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Bond market selloff can’t continue until CPI data, stocks rebound on Bostic and as yields drop, bitcoin eases
US stocks are rising after both Fed’s Bostic assuaged investor fears of an overly aggressive Fed tightening cycle and as the global bond market selloff takes a break in anticipation of tomorrow’s inflation report. Fixed-income traders made it clear early that the 10-year Treasury yield would not break above the 2.00% level before Thursday’s inflation data.
09-02-2022 12:13 GMT by Edward Moya
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Oil dips as Iran talks continue, gold flat
Oil eases as talks continue Oil prices are continuing to soften on Wednesday, as traders continue to weigh up the prospect of a nuclear deal between the US and Iran that could see more than a million barrels of oil flood the market at a time when it's very much needed. One eye will also be on the EIA inventory data after API reported a more than two million barrel drawdown on Tuesday. WTI has slipped back below USD 90 but Brent is continuing to hold around there, after finding strong support o
09-02-2022 08:39 GMT by Craig Erlam
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Confidence building
Stock markets are making decent gains in Europe on Wednesday and US futures are also being led higher as confidence continues to build following a torrid start to the year. Investors' mood brightens It's hard to pinpoint exactly what has changed; whether it's earnings that are lifting the mood or the soothing tones of central bankers desperately trying to manage expectations. Perhaps it's simply a case of investors coming to terms with the tightening environment and feeling more comfortable wi
09-02-2022 08:34 GMT by Craig Erlam
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Oil eases, gold extends rally
Oil pares gains as nuclear talks continue The oil price rally is cooling on Tuesday as the US and Iran indirectly continue talks over the nuclear deal that could see more than a million barrels quickly come back online. It couldn't come at a better time given how tight the market is, not to mention politically for President Biden ahead of the midterms.
08-02-2022 13:53 GMT by Craig Erlam
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Optimism ahead of Fed and inflation data
We're seeing further signs of stabilization in the markets on Tuesday, as the relatively peaceful start to the week continues. It's been a wild start to the year and it seems investors are embracing the less intense start to the week, probably with an eye on what's to come over the next couple of days. Recent weeks have brought so much anxiety to financial markets as yields have accelerated higher in anticipation of a series of rate hikes from central banks. The inflation data has continued to
08-02-2022 13:46 GMT by Craig Erlam
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Crude drops while gold shines
Oil extends losses Crude prices extended declines on a possible de-escalation with the Ukraine situation and possible progress with Iran nuclear talks. This was an easy trade for energy traders as the bullish run higher has clearly hit some exhaustion.  Oil’s weakness was primarily from incremental progress over geopolitical tensions and a stronger dollar that emerged from rising Treasury yields. The focus will shift to US stockpiles and expectations are for inventories to post a modest build.
08-02-2022 12:22 GMT by Edward Moya
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Australian dollar pauses after strong gains
The Australian dollar is showing limited movement on Tuesday, after posting sharp gains at the start of the week. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.7133, up 0.10% on the day. There are no tier-1 events out of Australia this week, but the data released this week is pointing upwards.
08-02-2022 11:34 GMT by Kenneth Fisher
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US Close: Slow Start for Stocks, Lagarde pushes back, Oil rally pauses, Gold rallies, Bitcoin momo is back
US stocks will struggle for direction until the latest inflation tilts market’s expectations as to how aggressive the Fed will tighten into what is still deemed as an overvalued stock market.  Wall Street saw early selling pressure for tech stocks as investors still digest a wrath of disappointing outlooks and surging borrowing costs. Technology stocks are no longer a one-way trade as investors cut losses and now focus on valuations, competition, and long-term outlooks. FX Financial markets are
07-02-2022 16:29 GMT by Edward Moya
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Cdn. dollar rebounds after soft job data
The Canadian dollar has started the week with strong gains, recovering after sharp losses at the end of the week. There are no Canadian tier-1 events on the calendar, so US numbers will have a magnified impact on the movement of the Canadian dollar. The US nonfarm payrolls outperformed in spectacular style, posting a gain of 467 thousand jobs in January.
07-02-2022 11:48 GMT by Kenneth Fisher
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A calm start to the week
It's been a relatively timid start to the week which is perhaps not overly surprising given the rather eventful period we've just experienced. Going into a new week, the dominant theme in the market is the same and will be for some time. The last couple of weeks has only elevated that as central banks have shifted into a higher gear and markets have continued to price in ever more tightening. In the case of the ECB, a handbrake turn on interest rates has certainly not gone unnoticed and everyo
07-02-2022 10:55 GMT by Craig Erlam
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Oil stalls, gold moves upwards
Oil rally stalls as nuclear talks take a step forward Oil prices are a little flat at the start of the week with the rally losing a little momentum after nuclear talks between the US and Iran appeared to make positive progress. It seems we're into the final stretch, one way or another, and Biden's decision to restore sanction waivers could signal that they're heading in the right direction. Biden has an additional incentive to reach a deal, given the sky-high crude prices and what a deal could
07-02-2022 10:52 GMT by Craig Erlam
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Euro records monster week
The euro is slightly lower in Monday trading, after an outstanding week of gains. EUR/USD surged 2.71% last week, its best weekly performance since March 2020. The US nonfarm payrolls for January was a massive surprise to the upside, with a gain of 467 thousand jobs in January.
07-02-2022 09:34 GMT by Kenneth Fisher
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Aussie rebounds on strong retail sales
The Australian dollar has started the week with gains. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.7091, up 0.26% on the day. It was shaping up to be a banner week for the Aussie, which recorded gains every day of last week until a bump at the end of the week.
07-02-2022 04:40 GMT by Kenneth Fisher
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Week Ahead - Plenty more action to come
It's been an incredible couple of weeks in the markets, one in which we've seen another hawkish move from multiple central banks, big swings in stocks on the back of earnings, and tensions around Ukraine intensify. The result has been very volatile markets and while the coming week looks a little lighter on event risk, there's little reason to expect that the markets will suddenly settle down.
04-02-2022 15:46 GMT by Craig Erlam
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