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Market Insights Podcast (Episode 346)
Disconnect or Rebound? Jonny Hart speaks to APAC Senior Market Analyst Jeffrey Halley about news impacting the market and the week ahead. It's another blockbuster episode today, and we are covering a LOT of ground. Firstly, the stock markets are rallying impressively despite recession expectations rising.
by Jeffrey Halley
Week Ahead - Welcome relief
Financial markets enjoyed a little reprieve last week following a raft of central bank announcements the week before. Next week sees the focus remain on policymakers, with many set to appear at the ECB Forum on Central Banking in Portugal. Recessions have gone from being a potential consequence of high inflation and rapid monetary tightening to an increasingly likely scenario.
by Craig Erlam
Market Insights Podcast (Episode 345)
Jonny Hart looks back on the week's business and markets news with OANDA Senior Market Analyst Ed Moya in New York.  This week they talk about Fed Chair Powell's two day's of testimony to Congress, oil prices, and discuss the crypto markets. They also discuss what the week ahead has in store for financial markets.
by Edward Moya
Mid-Market Update: Stocks rally on easing inflation expectations and Bullard's optimism, Oil rallies, Gold remains a choppy trade, Bitcoin edges higher
US stocks are rallying after a key survey showed inflation expectations are easing and following Fed Bullard’s optimistic comments about the economy. Hopes that inflation is peaking and that the economy is still on solid footing has some investors confidently buying up heavily discounted stocks.  It seems Wall Street is starting to believe that even if the economy has a recession, it will be a short one. This could still be a bear market rally, but that might change if we get some less pessimist
by Edward Moya
Euro drifting as German confidence dips
It has been a relatively quiet week in the currency markets, and the limited activity has continued today, with the euro unchanged. German consumer confidence drops Germany, the bellwether for the eurozone, continues to churn out weak numbers, raising concerns that the bloc could be headed toward a recession. German ifo Business Climate dipped to 92.3 in June, down from 93.0 in May (92.8 est.) Germany and the rest of the eurozone remain vulnerable to negative economic factors which, unfortunat
by Kenneth Fisher
Sterling rises despite weak UK data
UK retail sales decline again The pound has edged higher today, shrugging off soft UK releases. Retail sales for May fell 0.5%, and declined 4.7% YoY, below the estimate of -4.5% (-5.7% prior).
by Kenneth Fisher
A week of consolidation
A week of consolidation in stock markets after last week's rout, with Europe looking to end the week with small gains. It hasn't been the blockbuster week that last was. But that's only natural, last week we had a wrath of big central bank meetings and rate announcements.
by Craig Erlam
Japanese yen's rally takes pause
The Japanese yen is almost unchanged on Friday, trading at the 135.00 line. Lower US yields boost yen The Japanese yen showed some strength yesterday, gaining around 1% against the dollar. The yen's improvement was a mechanical response to lower US yields rather than any positive factors related to the yen.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil almost unchanged, gold falls
Oil prices are noisy but unchanged Oil prices had another noisy overnight session, trading in wide intraday ranges. Ultimately, as the dust settled, both Brent and WTI finished almost unchanged for the second day in a row.
by Jeffrey Halley
Dollar trading sideways
Currency markets continue their sideways trading Currency markets remained steady once again overnight and seem to be finding the back-and-forth histrionics in the stock and bond markets a bit tiresome. Currency markets seem to be adopting a step out of the noise, wait-and-see approach into the end of the week.
by Jeffrey Halley
Asian markets higher as Wall Street climbs
Asian equities are content to follow Wall Street’s rally Wall Street booked another session of decent overnight gains as somewhat counteractively, lower US yields on recession fears prompted more equity buying. The S&P 500 rose by 0.95%, the Nasdaq jumped 1.62% higher, while the Dow Jones gained 0.66%.
by Jeffrey Halley
Markets are betting the Fed has it wrong again
Markets pricing in a US recession The second day of Jerome Powell’s semi-annual testimony on Capitol Hill passed without incident, in contrast with the frenzy on Wednesday. He reiterated an unconditional commitment to fight inflation by the Federal Reserve, but markets instead continued to price in a recession, stopping rate hikes in their tracks much sooner.
by Jeffrey Halley
Oil slides again, gold vulnerable to technical selling
Oil falls as demand eases Oil prices softened after softer economic data in the US and Europe confirmed fears that crude demand destruction is happening. The oil market however remains very tight and declining production should prevent prices from falling below the USD 100 a barrel level.
by Edward Moya
Stocks edge higher post Fed speak
US stocks edged higher after another round of hawkish comments from the Fed and as US economic data softens but provides no reason for the Fed to abandon its firm commitment to bring down inflation. ​ Traders are still optimistic that even if the economy has a recession, it will be a short one.
by Edward Moya
Market Insights Podcast (Episode 344)
OANDA Senior Market Analyst Craig Erlam reviews the latest market news with Jonny Hart. They discuss Jerome Powell's comments in Congress, UK inflation, the CBRT rate decision and the latest gas situation in Europe.
by Craig Erlam
Choppy trading continues
It's been a rather choppy week in financial markets and we're seeing that reflected again on Thursday, with European stocks back in negative territory after recovering losses earlier. Equity markets have fallen heavily over the last couple of weeks as aggressive tightening and heightened recession fears weigh heavily on risk appetite. They may now be establishing a temporary bottom as yields ease off their highs but don't get too excited.
by Craig Erlam
Pound drifting ahead of UK retail sales
Markets brace for soft retail sales It continues to be a quiet week for the British pound. That could change on Friday, with the markets bracing for more bad news from retail sales data for May.
by Kenneth Fisher
Japanese yen eyes inflation report
The Japanese yen is in positive territory today, extending its gains from yesterday. USD/JPY is trading at 135.46 in the European session, down 0.56% on the day. Yen rises as US yields dip The yen has gained a bit of strength as USD/JPY is back below 136.00, after rising close to 136.71 earlier in the week, its highest level since September 1998.
by Kenneth Fisher
Euro slips on weak PMIs
The euro is in negative territory on Thursday and has pared most of this week's gains. EUR/USD is trading just above the 1.05 line in the European session, down 0.58% on the day. German, eurozone PMIs soften Today's German and eurozone PMIs indicated slower activity in May, which reflects weaker economic activity.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil falls, gold continues range-trade
Oil prices edge lower in Asia Oil prices tumbled in Asia yesterday morning but managed to recover some of their losses throughout the rest of the day. Nevertheless, oil still recorded a substantial loss for the session.
by Jeffrey Halley
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