Commodities: all news & analysis

Explore our extensive commodities news, which unveils critical insights into price movements, trends, and expert forecasts in the raw materials market. By examining price actions and understanding the factors influencing commodity values, understand current market dynamics. This page is designed to boost your research on historical trends, identify seasonal patterns, and sharpen your trading strategies across sectors such as energy, metals, and agriculture. Equip yourself with the knowledge necessary to enhance your understanding of the commodities landscape and elevate your trading decisions.

Oil Price Outlook: Brent Crude Eyes Further Gains on Supply Risks

Crude Oil prices start the week on the front foot, up 0.94% at the time of writing. Geopolitics, supply risks and the summer holidays keep buyers hopeful. MA crossover and support bounce hint at fresh highs this week. Fundamental Overview Oil benchmarks are trading higher to start the week as supply risks were helped by US dollar weakness.

24-06-2024 12:14 GMT by Zain Vawda

Gold & Silver test two-week highs on geopolitical concerns and rate cut optimism

Key Points: Geopolitics return to the fore as concerns mount around the Middle East and Asia.. Safe haven demand sees gold (xau/usd) rise toward 2350 resistance. Silver technicals hint at the potential for further upside. Commodity markets have returned to positive territory this morning, driven by gains in both silver (XAG/USD) and gold (XAU/USD).

20-06-2024 09:36 GMT by Zain Vawda

Gold Price Outlook: Bears Take Early Control as US Dollar Index (DXY) Rises

Gold surrendered Friday's gains as a retest of $2300 gains momentum. US dollar index (DXY) rises but faces stern resistance at 105.63. Geopolitics remains on the back burner for now, but risks remain. Fundamental Overview and Week Ahead Gold prices began the week on the backfoot, with a slight gap to the downside at the open.

17-06-2024 06:08 GMT by Zain Vawda

WTI Oil Week Ahead: WTI Eyes $80 a Barrel on Demand Optimism

WTI Oil on course for its best week in over two months. WTI unfazed as OPEC and IEA forecast paint differing demand pictures. WTI eyeing trendline break and psychological $80 a barrel mark.

14-06-2024 10:12 GMT by Zain Vawda

Gold (XAU/USD) Vulnerable Heading Into US CPI and FOMC Releases

Gold struggles for direction ahead of key US data releases as geopolitics take a backseat. People’s Bank of China (PBoC) pauses gold buying following 18-Month spree. Downside momentum appears to be building as buyers lack conviction. Fundamental Overview Gold has edged higher this week yet remains under pressure heading into the US inflation data release and the FOMC decision.

12-06-2024 07:45 GMT by Zain Vawda

Gold Technical: On the brink of a potential multi-week corrective decline

Gold (XAU/USD) plummeted below its 20-day & 50-day moving averages, and recorded a daily loss of 3.45% last Friday, 7 June; its worst daily performance since November 2020. The main negative catalyst has been a halt in China’s gold purchases in May after 18 consecutive months of buying through its official reserves.

10-06-2024 03:51 GMT by Kelvin Wong

Market Insights Podcast - Volatile oil prices ex-post OPEC+, ECB and US NFP on the radar for this week

OANDA Senior Market Analyst Kelvin Wong joins Jonny Hart to discuss this week's key economic data and events. Firstly, OPEC+ members did not extend the voluntary cuts of 2.2 million bpd till end of 2024 but instead only until Q3 2024, oil prices reacted negatively due to incoming influx of more supplies after September 2024. Secondly, market participants have likely fully priced in a 25 bps cut for this coming Thursday, 6 June ECB monetary policy meeting.

04-06-2024 00:19 GMT by Kelvin Wong

WTI Oil: On track for a potential recovery after 2-month of 12% decline

Recent additional stimulus measures from China, a reduction in elevated net long positioning from large futures speculators & an uptick in geopolitical risk premium may support higher oil prices. Watch the key medium-term support of US$78.40/US$76.60 on WTI crude oil. A break above US$81.70 may trigger a multi-week bullish impulsive upmove in WTI crude oil. This is a follow-up analysis of our prior report, “WTI Oil Technical: Approaching a key medium-term resistance, at risk of a mean reversion

29-05-2024 05:01 GMT by Kelvin Wong

Market Insights Podcast - Gold hit another fresh record high, UK and Japan CPI, Fed minutes on the radar for this week

OANDA Senior Market Analyst Kelvin Wong joins Jonny Hart to discuss this week's key economic data and events. Firstly, at the start of a brand new week, Gold (XAU/USD) maintained its bullish tone and rocketed to a fresh record on Monday, 20 May, printing an intraday high of US$2,450 on the backdrop of a potential uptick in geopolitical risk premium arising in the Middle East due to the death of Iranian President Raisi in a helicopter crash.

20-05-2024 22:05 GMT by Kelvin Wong

Gold Technical: Stagflation risk and a softer US 10-year Treasury real yield are supporting the bulls

Stagflation risk has led to a softer US 10-year Treasury real yield below 2.38%. The 6% decline of Gold (XAU/USD) from its recent all-time high in April may have reached an inflection point to kickstart another potential medium-term impulsive bullish sequence. Watch the key short-term support of US$2,327 on Gold (XAU/USD). This is a follow-up analysis of our prior report, “Gold Technical: A floor may have been formed for the bulls” published on 6 May 2024.

15-05-2024 06:36 GMT by Kelvin Wong

Gold Technical: A floor may have been formed for the bulls

Stagflation risk is still lingering as indicated by the latest April US ISM Manufacturing and Services PMI data. A not fully priced-in stagflation risk scenario may support another bullish impulsive upmove sequence for Gold (XAU/USD). Watch the key medium-term pivotal zone of US$2,260/2,210 for Gold (XAU/USD). This is a follow-up analysis of our prior report, “Gold Technical: Is the bull run over after its worst daily decline in 2 years?” published on 24 April 2024. Click here for a recap.

06-05-2024 04:46 GMT by Kelvin Wong

Gold Technical: Is the bull run over after its worst daily decline in 2 years?

This is a follow-up analysis of our prior report, “Gold Technical: At risk of mean reversion corrective decline after 19% gain” published on 15 April 2024. Click here for a recap. The price actions of Gold (XAU/USD) have shaped the mean reversion decline after a test on the US$2,420 intermediate resistance.

24-04-2024 05:37 GMT by Kelvin Wong

Market Insights Podcast - Pause in oil rally, UK and Japan inflation, China Q1 GDP are the focus for this week

OANDA Senior Market Analyst Kelvin Wong joins Jonny Hart to discuss this week's key economic data and events. The possible scenarios on the trajectory oil prices after its 13% rally seen in the past month amid geopolitical tensions in Middle East with fears of tic-for-tact retaliation moves between Israel and Iran.

15-04-2024 21:38 GMT by Kelvin Wong

Gold Technical: At risk of mean reversion corrective decline after 19% gain

Commitments of Traders aggregate net bullish open positions of large speculators in the Gold futures market have flashed a bearish contrarian condition. The recent rally in Gold (XAU/USD) has been primarily driven by an increase in geopolitical risk premium arising from Middle East tensions.

15-04-2024 03:12 GMT by Kelvin Wong

Market Insights Podcast - Higher for longer interest rates back in vogue, US CPI, ECB and Q1 US banks earnings on the radar

OANDA Senior Market Analyst Kelvin Wong joins Jonny Hart to discuss this week's key economic data and events. Firstly, a quick recap on what happened last week week where the initial Fed dovish pivot narrative has been watered down due to a hawkish Fed Speak from Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari that suggested interest rate cuts may not be needed in 2024 coupled with a red-hot US non-farm payroll jobs data for March.

08-04-2024 21:27 GMT by Kelvin Wong

SPX 500: Fed dovish pivot narrative is at risk

Higher oil prices have led to higher inflationary expectations in the US via the breakeven rates. Recent rise in inflationary expectations coupled with recent “less dovish” Fed Speak from Fed officials Kashkari, and Bostic has revived the “higher for longer” interest rates environment. Higher commodities prices led by oil may see an uptick in US CPI data.

08-04-2024 04:13 GMT by Kelvin Wong

Gold Technical: A potential minor corrective pull-back in play as FOMC looms

Gold (XAU/USD) has traded in a tight range of 2% in the past two weeks after it printed a fresh all-time high of US$2,195 on 8 March. The biggest risk event for today will be the latest Fed FOMC’s dot plot projection on the trajectory of its Fed funds rate; a reduction to two cuts from three cuts for 2024 cannot be ruled out. Technical analysis suggests potential short-term weakness in Gold (XAU/USD). Watch the key short-term resistance at US$2,180 on Gold (XAU/USD).

20-03-2024 06:52 GMT by Kelvin Wong

Market Insights Podcast - A busy week with Tokyo CPI, China 2 Sessions, Fed Chair Powell testimony and US NFP

OANDA Senior Market Analyst Kelvin Wong joins Jonny Hart to discuss this week's key economic data and event. A busy week ahead across the globe, over in Asia, the key focus will be on Tokyo's core-core inflation rate (excluding food & energy) where the consensus is expecting an uptick from January's softer print of 2.2% y/y.

04-03-2024 19:21 GMT by Kelvin Wong

Gold Technical: On the cusp of a potential major bullish breakout

Gold Technical: On the cusp of a potential major bullish breakout Gold (XAU/USD) recorded its highest weekly gain of 2.33% year-to-date on 1 March 2024, and its best weekly return seen in the past three months. Positive technical elements and a softer real US 10-year Treasury yield below 2.15% support a potential major bullish breakout scenario for Gold (XAU/USD). Gold (XAU/USD) potential bullish breakout trigger level stands at US$2,090.

04-03-2024 00:54 GMT by Kelvin Wong

Brent Crude - Oil gives back gains after inventory data

EIA reported inventories rose by 12 million barrels last week Volatility remains amid uncertainty Inverse head and shoulders forms Oil prices remain very volatile and last week's unexpected and substantial inventory build, reported by EIA, further added to that. The price fell sharply after the data and continued earlier today before recouping those losses to trade flat on the session.

15-02-2024 08:33 GMT by Craig Erlam

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