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Market Insights Podcast (Episode 418)
OANDA Senior Market Analyst Craig Erlam reviews the latest market news with Jonny Hart. They discussed the latest US inflation data, what it means for interest rates and the impact it had on financial markets.
by Craig Erlam
Volatile session after another cool CPI report, Fed’s Harker/Collins support another downshift, Claims suggest labor still too strong, Oil rallies on weaker dollar, Gold tests $1900, Bitcoin nears $18,500
US stocks initially rallied as inflation continues to ease and as Fed members are clearly signaling a smaller tightening pace going forward.  The dollar also headed lower as a subdued inflation report should let the Fed slow their hiking pace again. It became clear fairly quickly that stocks would not hold onto initial gains as we will likely remain being data-dependent going forward. The labor market is still hot and much of the relief we saw with energy prices appears to be going away this mon
by Edward Moya
Japanese yen jumps on BoJ report
The Japanese yen has awoken from this week's slumber and is sharply higher on Thursday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 130.96, down 1.16%. BOJ may be planning review of policy The BOJ has been in the headlines since the December meeting when it widened the band around its 10-year bond yield target.
by Kenneth Fisher
Will the inflation report deliver?
European equity markets opened cautiously higher on Thursday, following a mixed session in Asia amid nerves around the US inflation release later in the day. This inflation print has been the main topic of conversation all week. The jobs report last Friday changed the dynamic in the markets and ensured that not only was this CPI report going to be important but in all likelihood pivotal ahead of next month's Fed meeting. We've gone from inflation declining but the labour market being stubbornly
by Craig Erlam
Oil prices steady, gold eyes US inflation
Oil steadies as traders grow more optimistic Oil prices have steadied this morning after recovering strongly on Wednesday. Enthusiasm is building in the aftermath of last week's jobs report and a positive inflation reading today could further fuel that.
by Craig Erlam
Japanese yen edges lower
The Japanese yen continues to have a quiet week. USD/JPY has edged up 0.20% and is trading at 132.50. Markets await US inflation report There is optimism in the air ahead of the US inflation report for December.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil and gold jump ahead of inflation report
Buoyed by economic optimism Investor optimism going into tomorrow's US inflation report appears to be feeding through to the oil market, with Brent and WTI both up more than 2% on the day. It will be interesting to see if they can hold onto those gains considering how they've failed to do so over the last four days.
by Craig Erlam
All eyes on the inflation report
Investors remain in an upbeat mood going into tomorrow's US inflation report, buoyed still by the December jobs report and the prospect of the economy being less squeezed by interest rates. Fed Chair Jerome Powell may have refrained from commenting on the monetary policy outlook on Tuesday but the chances are he wouldn't have said anything investors would have liked even if he had addressed it. It's been clear from other commentaries that policymakers are sticking to the hawkish script. Another
by Craig Erlam
EUR/USD close to 6-month high
The euro is drifting on Wednesday, trading at 1.0730. EUR/USD has climbed about 1% this week, and Monday's high of 1.0760 is its highest level since June 22nd.
by Kenneth Fisher
Australian dollar shrugs as CPI jumps
The Australian dollar is trading quietly on Wednesday. AUD/USD is at 0.6904, up 0.14%. Australian CPI climbs to 7.3% Australian inflation pushed higher in November, rising to 7.3% following a 6.9% gain in October.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil higher on demand optimism, gold hovers near highs
Oil Crude prices are higher as economic optimism grows for not just China, but also the eurozone. The oil market is digesting a global slowdown that might not be as bad as feared. ​ Energy traders still believe that OPEC+ will do whatever is needed to keep prices supported and that includes more production cuts this quarter. ​ Oil seems like it wants to waver right now until we get a better handle on China’s Covid surge. ​ As China battles an unprecedented surge in Covid cases, everyone wants to
by Edward Moya
Powell remarks were a non-event, stocks edge higher, dollar pares gains, NFIB, coinbase struggles
Whipsaw moves in stocks continue as investors fixate over central bank speak and as they await a pivotal inflation report later this week. ​ US stocks edged higher as we didn’t get a steady dose of hawkish speak from Fed Chair Powell and as expectations grew for disinflation trends to continue. Wall Street appears to be turning more bullish with stocks, but that might include a rebalancing of how much weight they put into tech stocks. ​ ​ Ten days into the New Year and some traders are already t
by Edward Moya
Oil in choppy waters, gold holds gains
Demand to pick up later this year It's been a choppy session in the oil market, where Brent is hovering around $80 and WTI $75. We've now seen three sessions on the bounce in which oil prices have rallied before ending the day well off the highs.
by Craig Erlam
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