Forex: all news & analysis

Explore our comprehensive Forex Archive, an essential resource that provides expert insights on price movements, trends, and the currency market. By analysing past price actions and key events, you can uncover vital market dynamics and elevate your understanding of effective trading strategies. Whether you're focusing on major currency pairs or emerging markets, our archive is packed with information to help you sharpen your trading decisions.

Swiss franc higher as markets eye US jobs report
SNB's Jordan warns about inflation Fed split on next move US debt ceiling deal sails through House of Representatives The Swiss franc has moved higher on Thursday and is trading at 0.9068 in the North American session, down 0.41%. On Wednesday, the Swiss franc fell as low as 0.9147, its lowest level in two months. SNB's Jordan warns against core inflation remaining above 2% The Swiss National Bank meets on June 22nd and SNB President Jordan had a warning today for the markets.
by Kenneth Fisher
Stocks waver as traders pare back expectations for Fed rate hikes
Disinflation Trends might be back as prices paid plunged 9 points in the ISM manufacturing report ADP Report: Pay growth is slowing substantially Still waiting on layoff announcements to hit jobless claims data US stocks are rising after some dovish Fed speak and as the House was able to advance the debt ceiling bill to the Senate. ​ So far everything with the debt ceiling deal is going as planned after both the House Rules Committee and House of Representatives did their part to get this bill
by Edward Moya
Japanese yen drifts higher, US job numbers in focus
US JOLTS Job Openings beats expectations US nonfarm payrolls follows on Friday Fed members divided on rate policy Debt ceiling agreement approved in House, moves to Senate USD/JPY has edged higher on Thursday, trading at 139.66 in the European session. The yen has recovered after falling as low as 140.93 this week, its lowest level since November. It has been a quiet week in Japan on the economic calendar, with no major releases.
by Kenneth Fisher
EUR/USD falls to 5-week low as inflation eases
Eurozone inflation falls sharply Debt ceiling deal sails through House of Representatives JOLTS Job Openings beats expectations The euro has edged higher on Thursday, trading at 1.0708, up 0.19%. The currency remains under pressure as the US dollar is flexing some muscles.
by Kenneth Fisher
Podcast - Rising Fed rate hike expectations
OANDA Senior Market Analyst Ed Moya reviews the latest market news with Jonny Hart and Trader Nick. They discuss today's debt ceiling vote, a hot JOLTS report, China's PMI report, and Australia's sticky inflation data. **Note this was recorded before Fed's Jefferson comment about pausing at the next meeting.
by Edward Moya
Stocks lower as debt deal and more Fed tightening has economy recession bound
US stocks are falling as the expected debt deal will prove to be negative for the economy as limited spending along with more Fed tightening will send the economy to a recession at the end of the year. ​ The US doesn’t look like it will default, but recession worries, possibly stagflation risks, will make life hard for risky assets. ​ Debt Vote The divided House will soon vote on the bill, needing a 218-vote majority for it to advance to the Senate. ​ Voting is expected to start at 330pm est an
by Edward Moya
Japanese yen crawls back above 140
Japanese retail sales and industrial production soften A possible snap election in Japan could delay any BoJ move House to vote on debt ceiling deal USD/JPY is almost unchanged on Wednesday, trading at 139.73. The yen has improved since dropping as low as 140.93 this week, its lowest level since November. Japanese numbers were softer than expected.
by Kenneth Fisher
Canadian dollar edges lower ahead of Canadian GDP
Canada to release GDP US debt ceiling deal off to Congress The Canadian dollar is trading close to a two-month low, as the currency remains under pressure. USD/CAD is trading at 1.3646 in the European session, up 0.34%. Canada's GDP expected to improve in Q1 Canada releases GDP later today, and the markets are projecting a modest 0.4% q/q for the first quarter, after flatlining in Q4 2022.
by Kenneth Fisher
AUD/USD slips on soft Chinese PMIs, Aussie inflation jumps
RBA's Lowe says inflation fight not over Australian inflation rises to 6.8% US Treasury yields fall on debt ceiling deal Australian inflation rose in the first quarter, but the Australian dollar is considerably lower today due to soft China PMI reports. AUD/USD is trading at 0.6481, down 0.54%.
by Kenneth Fisher
China’s deflationary spiral bumps up FX risk aversion
China’s NBS Manufacturing and Non-Manufacturing PMIs for May have increased the risk of a deflationary spiral in China. A weaker Chinese yuan may be required to counter and smooth the adverse effects of the deflationary spiral at least in the short-term. Risk aversion has resurfaced in the FX market via weakness seen in the G-10 JPY crosses. In stark contrast to the recent findings of China’s manufacturing sector survey done by China Beige Book, a US-based data provider that has indicated a reb
by Kelvin Wong
Euro touches 9 week low, German CPI next
Spain's CPI eases in May German CPI to be released on Wednesday Debt ceiling likely to be approved in Congress EUR/USD has edged higher on Wednesday. In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0737, up 0.26%. Earlier, the euro dropped as low as 1.0672, its lowest level since March 20. Spanish CPI lower than expected Spain, the fourth-largest economy in the eurozone, saw inflation fall to 3.2% in May.
by Kenneth Fisher
USD/JPY punches above 140, Tokyo issues warning
Japanese yen falls below 140 Japan's Ministry of Finance issues warning US debt ceiling heads to Congress USD/JPY is showing little movement on Tuesday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 140.17, down 0.19%. The Japanese yen continues to underperform and has plunged 2.8% in May.
by Kenneth Fisher
Aussie unchanged ahead of Lowe, CPI
RBA Governor Lowe testifies before a Senate Committee Australia to release CPI US debt ceiling deal likely to be approved by Congress The Australian dollar is drifting lower on Tuesday. AUD/USD is trading at 0.6538 in Europe, unchanged on the day. RBA Governor Lowe testifies before a Senate Committee later today.
by Kenneth Fisher
EUR/USD Technical: Bears may be getting exhausted
The current minor downtrend phase for EUR/USD from its 3 May 2023 high of 1.1092 is showing signs of exhaustion. Elliot Wave/fractal analysis suggests a potential terminal support zone of 1.0670/1.0630 for the minor downtrend phase where a possible minor mean reversion rebound may occur next. The key intermediate resistances to watch will be at 1.0725 and 1.0850. Fig 1: EUR/USD trend as of 30 May 2023 (Source: TradingView, click to enlarge chart) In the medium term (multi-week), the price ac
by Kelvin Wong
Swiss franc edges higher ahead of Swiss GDP, business confidence
US markets closed for a holiday US debt ceiling crisis resolved US inflation higher than expected Switzerland releases GDP and the KoF Economic Barometer The Swiss franc has edged higher on Monday and is trading at 0.9036, up o.15%. US markets are closed for Memorial Day and the currency markets have been calm today. Switzerland releases GDP and business confidence on Tuesday.
by Kenneth Fisher
New Zealand dollar stems nasty slide
US markets closed for a bank holiday New Zealand dollar steadies after a 3.6% plunge last week US inflation higher than expected The New Zealand dollar has stabilized on Monday after a disastrous week. In the European session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.6057, up 0.17%. US reaches debt ceiling deal US lawmakers hammered out a debt ceiling deal over the weekend.
by Kenneth Fisher
AUD/JPY Technical: Bulls got stalled again at 200-day MA
The medium-term up move of AUD/JPY from the 24 March 2023 swing low of 86.06 got stalled again at the key 200-day moving average. Short-term downside movement seems to have resurfaced as indicated by the 4-hour RSI. Key resistance to watch will be at 92.70. Fig 1: AUD/JPY trend as of 26 May 2023 (Source: TradingView, click to enlarge chart) The recent 460 pips rally of the AUD/JPY from its 26 April 2023 minor swing low of 87.87 has stalled at the key 200-day moving average again (now acting
by Kelvin Wong
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