitcoin breaks $40k
Oil Energy traders were not surprised to see the oil price rally slow down.  WTI crude fell after a surprise build with US stockpiles and following a bloodbath on Wall Street that sent risky assets into freefall. Crude prices may not have a one-way ticket to $100 oil, but the supply-side fundamentals certainly support that could happen by the summer.  The next few trading sessions could be difficult for energy traders as oil prices may move more so on investor positioning ahead of Wednesday’s FO
by Edward Moya
Market Insights Podcast (Episode 285)
OANDA Senior Market Analyst Craig Erlam reviews the latest market news with Jonny Hart and previews the week ahead. Today they discussed the market's response to Netflix earnings, bitcoin falling below $40,000, and the week ahead.
by Craig Erlam
Week Ahead - Fed and earnings in focus
Earnings season is off to a rocky start and not only are investors not comforted by what they're seeing, but it's also contributing to the unease in the markets. The next week will be huge after an awful start to the year that's brought inflation and interest rate anxiety, earnings disappointment, and increased geopolitical risk.
by Craig Erlam
Oil prices ease, gold may have room to run
How long until oil bulls jump back in? Oil prices are slipping more than 1% at the end of the week, pulling back a little further from the highs just short of $90. The decline came shortly after the EIA inventory data on Thursday, which showed a surprising rise against expectations of a 2.1 million barrel decline.
by Craig Erlam
Another blow to sentiment
A turbulent end to the week with widespread selling as underlying anxiety in the markets once again takes hold. The hope going into earnings season was that companies were going to settle the nerves. That we were about to get a reminder of the strength of the economy and the resilience we've seen over the last couple of years.
by Craig Erlam
Pound dips after soft retail sales
The British pound has edged lower in Friday trading. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3558, down 0.28% on the day. UK Retail Sales slide UK retail sales had a dismal December.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil pares gains, gold steady
Oil market remains tight Crude prices initially shrugged off a mostly bearish EIA crude oil inventory report.  Shortly after the weekly oil report release, the Russian Energy ministry noted refiners continue to struggle to have minimal crude capacity offline.  The oil market remains very tight and despite the EIA’s surprise build with crude oil inventories and greater than expected gasoline build, crude prices are poised to head higher. The EIA report showed US production remained steady at 11
by Edward Moya
Global bond yields slide as stocks rebound, US data, bitcoin rallies
US stocks breathed a tentative sigh of relief now that the bond market selloff appears to be taking a break.  In just a few weeks, Wall Street has gone from pricing in a gradual tightening of policy to a hurry-up offense that could deliver 4 to 5 rate hikes this year and a balance sheet reduction kickoff this spring.  Fed tightening expectations have been overdone and investors are now scaling back into risky assets. US data Investors quickly shrugged off a rather hot initial jobless claims re
by Edward Moya
USD/JPY dips ahead of Japanese CPI
The Japanese yen has edged higher for a second straight day. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at the 114.00 line. In economic news, Japan releases December inflation data and the BoJ will publish the minutes of its December meeting.
by Kenneth Fisher
Euro drifting as CPI hits 5%
The euro is steady on Thursday, as EUR/USD trades at 1.1330 in the North American session. Eurozone CPI hits 5.0% Inflation has been the buzzword across the major economies, boosted by soaring energy costs and supply bottlenecks which have resulted in shortages in some products. In the eurozone, inflation ticked up from 4.9% to 5.0% y/y in December.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil rally wanes, gold edges higher
Oil rally finally losing momentum Oil has been on a remarkable run in recent weeks driven by very bullish fundamentals as disrupted supply struggled to keep up with strong demand. OPEC and the IEA have referenced the resilience of demand since the emergence of omicron in recent weeks and the inability of OPEC+ to hit their production targets, or even come close, has led to the kind of one way price action we've been witnessing. While the fundamentals haven't changed, it does appear that we're
by Craig Erlam
A mixed day as earnings season continues
It's turned into a mixed session across Europe with indices giving up earlier gains initially before reversing course once more to tread water as we near the open on Wall Street. It appeared we could have been heading for a second consecutive positive session when Europe got things underway this morning, something we haven't been treated to much so far this year. But it wasn't long until we were back in the red; a further sign of the angst in the markets right now that is proving hard to shake
by Craig Erlam
CAD edges up as inflation soars
The Canadian dollar has posted slight gains and has pushed USD/CAD back below the 1.25 line. Canadian inflation hits 30-year high Investors are getting accustomed to seeing headlines that inflation has surged to 30-year highs. First, it was US inflation, followed by the UK just this week, and now Canada has joined the club of surging inflation.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil's one-way move, gold breakout,
Oil keeps rolling It appears that crude prices are still on a one-way street headed towards USD 100 oil.  The improving demand outlook and vulnerable supply situation suggest the oil market will remain tight for the foreseeable future. It seems like the list of disruptions to supply keeps on growing, in the past week the following countries have been impacted: Libya, the US (North Dakota), Peru, Iraq to Turkey, UAE, and Kazakhstan. The lack of investment in new wells suggests the oil market wi
by Edward Moya
Rollercoaster stock ride, globally hot CPI reports, earnings, US housing data, BOC to hike, yields reverse, bitcoin struggles
Stocks went on a wild ride as global bond yields reacted to a steady stream of hot global inflation reports, decent earnings, all while the Nasdaq tentatively fell to correction territory.  Inflation in both Canada and the UK hit the highest level in three decades. There is a 75% chance the Bank of Canada will hike interest rates next week and the BOE should deliver a second rate hike at the next meeting on February 3rd.
by Edward Moya
Market Insights Podcast (Episode 284)
OANDA Senior Market Analyst Ed Moya previews the day's market news with Jonny Hart. They discussed markets, both UK and Canadian CPI data reaching highest level in three decades, recap Goldman Sach's earnings, oil hitting a seven-year high, China's GDP data, and the recent bond market volatility.
by Edward Moya
Aussie rises ahead of key employment data
The Australian dollar has reversed directions and pushed above the 72 line. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.7224, up 0.54% on the day. Australia will release December employment numbers in Thursday's Asian session.
by Kenneth Fisher
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