Silver (XAG/USD) is the sole performer, heading toward a new ATH

Our preceding analysis on Silver could not have been more wrong.

With the FOMC approaching and bouts of up-and-down action across all metals, what we thought to be a temporary top leading to a potential range was, in fact, just a retracement.

And that retracement was an opportunity not lost on Silver traders: a stark run during month-end trading took the precious metal to new record highs, grazing the $58.85 level.

The dovish repricing for the Fed's December 10 Meeting—main catalyst of the renewed "everything-rally" (or Debasement Trade) seen throughout stocks in the past week—was fuel for a sharp rally across the entire metals complex.

However, a distinct divergence has emerged in today's session.

Gold, Platinum, and Copper have all rejected their recent highs established on Friday, correcting lower as traders book profits.

It is a different story for Silver, which is showing remarkable relative strength, hanging less than 1% below its $58.85 record and running towards its retest.

Will it keep rallying or is the move finally over? Let's dive into the charts to see if this breakout has legs.

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The month-end action took Silver prices to a strong breakout after a month-and-half consolidation.

A double top did form throughout the two tests of the preceding $55.00 record, however, double top doesn't mean instant bear market.

On the other hand, it may have acted as a contrarian-fuel for higher prices as bearish positions accumulated before the month-end rally changed the plans.

Back to current trading, bulls have brought the metal right back into its $58.00 to $60 Resistance Zone, precedingly obtained with Fibonacci Extensions (see explanation here).

With the zone extending over a $2 range, there is space for trading but what traders should look is whether prices break and close above $60 on a daily session or if prices actually close below $58, indicating some rejection.

The price action is getting tricky as buyer strength stands strong and prices are consolidating at the highs (typically bullish) but a 4H divergence is appearing.

Levels to watch for Silver (XAG) trading:

Resistance Levels:

• Fibonacci-Extension Resistance $58.00 to $60
• December 1 All-Time Highs $56.85
• $53.50 to $54 current ATH resistance
• Potential resistance $62 to $65 (1.618 from Impulsive Move)

Support Levels:

• $53.50 to $54 Previous ATH resistance now Pivot
• Mini-support $52.00 to $52.50
• $48.50 to $49.50 2011 High Support
• October FOMC bottom $46.00 to $47.00
• $45.55 October 28 lows

The rangebound action is occuring much higher than last week – As higher momentum charts stand in overbought territory, short-term consolidation at the highs serve to reduce effect of overbought trading.

An ongoing move might take on the record highs reached yesterday – For intraday analysis look at the 1H 50-period Moving Average, frequently used by buyers in this uptrend.

Holding it provides entry points to join the rally, while breaking the Moving Averages gives signal of a short-term bearish reversal.

Safe Trades!

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