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US Close: Slow Start for Stocks, Lagarde pushes back, Oil rally pauses, Gold rallies, Bitcoin momo is back
US stocks will struggle for direction until the latest inflation tilts market’s expectations as to how aggressive the Fed will tighten into what is still deemed as an overvalued stock market.  Wall Street saw early selling pressure for tech stocks as investors still digest a wrath of disappointing outlooks and surging borrowing costs. Technology stocks are no longer a one-way trade as investors cut losses and now focus on valuations, competition, and long-term outlooks. FX Financial markets are
by Edward Moya
Cdn. dollar rebounds after soft job data
The Canadian dollar has started the week with strong gains, recovering after sharp losses at the end of the week. There are no Canadian tier-1 events on the calendar, so US numbers will have a magnified impact on the movement of the Canadian dollar. The US nonfarm payrolls outperformed in spectacular style, posting a gain of 467 thousand jobs in January.
by Kenneth Fisher
A calm start to the week
It's been a relatively timid start to the week which is perhaps not overly surprising given the rather eventful period we've just experienced. Going into a new week, the dominant theme in the market is the same and will be for some time. The last couple of weeks has only elevated that as central banks have shifted into a higher gear and markets have continued to price in ever more tightening. In the case of the ECB, a handbrake turn on interest rates has certainly not gone unnoticed and everyo
by Craig Erlam
Oil stalls, gold moves upwards
Oil rally stalls as nuclear talks take a step forward Oil prices are a little flat at the start of the week with the rally losing a little momentum after nuclear talks between the US and Iran appeared to make positive progress. It seems we're into the final stretch, one way or another, and Biden's decision to restore sanction waivers could signal that they're heading in the right direction. Biden has an additional incentive to reach a deal, given the sky-high crude prices and what a deal could
by Craig Erlam
Euro records monster week
The euro is slightly lower in Monday trading, after an outstanding week of gains. EUR/USD surged 2.71% last week, its best weekly performance since March 2020. The US nonfarm payrolls for January was a massive surprise to the upside, with a gain of 467 thousand jobs in January.
by Kenneth Fisher
Aussie rebounds on strong retail sales
The Australian dollar has started the week with gains. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.7091, up 0.26% on the day. It was shaping up to be a banner week for the Aussie, which recorded gains every day of last week until a bump at the end of the week.
by Kenneth Fisher
Week Ahead - Plenty more action to come
It's been an incredible couple of weeks in the markets, one in which we've seen another hawkish move from multiple central banks, big swings in stocks on the back of earnings, and tensions around Ukraine intensify. The result has been very volatile markets and while the coming week looks a little lighter on event risk, there's little reason to expect that the markets will suddenly settle down.
by Craig Erlam
Market Insights Podcast (Episode 291)
OANDA Senior Market Analyst Craig Erlam reviews the latest market news with Jonny Hart. They discuss the US jobs report and why it had such a big impact on the markets, before previewing the week ahead.
by Craig Erlam
NFP React: Payroll Shocker, Wall Street eyes half-point March liftoff, Amazon impresses
US stocks traded mixed after a surprisingly strong employment report made some investors nervous the Fed will be forced to be much more aggressive with fighting inflation. The Nasdaq was boosted after yesterday’s flawless Amazon earnings report.  Amazon delivered strong eps and AWS revenue beats, reported a $12 billion gain from their bet on Rivian, and raised their annual Prime membership prices.  Investors care about Cloud growth and future profits and Amazon’s earnings report had all those bo
by Edward Moya
Commodities and Cryptos: Oil surges, Gold hovers around $1800, Bitcoin $40k ceiling may get tested
Oil Crude prices seem to have a one-way ticket to $100 oil.  This week’s rally in crude was supported by the OPEC+ decision to stick to their gradual increase strategy and as US production fell again.  An artic blast is also disrupting some production in Texas and that is driving this latest price surge. Initially crude prices pared gains after a shockingly strong NFP report sent yields and the dollar higher, but that was short-lived as energy traders realized that the key takeaway is that the
by Edward Moya
Oil stays strong, gold volatile
Oil heading for USD 100? A winter storm in Texas appears to have been responsible for the latest spike in crude prices, as traders fret about the possibility of outages in the Permian Basin. In such a tight market, that's more than enough to encourage traders to buy what was the mildest of dips following the OPEC+ meeting earlier this week. With both Brent and WTI now comfortably above USD 90, it may just be a matter of time until we're closing in on triple-figures.
by Craig Erlam
Downbeat ahead of NFP
It's been another downbeat session in financial markets, with even US tech stocks losing recovery momentum ahead of the open as focus switches to the January jobs report. While earnings season has overall been something to reflect positively on, there have been plenty of potholes along the way that has continued to stall any recovery in the stock market. What's more, it's coming at a time of considerable uncertainty about the outlook which is weighing heavily on sentiment. Tech stocks bounced
by Craig Erlam
Euro rockets as Lagarde talks hawkish
The euro has posted slight gains in the European session, as it trades around 1.1450. Thursday was an absolute barn-burner, as EUR/USD surged 1.18%, its best one-day performance since December 2020. Lagarde beats a retreat on rates The ECB did not raise rates at its meeting on Thursday, but some tweaks in the statement and hawkish comments from ECB President Lagarde were enough to send the euro soaring.
by Kenneth Fisher
Market Insights Podcast (Episode 290)
OANDA Senior Market Analyst Craig Erlam reviews the latest market news with Jonny Hart. Today they discussed the BoE meeting, change in the energy price cap and the ECB decision.
by Craig Erlam
Oil eases lower, gold falls below USD 1800
Oil softens but major correction unlikely Oil prices are softening a little again today, as they continue to struggle around the USD 90 level. This comes even as OPEC+ refused to be pressured into raising output faster in March - or perhaps be forced to do something they're unable to do right now.
by Craig Erlam
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