Commodities: all news & analysis

Explore our extensive commodities news, which unveils critical insights into price movements, trends, and expert forecasts in the raw materials market. By examining price actions and understanding the factors influencing commodity values, understand current market dynamics. This page is designed to boost your research on historical trends, identify seasonal patterns, and sharpen your trading strategies across sectors such as energy, metals, and agriculture. Equip yourself with the knowledge necessary to enhance your understanding of the commodities landscape and elevate your trading decisions.

Oil volatile, gold choppy ahead of Fed

Oil volatility likely to continue Another volatile start to the week in oil markets, where Brent and WTI now find themselves around 3% higher on the day. This comes after WTI fell close to $70 a barrel, the level at which the White House previously indicated it will begin refilling the SPR which could provide some initial support for the price. The outage on the Keystone pipeline between Canada and the US could be offering further support for the price, as could renewed Russian threats to cut su

12-12-2022 13:00 GMT by Craig Erlam

Week Ahead - Blockbuster end to the year

US Two blockbuster events will have Wall Street on edge as the disinflation trade may have gotten ahead of itself. The last major piece of economic news before the Fed meets will be the November inflation report which is expected to show pricing pressures are decelerating. The headline reading from a month ago is expected to rise 0.3%, a tick lower from the pace in October. On a year-over-year basis, inflation is expected to decline from 7.7% to 7.3%.

09-12-2022 15:53 GMT by Craig Erlam

Mid-Market update: Stocks waver post PPI and UMich survey, oil jumps as Putin considers output cut, gold shines, bitcoin anchored at $17k

US stocks are settling higher after a mixed round of pricing data seemed unlikely to change what the Fed will do next week. Stocks are finishing a down week on a positive note as expectations remain high that the Fed will downshift to a slower pace. Inflation is heading lower but we won’t know for a couple quarters if more tightening will be required by the Fed. For now, investors appear confident that the Fed will stop tightening once the terminal rate peaks around the 5.00% to 5.25% levels.

09-12-2022 12:37 GMT by Edward Moya

Oil pops on Keystone Pipeline leak, gold edges higher

Oil Crude prices spiked higher after the Keystone Pipeline was shut after a leak in Nebraska. Earlier, Tribeca Shipping Agency reported 19 oil tankers are still awaiting passage through Turkey’s Bosphorus Strait.

08-12-2022 14:01 GMT by Edward Moya

Market Insights Podcast (Episode 408)

OANDA Senior Market Analyst Craig Erlam reviews the latest market news with Jonny Hart. They discuss how markets have traded this week, the Hang Seng's outperformance today, and oil.

08-12-2022 12:05 GMT by Craig Erlam

Oil under pressure, gold eyes Fed meeting

A floor in oil prices? Oil prices remain under pressure as traders continue to price in a slower global economy next year and the prospect of deeper recessions. China's efforts to reduce restrictions are probably preventing a much steeper decline in the oil price, although this won't be without disruption as Covid spreads like wildfire throughout the country after such a long period of zero-Covid measures. Then there's also the pledge by the White House to restock the SPR once oil falls to aroun

08-12-2022 05:15 GMT by Craig Erlam

Oil lower, gold shines

Oil Crude prices declined as energy traders quickly abandoned bullish bets that we will see a price spike once the Russian cap on crude oil would be put in place. It seems oil markets are only caring about a steady deterioration with the demand outlook. The latest EIA crude oil inventory report showed inventories dropped less than expected and exports tumbled. Exports fell 30%, which is the lowest level since October. Gasoline inventories are rising as demand struggles. This report shows

07-12-2022 15:24 GMT by Edward Moya

Oil under pressure, gold eyes PPI

Will $70 be a floor in oil? There's been a lot to absorb for oil traders over the last week, some of which have created more questions than answers. The trade data from China was obviously another blow as it pointed to weakening global demand, as has become the norm from manufacturing and trade data around the world recently.

07-12-2022 10:26 GMT by Craig Erlam

Oil tumbles, gold's safe-haven status

Oil Crude prices tumbled as recession worries dominated the headlines and as the oil market lost its tightness. It seems to have happened quickly but the crude demand outlook is getting crushed as we are in a slowdown basically across all the major economies. Supplies seem plentiful over the near-term and that has everyone hesitating on what was one of the easiest trades of the year. Energy traders are not confidently buying dips, but they will if the current selloff sends prices close to

06-12-2022 16:26 GMT by Edward Moya

Oil remains volatile, gold pares losses

The only guarantee for oil markets It's been a volatile start to the week in oil markets, continuing in much the same way we ended last, with traders still working through the announcements from the G7 and OPEC+, as well as the latest Covid moves from China. In many ways, none of the above improve visibility in the crude oil space; they arguably actually make the outlook more uncertain. But the intial response to the above has seemingly been negative for crude prices, with the loosening of Chine

06-12-2022 10:11 GMT by Craig Erlam

Oil rallies post OPEC+/Russian price cap, gold tumbles

Oil Oil prices are rallying as OPEC+ has shown it is committed to keeping prices supported and on optimism China will continue to loosen Covid controls. Risk appetite on Wall Street is fading away and that might prevent crude prices from pushing much higher right now.

05-12-2022 16:03 GMT by Edward Moya

Market Insights Podcast (Episode 407)

OANDA Senior Market Analyst Craig Erlam reviews the latest market news with Jonny Hart. They discussed the aftermath of the US jobs report, further reports of China loosening Covid restrictions, PMIs and how oil has responded to the G7 Russian oil price cap and OPEC+.

05-12-2022 10:06 GMT by Craig Erlam

Oil higher, gold retreats

Oil higher as China looks to ease Covid restrictions Oil prices are higher on Monday, rallying 2%, after the G7 imposed a $60 price cap on Russian oil and OPEC+ announced no new output cuts. Both bring a degree of uncertainty, with the details of the cap and the impact on Russian sales still unclear. From the OPEC+ perspective, it can't be easy to make reliable forecasts against that backdrop and the constantly evolving Covid situation in China, which currently looks far more promising from a de

05-12-2022 08:57 GMT by Craig Erlam

NFP React: Fed bets rise post hot NFP report, stocks lower, oil awaits big week ahead, gold dips, cryptos little changed

US stocks tumbled after the nonfarm payroll report showed the labor market, especially wage pressures, is not cooling quickly at all. Wall Street is scratching its head as a lot of traders expected to see a labor market slowdown accelerate. A headline gain of 263,000 jobs was almost above the most optimistic estimate and the gain with wages was jaw-dropping.

02-12-2022 13:37 GMT by Edward Moya

Oil risk, gold steadies, bitcoin cautious

Steady going into a highly uncertain weekend Oil prices are quite steady on approach to the weekend. There remains considerable uncertainty around the action OPEC+ will take when it meets on Sunday, although there's every chance that the meeting will be delayed or that discussions take longer than normal, as a result of the price cap being finalized by the EU. A cap of around $60 is now reportedly close to being signed off, the impact of which is still unclear as Russia already sells to its tr

02-12-2022 06:31 GMT by Craig Erlam

Brent Crude - Immense uncertainty

OANDA Senior Market Analyst Craig Erlam discusses the latest crude moves against the backdrop of record Covid cases in China, an imminent EU decision on the Russian oil price cap, and the weekend OPEC+ meeting.

01-12-2022 17:43 GMT by Craig Erlam

Oil rallies as China eases covid rules, gold shines

Oil Crude prices rallied as hopes grow that China will continue to loosen their COVID rules and on expectations that OPEC+ will do whatever it takes to keep oil prices supported. Energy traders are eagerly awaiting an OPEC+ decision that could see them keep output steady or deliver a small cut. If China didn’t signal a slight covid easy shift, the probability of a production cut would have been much greater. Oil should find a range as we await the OPEC+ decision. Key levels for WTI crude i

01-12-2022 14:23 GMT by Edward Moya

Oil prices rising, gold rallies

A huge few days for oil markets Oil prices have rebounded strongly over the last few days - up around 10% from the lows - buoyed by the prospect of a lower price cap on Russian crude, another large production cut from OPEC+ this weekend, and China's evolving Covid stance. There remains considerable uncertainty surrounding all of the above though which will likely ensure prices remain volatile going into the weekend.

01-12-2022 04:17 GMT by Craig Erlam

Oil rallies on China's opening, gold's great month

Oil Oil prices are rallying on China's opening optimism and after another round of US economic data showed the economy is weakening but still far from a recession. Energy traders are looking at the next week and see two potential bullish catalysts for oil prices; an OPEC+ decision that could easily justify lower output targets given China’s demand outlook and a Russian crude price cap that needs to be put in place; otherwise, a ban on Russian imports takes effect on December 5th. US energy sec

30-11-2022 10:23 GMT by Edward Moya

Oil powers higher, gold range-bound

Immense uncertainty It was always shaping up to be a volatile week in oil markets and it's certainly living up to that. Brent and WTI are up more than 2% on Wednesday as the EU continues to work towards an agreeable price cap on Russian crude and OPEC+ consider another large production cut this weekend. Both carry significant uncertainty and a wide range of outcomes that should ensure oil remains volatile in the coming days, especially if both go into the weekend still up in the air.

30-11-2022 08:46 GMT by Craig Erlam

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