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A mixed start to trading on Tuesday as traders return following the festive break to some rather gloomy forecasts for the coming year. The IMF is among those warning of a tough year, more so than the one we've just left, as the simultaneous slowing down of the US, EU, and China takes its toll. Of course, all forecasts at this moment are subject to enormous uncertainty around the war in Ukraine, inflation, interest rates, and China's Covid response, among others, but it seems almost everyone is g

03-01-2023 04:10 GMT by Craig Erlam

Oil continues to rise, gold rallies

Oil recovery continues Oil prices are a little higher this morning as they continue to rebound strongly from their lows. Brent and WTI have recovered almost 15% from the lows a few weeks ago as traders continue to price in stronger Chinese demand.

03-01-2023 04:03 GMT by Craig Erlam

Japanese yen's rally continues

The Japanese yen is in positive territory on the first trading day of the new year. US and Japan markets are both closed today, and the yen will likely continue to remain calm in holiday-thinned trading.

02-01-2023 08:45 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

EUR/USD dips lower, German PMI improves

Welcome to the first trading day of the New Year. Trading remains thin, as most markets are closed. In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0679, down 0.23%.

02-01-2023 05:16 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Oil bouncing back, gold pushing on, bitcoin steady

Risks tilted to the upside? Oil markets are bouncing back in another volatile session at the end of the year. Going into 2023, the risks are arguably tilted to the upside, although that has been the narrative for much of the year and yet we're on course to end it not far from where we started. While producers have finally caught up with post-pandemic demand, other risks remain next year, notably Russian output amid the new price cap and its threats to cut output and not supply any countries ab

30-12-2022 12:18 GMT by Craig Erlam

Limping into 2023

Another big year ahead though Stock markets are limping into 2023, with investors seemingly making the most of the festive break to refuel for what is going to be another wild year. Equities are a little lower on the final trading day of the year but broadly speaking, over the last week there has been no development, just choppy trading with no conviction or direction. It would appear investors are positioned for an opening quarter of significant uncertainty, which is about right. So much now

30-12-2022 12:16 GMT by Craig Erlam

Aussie finishes strong in 2022

The Australian dollar has been rising since last Friday and is in positive territory today. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6801, up 0.37%. The final week of the year, bookended by Christmas and New Year's, is usually quiet, with reduced trading volumes and a very light economic calendar.

30-12-2022 06:56 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Euro shrugs as Spain's inflation drops

It's the last trading day of 2022, and EUR/USD is almost unchanged in what should be a quiet day in the currency markets. In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0674, up 0.13%. Spain's CPI drops below 6% The week between Christmas and New Year's is usually very light on data, and there were no tier-1 events in Germany or the eurozone this week.

30-12-2022 06:10 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Swiss franc touches 9-month high

The Swiss franc is steady on Friday. In the European session, USD/CHF is almost trading at 0.9240, up 0.08%.

30-12-2022 04:29 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Euro higher as US jobless claims rise

We're seeing limited movement in the currency markets this week, which is not uncommon during the week between Christmas and New Year's. Trading volume remains thin and the data calendar is very light.

29-12-2022 10:49 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

British pound quiet as a mouse

The British pound has shown little movement since before Christmas and remains quiet on Thursday. This is not surprising as trading volumes are down during the holidays and there are few key events on the calendar this week.

29-12-2022 07:48 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Oil falls, gold range-trading

Paring gains again Oil prices are dropping for a second day, erasing some more of the pre-Christmas rally amid uncertainty over the Chinese outlook and the limited impact of Russia's response to the G7 price cap. Volatility is likely going nowhere fast as we navigate another highly uncertain year, albeit one that surely promises plenty of surprises and twists and turns along the way. The US refilling the SPR should be supportive for the market and could have put a bit of a floor in place, althou

29-12-2022 06:51 GMT by Craig Erlam

Still drifting

We continue to drift into year-end with investors having little to cling onto that's going to drive markets one way or another. That is so often the case this time of year and while 2022 could have been different, given how chaotic the rest of the year has been, it has proven to not be the case. Investors are going into 2023 with a cautious mindset, prepared for more rate hikes, and expecting recessions around the globe.

29-12-2022 06:48 GMT by Craig Erlam

Japanese yen rebounds on BOJ purchases

The Japanese yen has posted gains on Thursday, putting the brakes on this week's dollar rally of over 1%. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 133.64, down 0.60%. This week has been marked by low liquidity, with many traders closing their books or taking a holiday at the end of the year.

29-12-2022 06:07 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

New Zealand dollar pares sharp gains

The New Zealand dollar has posted gains on Wednesday. In the North American session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.6306, up 0.49%.

28-12-2022 12:49 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

An eye on the New Year

We're seeing choppy trade in financial markets on Wednesday in what is always quite thin trade as traders continue the festivities into the new year. And there's certainly a strong sense of holiday trade to the markets today, with light news flow combined with lower liquidity creating choppy but ultimately insignificant moves. It very much feels like we're now just drifting into 2023 at which point I expect things will quickly pick up again. The key trading themes will continue to dominate in ea

28-12-2022 12:40 GMT by Craig Erlam

Swiss franc showing strength

Market activity is subdued on Wednesday in thin post-holiday trade. In the European session, USD/CHF is almost trading at 0.9280, down 0.14%. Over the final two months of the year, the Swiss franc has looked sharp against the US dollar.

28-12-2022 07:30 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Yen extends losses after summary of opinions

The Japanese yen continues to lose ground this week and is in negative territory on Wednesday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 134.11, up 0.49%. Post-Christmas holiday trading remains thin, but USD/JPY has made steady gains and climbed 1% this week.

28-12-2022 04:47 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Japanese yen dips, inflation rises

US and Japanese markets are open on Tuesday, but trading remains thin after the Christmas holiday. There are some key Japanese events on the calendar, although US releases are all tier-2 events.

27-12-2022 12:21 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Canadian dollar ends week with gains

Canadian and US markets are closed on Monday and we are seeing very little movement from USD/CAD at the start of the new trading week. Canada's GDP stays steady Ahead of the Christmas holiday, there was plenty of action on Friday. Canada's GDP remains steady, with a modest 0.1% gain in November, identical to the October release.

26-12-2022 12:03 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

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