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NZ dollar hits 15-week high
The New Zealand dollar continues to rally and is up 0.82% this week. Earlier in the day, NZD/USD punched above the symbolic 70 line and rose to 0.7034, its highest level since November 2021, before retreating lower. US Services PMI accelerates The US Services PMI for March pointed to continuing expansion, with a reading of 58.3.
by Kenneth Fisher
Japanese yen dips, wage growth falls
USD/JPY was sailing in calm waters on Tuesday but has gained ground in the North American session. The yen is trading at 123.25, up 0.40% on the day. Kuroda talks tough about the yen Similar to what we saw last week, Japanese officials were talking about the yen, expressing concern about currency movements.
by Kenneth Fisher
Aussie rockets as RBA hints at hike
The Australian dollar is turning heads, as AUD/USD has jumped a massive 1.27% today. In the European session, the Australian dollar hit 0.7639, its highest level since June 2021. RBA says audieu to 'patience' If I had to pick a word that encompassed RBA Governor Lowe's monetary stance, it would be 'patience'.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil rises on sanctions talk, gold steady
Oil prices higher on European sanctions fears Oil prices started rallying in Asia yesterday after Europe indicated tighter sanctions on Russia. Fears mounting that Europe would finally target the Russian energy sector, further squeezing supplies.
by Jeffrey Halley
Asia shuffles sideways
Holidays in mainland China and Hong Kong are muting activity once again in Asia, which looks content to watch this session from the sidelines. Overnight, Elon Musk stole the headlines, announcing with a swipe of his debit card, the purchase of a 9.20% stake in Twitter worth USD 2.90 billion.
by Jeffrey Halley
AUD/USD - Building breakout momentum?
Can it take the next step? The Aussie dollar has performed well against the greenback since early February and while it appeared to have lost some momentum recently, it may have rediscovered that today. The pair ran into resistance around the late-October highs last week and has been in consolidation since but as you can see today, it's spiked higher and the MACD and stochastic on the 4-hour chart suggest there's some momentum behind the move. The fact that we never saw much of a pullback f
by Craig Erlam
Yen takes a pause after busy week
The Japanese yen has started the week with slight gains, as USD/JPY is trading at 122.75 in the North American session. It was a rollercoaster week for the yen, which showed strong volatility throughout the week. USD/JPY posted considerable gains on Friday, as the US/Japan rate differential widened on Friday and pushed the yen briefly above the 123 line.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil stabilises, gold looks for direction
Oil steadies as IEA prepares details of reserve release Oil prices have pulled back considerably since peaking last month in the early days of the invasion. Declines over the last couple of weeks have been aided by lockdowns in China and a massive SPR release by the IEA, the details of which should become known early this week. The US has already made its contribution known which will go some way to easing the tightness in the market and supply shock from Russia, where sanctions are biting.
by Craig Erlam
Caution ahead of more talks
European stocks are treading water on Monday and Wall Street is eyeing a similar open amid another cautious start to the week. Virtual talks are set to resume as Europe prepares fresh sanctions against Russia following the release of disturbing images over the weekend. Pressure is ramping up on Brussels to enforce a total ban on Russian energy imports in order to enforce real damage and punishment against the Kremlin for the invasion.
by Craig Erlam
AUD calm ahead of RBA decision
The Australian dollar has posted slight gains at the start of the week, as AUD/USD trades just above the 0.75 level. Looking back at March, it was an excellent month for the Australian dollar. The currency rose 3.02%, its best month since October 2021.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil eases, gold falls as dollar rises
Oil slightly softer in Asia Oil prices eased slightly on Friday, robust US data and weekend risk supporting prices, while US SPR releases as well as yet to be determined ones from other IEA members capped gains. A UN-brokered two-month ceasefire between Saudi Arabia and Yemen’s Houthi rebels has had no noticeable impact on prices today. The China holiday is definitely muting trading volumes in Asia today, leaving Brent crude unchanged at USD 104.50, and WTI unchanged at USD 99.35.
by Jeffrey Halley
The US dollar continues to rise
The US dollar continued gaining on Friday as firm US data pushed US yields higher. The dollar index rose 0.22% to 98.57 where it remains in Asia, where a China holiday is impacting trading volumes.
by Jeffrey Halley
Asian equities tread water
A decent US Non-Farm Payrolls number on Friday was balanced out by weaker ISM Manufacturing data and a sharp rise in short-dated US yields as rate hike expectations rose. NFP posted a lower than expected, but still very healthy, gain of 431,000 jobs.
by Jeffrey Halley
China holiday mutes Asian session
A mainland China holiday today, with Hong Kong joining them tomorrow, is muting trading activity in Asia today. On Friday, the US Non-Farm Payrolls posted a lower than expected, but still very healthy, gain of 431,000 jobs.
by Jeffrey Halley
Market Insights Podcast (Episode 315)
Jonny Hart speaks to APAC Senior Market Analyst Jeffrey Halley about news impacting the market and the week ahead. In this episode, mainland China is on holiday today, muting activity across Asia. However, audit news from China at the weekend has lifted Hong Kong tech stocks.
by Jeffrey Halley
Market Insights Podcast (Episode 314)
Jonny Hart looks back on the week's business and markets news with OANDA Senior Market Analyst Ed Moya in New York.  This week they discuss how financial markets reacted to the latest nonfarm payrolls report, recapped the first quarter performance in equities and discussed cryptocurrencies. They also discuss what the week ahead has in store for financial markets.
by Edward Moya
Week Ahead - Risks mounting
As we head into the second quarter, it seems the list of economic concerns is growing rather than shrinking and yet equity markets find themselves in a very comfortable position. The rebound from the post-invasion lows has been impressive, to say the least, but whether it's sustainable will become clear in the coming weeks.
by Craig Erlam
Commodities and Cryptos: Oil pares losses, Gold struggles, Bitcoin steady
Oil Crude prices pared losses after a strong labor market showed consumer pocketbooks are growing and remote work is declining.  Earlier, WTI crude tumbled below the $100 level as energy traders digested the Biden administration’s third time of tapping the SPR, no surprises from an OPEC+ meeting on output and as Saudi Arabia oil shipments dipped in March. The knee-jerk selloff from the SPR announcement of the release of 1-million barrels a day from the SPR over the next six months won’t have a
by Edward Moya
NFP React: Stocks have lackluster start for Q2, another Strong NFP report, ISM feeling supply chain challenges
US stocks are off to a lackluster start to the quarter after an impressive nonfarm payroll report and soft ISM manufacturing report.  The labor market remains strong and employers are making progress filling vacancies.  The ISM manufacturing report confirmed the great story being told about employment but also showed inflation is getting uglier and activity is slowing as supply chain issues persist.  Inflation pressures could soon lead to demand destruction so it might be hard to see equities re
by Edward Moya
Oil falls on SPR, gold dips after NFP
Oil falls below USD 100 on SPR release Oil prices are continuing to fall today, as we await an announcement from IEA regarding the coordinated SPR release following President Biden's decision this week. Unlike on the previous two occasions, markets have responded favourably to the latest release, which is by far the largest ever from US reserves.
by Craig Erlam
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