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NZD/USD yawns as Business Confidence improves
New Zealand business confidence rises ADP Employment Change falls to 177,000 The New Zealand dollar is almost flat on Thursday, trading at 0.5958 in Europe. New Zealand Business Confidence improves again New Zealand's ANZ Business Confidence index accelerated for a fourth straight month in August. The index improved to -3.7, up from -13.1 in July.
by Kenneth Fisher
EUR/USD - No game-changer but US data highlights weaknesses in the economy
ADP posts 177,000 new jobs but traders not convinced US Q2 GDP revised lower to 2.1% (2.4% previously) USD pares six week gains after weaker figures this week The recovery in equity markets appears to have stalled on Wednesday as traders likely eye the big economic releases later in the week. The ADP and revised GDP numbers may attract some attention but they were never likely to have too great an impact. The ADP report has long been ignored as a reliable precursor to the NFP report on Friday a
by Craig Erlam
NZ dollar pares gains, business confidence next
US GDP expanded by 2.1% ADP Employment slides to 177,000 New Zealand business confidence expected to improve The New Zealand dollar posted slight gains on Wednesday but then retreated, after sizzling on Tuesday with gains of 1%. In the North American session, NZD/USD is flat at 0.5970.
by Kenneth Fisher
AUD/USD soars after weak US data, US GDP next
Australian inflation falls to 4.9% US GDP expected to rise to 2.4% The Australian dollar has edged lower on Wednesday after sharp gains a day earlier. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6473, down 0.10% on the day. Australia's inflation slips to 4.9% There was good news on the inflation front as July CPI fell to 4.9% y/y, down from 5.4% in June and below the consensus estimate of 5.2%.
by Kenneth Fisher
EUR/USD eyes German, Eurozone CPI reports
Germany to release CPI on Wednesday, Eurozone on Thursday US consumer confidence and jobs data disappoint The euro's mini-rally has run out of steam. EUR/USD climbed 0.80% over the past two days but is trading in negative territory on Wednesday.
by Kenneth Fisher
Brent Crude - Oil steadies but may be vulnerable to fresh spikes
Oil prices stabilize after establishing a new range Hurricane season may have a greater influence amid tight market Head and shoulder neckline remains intact Oil prices appear to be stabilizing around the middle of their new higher range, in the aftermath of OPEC+ cuts (voluntary Russia and Saudi in particular). Brent crude currently sits a little shy of $85 after rebounding higher off $82 last week and peaking just above $88 earlier this month. There remains considerable uncertainty around th
by Craig Erlam
Euro dips below 1.08 but bounces back after soft US data
Euro slips below 1.08 but recovers German GfK consumer climate falls US consumer confidence and job openings decelerate The euro fell below the 1.08 line on Tuesday after a weak German consumer confidence report but has recovered in the North American session after soft US data. EUR/USD is currently trading at 1.0840, up 0.20%. Germany is the eurozone's largest economy and is considered the powerhouse of the bloc.
by Kenneth Fisher
Australian dollar edges up ahead of inflation report
US releases consumer confidence and job openings later on Tuesday Australia releases CPI on Wednesday The Australian dollar is in positive territory on Tuesday. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6437, up 0.12% on the day. China's woes raising concerns in Australia China's economic slowdown is bad news for the Australian economy, which counts China as its biggest export market.
by Kenneth Fisher
Hang Seng Index Technical: Downside pressure has eased
The recent three weeks of -13.90% decline has reached a key medium-term support level of 17,530. The latest reading of its daily MACD trend indicator has indicated a possible pause in the medium-term downtrend movement. Key short-term support to watch will be at 17,970 with intermediate resistances at 18,600 and 18,910. The Hang Seng Index is set to record its worst monthly performance since October 2022 as it recorded a month-to-date loss of -9.70% as of yesterday, 28 August 2023, on the track
by Kelvin Wong
Podcast - China property developers' debt woes, US dollar at key juncture as PCE and NFP looms.
OANDA Senior Market Analyst Kelvin Wong joins Jonny Hart to discuss the current state of China's economy in the light of positive performance seen today, 28 August on the benchmark CSI 300 and Hang Seng stock indices triggered by a 50% reduction in stock trading levy announced on Sunday, its first cut since 2008 Great Financial Crisis. In contrast, China property developers' debt woes still persist as the share price of  China Evergrande plunged by 79% on Monday, their first trading day followin
by Kelvin Wong
EUR/USD slips to 10-week low after soft German business climate
German business climate falls for fourth consecutive month Fed Chair Powell and ECB President Lagarde address Jackson Hole summit The euro has posted limited gains at the start of the trading week. In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0803, up 0.08%. German Ifo Business Climate declines The week ended on a sour note as German Ifo Business Climate fell for a fourth straight month in August to 85.7, down from an upwardly revised 87.4 and shy of the market consensus of 86.7.
by Kenneth Fisher
Yen steady as Ueda sticks to script at Jackson Hole
The Japanese yen is trading quietly at the start of the week. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 146.60, up 0.11%. The yen has plunged 3.05% in August against the US dollar and is trading at its lowest levels since November 2022. Powell, Ueda speak at Jackson Hole  There was a degree of anticipation as major central bankers gathered at the Jackson Hole summit.
by Kenneth Fisher
Retail sales gives Australian dollar brief boost
Australian retail sales rebounds with 0.5% gain Fed's Powell keeps door open to further hikes The Australian dollar started the week with gains but then retreated. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6408, up 0.09%.
by Kenneth Fisher
AUD/USD Technical: Potential minor countertrend rebound in progress
Medium-term downtrend phase of AUD/USD has reached an oversold condition with downside momentum easing. Key short-term support to watch will be at 0.6385. Intermediate resistance at 0.6490. The price actions of AUD/USD have been oscillating in a medium-term downtrend phase in place since the 17 July 2023 high which has been reinforced by the bearish breakdown of its former medium-term ascending trendline support from 13 October 2022 low on 9 August 2023. So far, the AUD/USD has plummeted by -5
by Kelvin Wong
Brent Crude - Tentative recovery but growth concerns continue to weigh
Investors becoming wary about the economic outlook Supply cuts remain supportive Head and shoulders neckline provides support Oil prices recovered a little toward the back end of the week after coming under some pressure this month. Supply cuts from OPEC+ continue to support the market but uncertainty over the global economic outlook - sluggish recovery in China, possible recession in the US and Europe - are weighing a little.  Recent economic data has not been encouraging and central banks ar
by Craig Erlam
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