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Risk rebound as talks continue
Stock markets are rallying again at the start of the week as investors continue to be encouraged by reports of progress in talks between Ukraine and Russia. While there has unfortunately been no de-escalation within Ukraine, there is hope that talks between the two sides could lead to a ceasefire. That may be premature, even misguided given how events have unfolded over the last few weeks.
by Craig Erlam
Oil falls on Ukraine talks, gold slips
Oil pulls back on positive talks Oil prices have fallen considerably today, off around 7%, on optimism around the Ukraine-Russia talks. Crude is still trading above USD 100 though so there's still a significant premium in the market as a result of the invasion and disruption to Russian supplies on the back of the sanctions. And the lack of progress on US-Iran talks around the nuclear deal which has been "almost there" for many weeks now is not helping to alleviate any of those pressures.
by Craig Erlam
GBP/USD - Testing support ahead of Fed and BoE
Can it break lower? The pound has been trending lower against the dollar since the Russian invasion of Ukraine as traders have sought the safety of the greenback in times of stress. But what's interesting in recent days is that while market sentiment has improved, the pair has continued to slide. And with it now approaching 1.30 - a major historical psychological barrier - ahead of both the Fed and BoE meetings this week, what's next for the pair? For a bit of context, both central bank
by Craig Erlam
Pound stops the slide
GBP/USD is steady at the start of the week. The pound fell 1.51% last week, marking a third straight week of sharp losses Earlier in the day, GBP/USD touched a low of 1.3009,  as it struggles to remain above the psychologically important 1.30 line, which has held since November 2020. UK job data expected to improve The UK releases key job numbers on Tuesday, with expectations of a strong release.
by Kenneth Fisher
New Zealand dollar under pressure
The New Zealand dollar is down slightly at the start of the week, after falling sharply in the Friday session. NZD/USD is trading at the 0.68 line in European trade. NZ dollar eyes Services PMI We'll get a look at New Zealand Services PMI later in the day.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil eases, gold under pressure
Oil prices ease on Ukraine hopes Oil markets in Asia have staged an unconvincing pullback today in hopes that Ukraine-Russia negotiations are moving to a constructive stage, despite the weekend widening of the Russian bombing. Additionally, the Shenzhen lockdown may have tempered China's growth expectations and thus, its energy consumption.
by Jeffrey Halley
The US dollar rallies strongly
Investors eye FOMC rate hike The US dollar’s rapid recovery continued Friday as investors turned to how hawkish the FOMC will be, the US yield curve continued flattening, and investors loaded up on weekend risk protection. The dollar index rallied 0.60% to 99.12 on Friday, rising to 99.17 in Asia.
by Jeffrey Halley
A very mixed day for Asian equities
There are some serious divergences in Asian equity markets this morning as China concerns buffet some markets, while others rise on lower oil and Ukraine negotiation hopes. On Friday, US markets finished on a soft note as Michigan Consumer Confidence fell, and investors reduced risk into the weekend.
by Jeffrey Halley
Shenzhen lockdown muddies economic waters
Monday’s these days usually present a confusing picture to investors, and this one is no different. Reuters is reporting that both Ukraine and Russia appear to be making progress towards substantive negotiations.
by Jeffrey Halley
Market Insights Podcast (Episode 306)
Jonny Hart speaks to APAC Senior Market Analyst Jeffrey Halley about news impacting the market and the week ahead. This week we start with Asian equity markets. China markets and much of Asia are falling as Covid lockdowns expand, but US futures and others are rallying on Ukraine negotiation hopes.
by Jeffrey Halley
Week Ahead - Central banks
It's been another volatile week in financial markets with events in and around Ukraine continuing to dominate. Sentiment is still very headline-driven and an enormous amount of uncertainty remains around the outcome of talks between Ukraine and Russia and the sanctions being imposed on the latter by the West.
by Craig Erlam
Market Insights Podcast (Episode 305)
Jonny Hart looks back on the week's business and markets news with OANDA Senior Market Analyst Ed Moya in New York.  This week they discuss how financial markets reacted to the latest inflation report, President Biden's executive order on cryptos, and recapped what happened with energy markets. They also discuss what the week ahead has in store for financial markets.
by Edward Moya
Commodities and Cryptos: Oil remains volatile, Gold tumbles, Bitcoin below $40k
Oil Crude prices tentatively turned negative after Russian President Putin saw “certain positive shifts” in talks with Ukraine. Oil will remain a volatile trade as the headlines regarding the war in Ukraine and Iran nuclear talks will keep traders on edge.  Optimism for a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire is driving crude prices lower but that might not continue much until Russian ease up on their attack in Western Ukraine. Energy traders went into this week thinking Iran had a small chance there for a
by Edward Moya
Oil pares gains on Putin, gold dips
Oil loses gains on Putin comments Oil prices are a little flat on Friday and have given back most of the gains from earlier in the session when they were more than 4% up on the day. The comments from Putin didn't just give risk appetite a lift, it eased the pressure on commodity markets.
by Craig Erlam
Cause for optimism?
European equity markets are making decent gains on the final day of the week, buoyed by a suggestion that there has been progress in talks between Ukraine and Russia. We were already seeing stock markets making cautious gains in morning trade but they were given a boost by comments from Vladimir Putin. While I would love nothing more than to believe what he said to be true, I would caution that Putin has said a lot in recent weeks, almost all of which has been untrustworthy. With that in mind,
by Craig Erlam
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