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Aussie active ahead of RBA meeting
The Australian dollar started the trading week with considerable losses but has recovered and is unchanged on the day. Volatility continues due to Ukraine crisis The financial markets remain focused on Ukraine, where the Russian invasion continues and the capital Kyiv is bracing for a Russian onslaught at any time. Russian and Ukrainian officials are currently meeting on the Belarus-Ukraine border to discuss a cease-fire, although expectations for a breakthrough are low.
by Kenneth Fisher
NZ dollar dips as business confidence slides
New Zealand business confidence plunges The week started on a sour note, as ANZ New Zealand Business Confidence plunged in January, with a reading of -51.8. This was a sharp drop from the December read of -23.2.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil, gold rise on risk aversion
Oil prices are sharply higher on enhanced sanctions Unsurprisingly, the sharp escalations in sanctions over the weekend, which sparked panic among ordinary Russians, has seen oil open sharply higher today. Brent crude has soared 3.50% to USD 101.85 a barrel, and WTI has rocketed 4.55% higher to USD 96.10 a barrel.   Oil prices are, in fact, slightly off initial highs, potentially on hopes from the Ukraine-Russia meeting, with similar price action seen in equity and currency markets.
by Jeffrey Halley
Asian markets in choppy waters
Asian equities are impressively resilient US futures were crushed at the Asian open this morning, unwinding all of Friday's impressive gains. Since then, US index futures have pared some of those initial losses, while several key Asian markets are actually trading in positive territory. Futures on the S&P 500 are 1.20% lower, while the Nasdaq has tumbled by 1.85%.
by Jeffrey Halley
It’s all about Ukraine
As we enter the end of February and the beginning of March, I could be discussing the very busy week of data ahead and its implications on monetary policy. But who are we kidding?
by Jeffrey Halley
Bitcoin - Better days ahead?
Survived another big test It's been quite the turnaround in the markets over the last 24 hours as traders quickly morphed from panicking about Russia invading Ukraine to seemingly being more hopeful and buying the dips. The recovery has been nothing short of remarkable, especially when you consider what is still happening in Ukraine. But as we can see in bitcoin, risk appetite has returned in a big way and the outlook for the crypto is looking far more positive. The fact that it failed to bre
by Craig Erlam
US Close: Stock rebound continues, Fed's favorite inflation reading hits highest level since 1983, Consumer Spending rebounds
US stocks are rallying as Wall Street anticipates central bank reluctance to go overly aggressive with tightening monetary policy, so they could provide a cushion for a growth hit that will stem the Russia-Ukraine developments. Even as Russian troops move in on Ukraine’s capital, risk appetite got a boost from Moscow’s signal that they could be ready to have talks with the Ukrainian government.
by Edward Moya
Commodities and Cryptos: Crude declines, Gold weakens, Bitcoin follows risk rally
Oil Crude prices continue to drop as energy traders realize that War in Ukraine probably won’t lead to any disruptions of Russian crude to Europe.  Despite the potential for talks between Moscow and Ukraine officials, the situation in Ukraine continues to escalate as Russian forces make a move for Ukraine’s capital.  Taking over Kiev would be followed by a strong reaction from Western leaders, which should suggest all sanctions remain on the table, including Russia crude oil and gas. WTI crude
by Edward Moya
Market Insights Podcast (Episode 299)
Jonny Hart looks back on the week's business and markets news with OANDA Senior Market Analyst Ed Moya in New York.  This week they discuss how financial markets reacted to the War in Ukraine, what is driving the oil markets and what to expect going forward, recap the latest round US economic data, and how cryptos staged quite the comeback.  They also discuss what the week ahead has in store for financial markets.
by Edward Moya
Week Ahead - Shock waves
It's been another week of significant volatility in financial markets and there's little reason to expect next week will be any different. The Russian invasion of Ukraine sent shock waves around the world and the ripple effects were felt throughout the markets as investors were forced to consider what the consequences would be for everything from commodity prices to interest rates.
by Craig Erlam
Oil falls below USD 100, gold softens
Oil slips back below $100 Oil prices are marginally up on the day but are back below USD 100 after giving up almost all of the gains since the invasion began. Don't get me wrong, crude trading near USD 100 is still very high and there remains plenty of Ukraine risk premium priced in at these levels, but it's given up those gains very quickly. I expect we'll continue to see plenty of volatility in oil markets for some time, with plenty of interest in the dips as geopolitical tensions remain so
by Craig Erlam
Equities bounce back
Stock markets in Europe are rebounding strongly on Friday, just one day after plunging on the back of Russia's invasion of Ukraine. It's a remarkable turnaround when you consider that the invasion is still taking place and sanctions are being drawn up. There is still huge uncertainty around how bad the situation will get, given how quickly it has escalated over the last few days, which makes the shift in risk appetite all the more surprising. With oil trading back below USD 100 a barrel and ga
by Craig Erlam
Japanese yen yawns as CPI rises
Japan's CPI hits 2-year high In Japan, the spotlight this week was on inflation indicators. After decades of deflation, Japan is experiencing inflationary pressures, although nothing on the scale that we're seeing in the US or the UK.
by Kenneth Fisher
NZ dollar steady after wild ride
The New Zealand dollar has steadied after taking a tumble on Thursday. In the European session, NZD/USD is trading quietly at the 0.67 line. New Zealand dollar plunges as risk apprehension soars There was no shortage of volatility in the currency markets on Thursday, as panicky investors dumped pretty much everything and flocked to the safety of the US dollar.
by Kenneth Fisher
Equities stage “peak-Ukraine” rally
US equities staged an impressive rally overnight, wiping out the earlier day's losses and rallying to finish strongly in the green. Positive US data played its parts, but mostly it appears to be a relief rally sparked by the announcement of the scope of US sanctions on Russia.
by Jeffrey Halley
Oil and gold take wild rides
Brent crude rises once again as Asian buyers buy the dip To describe the price action on oil markets as wild yesterday would be a gross understatement. Brent crude rose nearly 10 US dollars to just shy of USD 106.00, before retreating to USD 99.00 at the close, a 2.0% gain for the day.
by Jeffrey Halley
US dollar remains elevated
Investors snap up safe-haven greenback The US dollar soared on haven flows as Russia commenced its invasion of Ukraine yesterday. However, DM currencies rallied later in the session after the announcement of the next tranche of Western sanctions.
by Jeffrey Halley
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