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Canada's CPI expected to rise
The Canadian dollar started the week with gains, but has reversed directions on Wednesday. USD/CAD is trading at 1.2978, up 0.47% on the day. CPI expected to hit 7.4% Canada releases the May inflation report later today, and the markets are bracing for another rise.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil pares gains, gold range trades
Oil prices slump in Asia Oil prices probed the topside intraday overnight but gave back those gains with Brent crude almost unchanged at USD 114.60 a barrel, and WTI edging 0.55% lower to USD 109.65 a barrel. In Asia, both contracts have slumped, with WTI notably, falling through longer-term support.
by Jeffrey Halley
Currency markets continue sideway trading
US dollar steady ahead of Powell testimony With the notable exception of the Japanese yen once again, currency markets refused to buy into the snake oil promises of the equity markets. The US dollar did push lower intraday across the board but recovered as US yields held firm.
by Jeffrey Halley
Asia markets drop ahead of Powell testimony
Asian equities ignore the overnight Wall Street rally Wall Street rallied broadly overnight, with the three main indexes having banner days as the call of buy-the-dip proved irresistible after a weekend in the Hamptons. The S&P 500 rallied by 2.45%, the Nasdaq leapt 2.51% higher, and the Dow Jones booked a healthy 2.19% gain.
by Jeffrey Halley
Gone in 60 seconds
Gone in 60 Seconds was a movie released in 2000 starring Nicholas Cage who is charged with stealing 50 high-end cars in three days. It is actually a remake of my preferred 1974 version, where the “hero” is set a much more reasonable target of stealing 48 cars in five days, but I guess that is productivity progress for you.
by Jeffrey Halley
Oil rebounds, gold struggles
Oil rallies on tight supplies Oil prices are rallying as last week’s selloff was overdone given how the short-term crude demand outlook remains for the US and China. ​ The oil market remains too tight over the short-term and rising expectations over tougher sanctions with Russian crude should keep demand especially strong here. Energy traders saw oil prices slide almost 15% in just a week, despite a very tight market. ​ The paid-for crude prices wasn’t justified and more of a reflection of the r
by Edward Moya
Blockchain of broken dreams, stocks bounce back, data shows slowing growth and not a collapse
Blockchain of Broken Dreams Crypto traders have been walking a lonely road that no one knows how low it will go. ​ Wall Street has been closely checking the vital signs of the cryptoverse and the good news is that it is still alive. Bitcoin’s shadow is not the only thing rallying today as US stocks bounce back after a disastrous trading week sent it to bear market territory. For the longest time, it seems bitcoin hodlers were walking on the boulevard of broken dreams.
by Edward Moya
Bitcoin - Sinking fast
OANDA Senior Market Analyst Craig Erlam talks about bitcoin which has continued to plunge in a tough environment.
by Craig Erlam
Oil prices recover, gold stuck in range
Oil risks remain tilted to the upside Oil prices are around 1% higher, continuing to recover from Friday's sharp sell-off. The oil market remains extremely tight but it seems the rising threat of recession created a compelling argument for it to correct lower last week.
by Craig Erlam
Plenty of action to come
European stocks are making small gains again on Tuesday, benefiting from the relatively calm start to the week. The US returns following the bank holiday weekend which could see activity pick up, with particular focus on what the various central bankers have to say. Jerome Powell's testimony in Congress on Wednesday and Thursday will naturally be the highlight but in this rapidly changing environment, all views will have the potential to get things moving. There's no doubt that the next few days
by Craig Erlam
Japanese yen punches past 136
After a quiet start to the week, the US dollar is again rallying against the hapless Japanese yen. USD/JPY is currently trading at 136.18, up 0.78% on the day.
by Kenneth Fisher
RBA's Lowe signals 50-bps hike
It continues to be a quiet week for the Australian dollar, in sharp contrast to last week's roller-coaster ride. AUD/USD has edged higher today, as the market response to the RBA minutes and a speech from Governor Lowe has been muted. RBA minutes, Lowe offer few clues Anyone looking for some guidance from the RBA minutes came away disappointed, as the gist of the minutes was a defence of the surprise move to raise interest rates by 50bps at the meeting.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil moves higher, gold range-trades
Oil prices start reversing the Friday slump As I outlined above, oil futures have started reversing the Friday price slump as speculative capitulation collides with the reality of tight energy markets in the real world. Brent crude held USD 112.00 overnight, finishing 0.92% higher at USD 114.05 a barrel.
by Jeffrey Halley
US dollar steady after US holiday
Currency markets trade sideways over the US holiday Not a lot has changed in currency markets overnight despite some decent intraday ranges. The US holiday and a slow news reel ensured that currency traders took the option of easing into the week, awaiting the US return this evening.
by Jeffrey Halley
Asian equities move higher
Asian markets regain confidence US futures moved higher in Asia yesterday and continued gaining through European time as a lack of really negative headlines allowed the buy-the-dippers to dip their toes in the market. That also helped European equities sage a decent recovery as well, with markets ignoring the shock result in the French parliamentary elections.
by Jeffrey Halley
A quiet day in Asia
With the US on holiday yesterday, activity was muted overnight. Currency, precious metal, and crypto markets traded sideways, while equities used a slow news night to stage a modest recovery, led by European equities.
by Jeffrey Halley
Aussie eyes RBA minutes
It was a roller-coaster week for the Australian dollar, with much of the volatility driven by central bank rate moves. AUD/USD ended the week with a huge decline of 1.62% but has started the week in positive territory. Last week's releases indicate that the labour market remains robust and that inflation expectations are accelerating.
by Kenneth Fisher
A steady start
European stocks are making steady gains on Monday, recovering a small portion of last week's heavy losses as economic concerns mounted. There has undoubtedly been a shift in the market mindset over the last week and a half that has weighed heavily on risk assets. The prospect of a recession is being considered far more broadly and what's more, central banks are increasingly resisting the urge to push back against it. It seems inflation has gone from being the primary concern to the only one.
by Craig Erlam
Bullish outlooks for oil and gold
Oil hit by recession fears, gas prices remain high Oil prices are steady on Monday after tumbling late last week as economic fears took hold. The market remains extremely tight but the threat of recession is one of the few negative forces for crude prices.
by Craig Erlam
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