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AUD calm ahead of RBA decision
The Australian dollar has posted slight gains at the start of the week, as AUD/USD trades just above the 0.75 level. Looking back at March, it was an excellent month for the Australian dollar. The currency rose 3.02%, its best month since October 2021.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil eases, gold falls as dollar rises
Oil slightly softer in Asia Oil prices eased slightly on Friday, robust US data and weekend risk supporting prices, while US SPR releases as well as yet to be determined ones from other IEA members capped gains. A UN-brokered two-month ceasefire between Saudi Arabia and Yemen’s Houthi rebels has had no noticeable impact on prices today. The China holiday is definitely muting trading volumes in Asia today, leaving Brent crude unchanged at USD 104.50, and WTI unchanged at USD 99.35.
by Jeffrey Halley
The US dollar continues to rise
The US dollar continued gaining on Friday as firm US data pushed US yields higher. The dollar index rose 0.22% to 98.57 where it remains in Asia, where a China holiday is impacting trading volumes.
by Jeffrey Halley
Asian equities tread water
A decent US Non-Farm Payrolls number on Friday was balanced out by weaker ISM Manufacturing data and a sharp rise in short-dated US yields as rate hike expectations rose. NFP posted a lower than expected, but still very healthy, gain of 431,000 jobs.
by Jeffrey Halley
China holiday mutes Asian session
A mainland China holiday today, with Hong Kong joining them tomorrow, is muting trading activity in Asia today. On Friday, the US Non-Farm Payrolls posted a lower than expected, but still very healthy, gain of 431,000 jobs.
by Jeffrey Halley
Market Insights Podcast (Episode 315)
Jonny Hart speaks to APAC Senior Market Analyst Jeffrey Halley about news impacting the market and the week ahead. In this episode, mainland China is on holiday today, muting activity across Asia. However, audit news from China at the weekend has lifted Hong Kong tech stocks.
by Jeffrey Halley
Market Insights Podcast (Episode 314)
Jonny Hart looks back on the week's business and markets news with OANDA Senior Market Analyst Ed Moya in New York.  This week they discuss how financial markets reacted to the latest nonfarm payrolls report, recapped the first quarter performance in equities and discussed cryptocurrencies. They also discuss what the week ahead has in store for financial markets.
by Edward Moya
Week Ahead - Risks mounting
As we head into the second quarter, it seems the list of economic concerns is growing rather than shrinking and yet equity markets find themselves in a very comfortable position. The rebound from the post-invasion lows has been impressive, to say the least, but whether it's sustainable will become clear in the coming weeks.
by Craig Erlam
Commodities and Cryptos: Oil pares losses, Gold struggles, Bitcoin steady
Oil Crude prices pared losses after a strong labor market showed consumer pocketbooks are growing and remote work is declining.  Earlier, WTI crude tumbled below the $100 level as energy traders digested the Biden administration’s third time of tapping the SPR, no surprises from an OPEC+ meeting on output and as Saudi Arabia oil shipments dipped in March. The knee-jerk selloff from the SPR announcement of the release of 1-million barrels a day from the SPR over the next six months won’t have a
by Edward Moya
NFP React: Stocks have lackluster start for Q2, another Strong NFP report, ISM feeling supply chain challenges
US stocks are off to a lackluster start to the quarter after an impressive nonfarm payroll report and soft ISM manufacturing report.  The labor market remains strong and employers are making progress filling vacancies.  The ISM manufacturing report confirmed the great story being told about employment but also showed inflation is getting uglier and activity is slowing as supply chain issues persist.  Inflation pressures could soon lead to demand destruction so it might be hard to see equities re
by Edward Moya
Oil falls on SPR, gold dips after NFP
Oil falls below USD 100 on SPR release Oil prices are continuing to fall today, as we await an announcement from IEA regarding the coordinated SPR release following President Biden's decision this week. Unlike on the previous two occasions, markets have responded favourably to the latest release, which is by far the largest ever from US reserves.
by Craig Erlam
Cautiously higher after strong jobs report
Equity markets are nudging higher at the end of the week after suffering losses a day earlier, as the consolidation phase continues. This continues to be a very headline-driven market and they're coming thick and fast. Talks between Ukraine and Russia are progressing well, it seems, but things can change rapidly, for better or worse.
by Craig Erlam
Euro stems bleeding as CPI hits 7.5%
Inflation sizzling in the eurozone Inflation has been skyrocketing in the US and UK, giving the Fed and BoE plenty of sleepless nights. Inflation levels had been lower in the eurozone, and ECB President Christine Lagarde has not made inflation a priority, arguing that high inflation would ease.
by Kenneth Fisher
CAD in holding pattern ahead of NFP
The Canadian dollar has posted small gains, trading just below the symbolic 1.25 line in the European session. We could see stronger movement from the currency when US nonfarm payrolls are released later today. The month of March has brought plenty of turbulence to the financial markets, highlighted by the Ukraine-Russia war, which shows no signs of ending anytime soon.
by Kenneth Fisher
Japanese yen slips, NFP next
The Japanese yen has reversed directions and is down sharply on Friday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 122.68, up 0.81% on the day. All eyes are on US nonfarm payrolls, with an estimate of 490 thousand jobs.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil edges lower, gold trades sideways
Oil is slightly softer in Asia Oil prices fell in Asia yesterday after the Biden SPR release story started circulating. That was confirmed overnight, with 1 million bpds for the next 180 days to be released.
by Jeffrey Halley
The US dollar reverses losses
Dollar recovers on Russia-Europe energy spat The US dollar rebounded overnight as the energy payment standoff with Russia and Europe took a turn for the worse, and quarter-end demand for US bonds boosted dollar demand. The dollar index rose 0.52% to 98.35, adding another 0.13% to 98.48 in Asia.
by Jeffrey Halley
Soft data leaves Asian equities cautious
Asian markets are having a mixed day Asian equities are having a very mixed day after stocks in the US ended the quarter on a soft note, although quarter-end flows may have muddied the price action. The S&P 500 fell 1.57%, the Nasdaq fell 1.54%, and the Dow Jones fell 1.56%, even as US yields eased on quarter-end buying and on target US data.
by Jeffrey Halley
Asia data weakens
Q2 of 2022 is going to start as messily as Q1 has finished, with markets buffeted by a multitude of strong winds from various directions, with the outcome no clearer for the future than ever. The Russian invasion of Ukraine continues to grab headlines, with massive downstream impacts on commodity prices globally.
by Jeffrey Halley
Pound shrugs as UK GDP revised upwards
UK economy up 1.3% in Q4 The British economy performed better than expected in the fourth quarter. Final GDP rose by 1.3% in Q4 of 2021, upwardly revised from the first quarterly estimate of a 1.0% gain.
by Kenneth Fisher
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