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US Close: bye-bye Santa rally, grinch selloff is here to stay, US data, Micron gloom, oil wavers, gold drops, cryptos lower
The Grinch selloff is firmly in place after Micron delivered a gloomy outlook and as better-than-expected US economic data supported the Fed's case for more ongoing rate increases. Global coordinated central bank tightening has yet to fully impact most of the economic readings for the major economies and that should have investors nervous over ​ earnings downgrades and credit risks. US data Following another round of economic data, the US economy doesn’t look like it wants to head into a reces
by Edward Moya
Japanese yen steady ahead of CPI
The Japanese yen has edged higher on Thursday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 132.09, down 0.27%. The dust has settled after Tuesday's dramatic events, when the yen shot up 3.7%.
by Kenneth Fisher
Euro steady on light data calendar
EUR/USD continues to drift this week, content to stick close to the 1.06 line. There are no eurozone releases today, so I expect the euro to continue treading in place for the remainder of the day. This week's data calendar in Europe has been very light, with mostly tier-2 releases.
by Kenneth Fisher
Canadian dollar yawns after mixed CPI report
The Canadian dollar continues to have an uneventful week. USD/CAD is unchanged on Thursday, trading at 1.3608 in the European session. Canada's CPI slows to 6.8% There was mixed news from Canada's November inflation report and the Canadian dollar showed little reaction.
by Kenneth Fisher
Market Insights Podcast (Episode 414)
OANDA Senior Market Analyst Ed Moya reviews the latest market news with Jonny Hart. They discussed the surprisingly good earnings and reactions from Nike and FedEx, energy markets, and the latest news with cryptos.
by Edward Moya
Euro steady after German consumer confidence
EUR/USD continues to have a quiet week, as the euro appears content to trade close to the 1.06 line. German consumer confidence ticks higher Germany's consumer confidence is inching higher but remains buried in negative territory. The GfK Consumer Sentiment Index is forecasting a read of -37.8 for January, up slightly from -40.1 in December and above the consensus of -38.0 points.
by Kenneth Fisher
Stocks embrace confidence data and earnings, return of confidence, earnings impress, cryptos edge lower
US stocks are rallying after consumer confidence bounces back and on strong earnings by Nike and FedEx. The news was too good today and that has made the many Grinches on Wall Street tentatively throw in the towel. Return of Confidence Today’s consumer confidence reading is a head-scratcher for people expecting the economy to quickly fall into a recession.
by Edward Moya
Oil rallies, gold wavers
Oil Crude prices are rallying after stockpiles declined more than expected and as OPEC+ remains committed to keeping supplies tight. ​ The EIA report showed that crude, gasoline, and distillate demand improved from the prior week.
by Edward Moya
GBP/USD under pressure, UK GDP next
GBP/USD is sharply lower on Wednesday. In the North American session, the pound is trading at 1.2093, down 0.74%. Retail sales outperform There was an unexpected surprise from the UK CBI Realized Sales today.
by Kenneth Fisher
USD/CAD calm ahead of Canadian CPI
USD/CAD has posted small gains on Wednesday and is trading at 1.3631 in the European session. Canadian dollar eyes inflation report Canada releases the November inflation report later today. The inflation print will be closely watched by investors, as the releases could signal what action the Bank of Canada takes next.
by Kenneth Fisher
Japanese yen steadies after massive gains
The Japanese yen is unchanged on Wednesday, taking a pause after posting huge gains a day earlier. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 131.68. BoJ yield move sends yen soaring It was a day to remember for the Japanese yen, which gained a staggering 3.7% against the dollar.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil rises, gold shines
Oil Crude prices got an unexpected boost from a surprising Bank of Japan decision to shift their policy which sent the dollar tumbling. ​ Oil should be higher, but China’s COVID surge has energy traders refraining from betting on a quick complete reopening.
by Edward Moya
Euro eyes German consumer confidence
EUR/USD continues to drift and is showing little movement on Tuesday. In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0630, up 0.21%. German consumer confidence expected to remain low In Germany, Ifo Business Confidence improved to its highest level in five months on Monday, showing a rebound in optimism across the manufacturing and service sectors.
by Kenneth Fisher
AUD/USD slides after dovish RBA minutes
The Australian dollar has posted sharp losses on Tuesday.  AUD/USD is trading at 0.6647 in the North American session, down 0.77%. Minutes - RBA considered pause The markets were hoping that the RBA minutes would provide clues as to when the RBA might wind up its tightening cycle, and the RBA appeared to deliver the goods. The minutes indicated that the central bank considered pausing its tightening in December.
by Kenneth Fisher
Market Insights Podcast (Episode 413)
OANDA Senior Market Analyst Ed Moya reviews the latest market news with Jonny Hart. They discussed the Elon Musk's Twitter poll, energy markets, and the latest news with cryptos.
by Edward Moya
Musk out, German IFO survey, homebuilder sentiment, oil edges higher, gold wavers, cryptos lower
US stocks were unable to hold onto gains as recession worries run wild and as global bond yields surge higher after former Fed’s Dudley pushed back on expectations that the Fed will blink once the unemployment rate ​ starts to climb higher. Also supporting the move higher in yields was the surge with gilt yields as investors unload the holdings of UK debt ahead of the BOE’s January bond sales. ​
by Edward Moya
AUD/USD moves higher ahead of RBA minutes
The Australian dollar has posted gains on Monday.  AUD/USD is trading at 0.6717 in the European session, up 0.46%. Will RBA minutes provide any clues?  The Reserve Bank of Australia releases the minutes of the December meeting later on Tuesday. The markets will be looking for some clues as to when the RBA might wind up the current tightening cycle.
by Kenneth Fisher
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