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Oil, gold under pressure from central banks
Oil Crude prices were under pressure as fears of an aggressive central bank tightening are driving concerns for a quickly weakening global economy and as the UAE plans to increase oil output. ​ The global economy is slowing and that has been troubling for the crude demand outlook. ​ Oil pared losses as Wall Street saw a broad reversal at the NY open. While pessimism remains elevated for global growth, extreme positioning before the Fed seems unlikely. ​ Gold Gold is breaking as surging real rate
by Edward Moya
Australian dollar falls, RBA minutes loom
The Australian dollar has started the week with considerable losses. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6694, down 0.40%. Will minutes shed light on RBA's plans? It's a light calendar this week for Australian releases.
by Kenneth Fisher
SNB expected to deliver 0.75% hike
The Swiss franc has started the week in negative territory. In the North American session, USD/CHF is trading at 0.9674, up o.31%. Swiss National Bank to continue tightening The Times They Are a Changin. This is nowhere more apparent than in Switzerland, where the SNB is poised to end the negative rate era on Thursday.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil steadies, gold plunge, bitcoin under pressure
OPEC+ threats lending support It's been another volatile week for oil prices, with global growth fears dampening the demand outlook but OPEC+ sitting in the background ready to respond if prices drop too far. Brent crude remains above $90 at the moment which may stop the alliance from calling one of the emergency meetings it warned of but if growth fears continue to rise, that may change.
by Craig Erlam
Not what investors had in mind
A confidence hit This isn't the end of the week that investors had in mind when they were front-running Tuesday's inflation report in anticipation of another deceleration in price growth. The mood has turned far more pessimistic over the last few days, from the possibility of the much discussed "dovish pivot" from the Fed next week to a potential 1% hike and recession next year. That's quite the shift on the back of one economic release but that's the weight that investors had put on the report
by Craig Erlam
Week Ahead - Aggressive tightening
Many on Wall Street are watching the Fed’s rate hiking cycle and are getting nervous they will tip the economy into a recession.  With scorching inflation, the FOMC may consider a full-point rate hike but will likely settle on delivering its third consecutive 75 basis-point increase. At Wednesday’s policy meeting, Fed Chair Jerome Powell will likely acknowledge downside risks to growth are here and unrelenting inflation is forcing them to maintain an aggressive pace of tightening.
by Craig Erlam
US Close: Stocks remain in doom and gloom mode after FedEx Warning, Oil's bad week, Gold steadies, Bitcoin follows equities lower
US stocks were dealt another blow after FedEx warned that the economy was about to enter a ‘worldwide recession.’ Wall Street was already nervous that the Fed’s inflation fighting mission was going to trigger a recession, but now it seems corporate America is already showing signs that the economy is slowing. FedEx FedEx shares plunged the most in forty years after they had withdrawn their guidance.  A weakening economy and rising competition from Amazon complicate how FedEx will perform this
by Edward Moya
New Zealand dollar extends losses
The New Zealand dollar remains under pressure, as NZD/USD is having a dreadful week, down 2.47%. In the North American session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.5950, down 0.27%. NZ Manufacturing PMI surprises to the upside It has been a solid week for New Zealand data, but that hasn't helped the New Zealand dollar, which has fallen to its lowest level since May 2020.
by Kenneth Fisher
Japanese yen - calm before the storm?
After some mid-week volatility, USD/JPY has settled down. In the European session, the yen is trading quietly at 143.59. Markets eye BoJ meeting For anyone following the Japanese yen, next week promises to be interesting, at the very least.
by Kenneth Fisher
Crude lower, gold pummeled
Oil falls as US economy slows Crude prices got knocked again as demand fears intensified after a wrath of economic data shows the US economy is slowing down. ​ Oil fundamentals are still mostly bearish as China’s demand outlook remains a big question mark and as the inflation fighting Fed seems poised to weaken the US economy. ​ The US Department of Energy also clarified that the restocking of the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) won’t happen due to prices falling at a certain level and that th
by Edward Moya
GBP/USD dips on strong US data, UK GDP next
The British pound is in negative territory today and has fallen below the 1.15 line. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.1497, down 0.38%. US retail sales, jobless claims beat forecast US retail sales rose 0.3% MoM in August, rebounding from -0.4% in July.
by Kenneth Fisher
NZD steady after solid GDP
New Zealand GDP surprises on the upside New Zealand posted a stronger-than-expected GDP report for Q2. The economy climbed 1.7%, reversing the 0.2% decline in the first quarter.
by Kenneth Fisher
Australian dollar yawns after jobs report
The Australian dollar is showing little movement today after the solid Australian employment report. Australian employment rebounds The Australian labour market remains resilient, as indicated by a solid August employment report. The increase in employment of 33.5 thousand was very close to the consensus of 35 thousand, with the gain of 58.8 thousand full-time jobs especially impressive.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil steady, gold vulnerable
Oil steady after inventory data Oil prices have steadied a little after rebounding strongly this past week. There are many forces dictating the price action in oil markets right now, with economic uncertainty right up there alongside a potentially unpredictable OPEC+.
by Craig Erlam
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