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Japanese yen drifting ahead of BOJ Core CPI
BoJ Core CPI expected to ease USD/JPY steadies after extended slide In Monday's European session, USD/JPY is steady, trading at 137.90. The yen gained 0.53% on Friday, after a nasty slide last week in which it fell 440 points and hit a six-month low. BoJ Core CPI expected to inch lower Inflation has become a hot topic for Japanese policy makers, which marks a sea-change after years of deflation.
22-05-2023 06:34 GMT by Kenneth Fisher
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Gold Technical: A potential short-term downtrend in play
Gold (XAU/USD) has dropped by -5.6% from its recent 52-week high of US$2,067. Factors that caused the recent drop could be the bounce seen in the US dollar and the unwinding of long hedges linked to the US debt ceiling negotiations. 50-day moving average is now acting as a key intermediate resistance at US$1,991. The bullish momentum of the shiny metal, Gold (XAU/USD) seems to have dissipated in recent weeks after it printed a fresh 52-week high of US$2,067 on 4 May 2023 and staged a decline of
22-05-2023 05:49 GMT by Kelvin Wong
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Gold rebounds on Powell Pause hopes and Debt-Limit Roadblock
US oil rig counts fall 11 to 575 Gold starts to get shine back as safe-haven demand returns Bitcoin steadies near lower boundaries of trading range Oil Crude prices were having a great week as the US economic outlook dramatically improved as lawmakers seem likely to reach a deal on the debt ceiling. Debt ceiling optimism quickly disappeared on Friday and that sent oil prices sharply lower.  The news wasn’t all negative for crude prices as Fed Chair Powell paved the way for a June hold. China
19-05-2023 13:16 GMT by Edward Moya
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Finally some Debt-Limit Drama, Powell paves the way for a pause
Fed discord to grow as inflation shows signs of stickiness 10-year Treasury yield rises 2.1bps to 3.667% Wall Street eyes potential September rate cut US stocks turned negative after key negotiators for Speaker Kevin McCarthy left a closed door debt ceiling meeting with White House representatives noting that they were not being “reasonable.” Finally, we are seeing posturing and some heated debate for this debt deal.  A big risk for debt-limit talks were that negotiations were too easy and that
19-05-2023 13:09 GMT by Edward Moya
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Cause for optimism amid positive debt ceiling talks and good news on UK consumers
It would appear we're heading into the weekend on a slightly more upbeat note, with stock markets posting decent gains, optimism rising over debt ceiling negotiations, and UK consumers feeling a little less downbeat on their prospects. Still pessimistic but a step in the right direction UK consumers are pessimistic as ever, albeit slightly less so according to the latest survey from GfK. Sentiment improved slightly to -27 this month, the highest since before Russia invaded Ukraine, but still wel
19-05-2023 10:00 GMT by Craig Erlam
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Oil heads higher, gold under pressure
Are we seeing some bullish momentum in crude prices? Oil prices are rebounding again today alongside a slight uptick in market sentiment more broadly. Perhaps some of the confidence in Washington that a deal on the debt ceiling isn't far away, amid "steady progress", is filtering through to the markets, although default was almost certainly never a realistic possibility in the first place. Crude has gathered a little upward momentum over the last week or so, with prices making higher lows on the
19-05-2023 09:56 GMT by Craig Erlam
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British pound rises as consumer confidence improves
UK Consumer Confidence hits 15-month high BoE's Bailey warns of wage-price spiral The British pound has pushed higher on Friday. GBP/USD is trading at 1.2449 in North America, up 0.32% on the day. The week is wrapping up on a positive note, as UK GfK Consumer Confidence index improved for a fourth straight month.
19-05-2023 09:50 GMT by Kenneth Fisher
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USD/CAD - Will retail sales weigh on the Canadian dollar?
Canadian retail sales expected to decline Fed Chair and two FOMC members will speak later The Canadian dollar is trading quietly ahead of a key retail sales report later today. USD/CAD is trading in Europe at 1.3484, down 0.13%. Markets brace for soft Canadian retail sales The Canadian consumer is holding tightly to their wallet, which is not all that surprising in the current economic climate.
19-05-2023 06:43 GMT by Kenneth Fisher
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Oil and gold both take a tumble
Oil Crude prices are sliding as the dollar rallies on bets that the Fed might not be tightening. ​ Good news for the economy is now bad news for the crude demand outlook as economic resilience will force the Fed to kill the economy. Oil is becoming an easy trade, as it will track the dollar and not so much anything else.
18-05-2023 13:28 GMT by Edward Moya
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USD/JPY - Yen sinks to 6.5 month low, is 140 next?
USD/JPY punches to its highest level since November 2022 Japan eyes Core CPI The Japanese yen's woes continue, as the currency has plunged a massive 400 points over the past week. In Thursday's North American session, the yen is trading at 138.52, up 0.60% on the day.
18-05-2023 12:01 GMT by Kenneth Fisher
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Traders unmoved by BoE comments, US outlook a concern despite better data
MPC grilled as the central bank continues to fight double-digit inflation We heard from some Bank of England policymakers earlier as they were grilled by the Treasury Select Committee on quantitative tightening, among other things naturally. Bailey and colleagues were quite consistent in their messaging and it's probably what the Governor said on Wednesday that raised a few eyebrows as he insinuated that the UK could be seeing a wage-price spiral which could complicate returning inflation to 2%
18-05-2023 11:50 GMT by Craig Erlam
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Oil and gold prices head lower
Oil remains in lower range as traders eye June OPEC+ meeting Oil prices are slipping on Thursday after surging the day before amid optimism around debt ceiling talks. I'm still far from convinced that traders are taking the threat of default seriously but the closer we get to the deadline, the more we could see it influence markets simply as a result of more risk being priced in. Broadly speaking the picture is unchanged.
18-05-2023 11:45 GMT by Craig Erlam
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GBP/USD slips as US debt ceiling crisis eases
BoE Governor Bailey warns of wage-price spiral, testifies before Treasury Committee Markets lower odds of a Fed pause in June BoE Bailey says UK in wage-price spiral On Wednesday, Bailey had a hawkish message for the markets, saying that he would tighten policy if there was evidence that inflation pressures remained persistent. Bailey warned that the UK was in the midst of a wage-price spiral.
18-05-2023 10:34 GMT by Kenneth Fisher
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AUD/USD under pressure after soft Aussie employment
Australia's employment change declines Markets lower expectations of a Fed pause in June The Australian dollar has resumed its downswing on Thursday after taking a pause a day earlier. AUD/USD is trading at 0.6641 in Europe, down 0.26% on the day. Australian employment slips Australia's April employment report surprised to the downside today, sending the Australian dollar lower.
18-05-2023 06:33 GMT by Kenneth Fisher
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