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US dollar retreats on Ukraine hopes
US dollar eases In keeping with the price action in other asset classes, the US dollar staged a sharp retreat overnight on Ukrainian and energy hopes. The dollar index tumbled by 1.10% to 98.00, before creeping up with oil prices this morning to 98.13.
by Jeffrey Halley
Asian equities are flying
Asian equities jump on oil slide, Ukraine hopes With oil prices crashing overnight, and tenuous hopes that a Ukraine resolution was on the table, equity markets saw a biblical stampede of bottom-fishers pouring into equity markets, sending them soaring. The S&P 500 leapt 2.57% higher, while the Nasdaq rocketed 3.59% higher, helped by an Amazon stock-split announcement.
by Jeffrey Halley
The Texas whipsaw massacre
Markets remain turbulent Volatility continues to be the winner overnight, particularly in the commodity space as the street engaged in its latest grasping at straws attempt to price in “peak-Ukraine.” European equity markets got the ball rolling, hoovering up equities on Ukraine-Russia reproachment hopes ahead of a meeting between the two sides in Turkey today. Ukraine’s President also said yesterday morning that he was open to neutrality and not joining NATO.
by Jeffrey Halley
Oil down 10% from Sunday's high, gold pivots at USD 2000
Oil  Crude prices are declining after Ukraine President Zelensky signaled he has 'cooled down' regarding the question of Ukraine joining NATO and as optimism grows that the economic impact of sanctions is weighing on the Russian economy and that President Putin might try to avoid a long war. Adding to the earlier selling pressure was the IEA breakdown of 62.7 million barrels emergency oil stocks.  The world is working together to tackle surging oil prices and that has put a short-term top for c
by Edward Moya
Risk appetite is back in town, commodity rally hits a peak, bitcoin embraces risk-on mood
US stocks are rebounding as Wall Street embraces the exhaustion with the pricing surge across the commodity complex.  It has been almost two weeks since Russia invaded Ukraine and it appears that traders are becoming a little optimistic a compromise could happen after Ukrainian President Zelensky’s comment that he had “cooled down” about Ukraine’s bid to join NATO, which was one of the driving factors behind Russian's invasion.  He also noted that he is open to compromise with the status of the
by Edward Moya
Oil volatile, gold drops below USD 2000
Another volatile session for oil It's been another incredibly volatile day in the oil market, with Brent crude at one point rising a few percent before reversing course to trade down more than 5% on the day. This comes as it continued to see resistance around USD 130 following the US and UK decisions to ban and phase out Russian oil imports. With the EU not joining them, due to their far heavier reliance on Russian oil, and instead looking to do so over a much longer period, the price never ra
by Craig Erlam
A premature rebound?
Equity markets bounce back Stock markets are rebounding strongly on Wednesday, with Europe posting gains of up to 5% as investors question whether the worst is already priced in. I'm certainly not convinced that this is the case but stocks have fallen a lot in recent weeks and comments from President Zelensky around NATO membership could be viewed as a first and important step towards a compromise between Ukraine and Russia. Perhaps what we're therefore seeing is a hopeful rally rather than o
by Craig Erlam
Sterling moves higher as dollar dips
The British pound is in positive territory, as the US dollar has retreated against the major currencies for the first time in five days. GBP/USD is trading at 1.3169 in the North American session, up 0.52% on the day. The US dollar has had its way with the pound in recent sessions, but GBP/USD has reversed directions today.
by Kenneth Fisher
Euro surges on broad dollar retreat
The euro has posted sharp gains and punched above the symbolic 1.10 level. In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.1031, up 1.24% on the day. We continue to see significant volatility in the currency markets. The euro plunged 3.0% per cent last week but has reversed directions, as the US dollar has dropped against the major currencies today for the first time in five days.
by Kenneth Fisher
NZ dollar climbs on sharp mfg. data
The New Zealand dollar has posted strong gains on Wednesday. NZD/USD is trading at 0.6841 in the European session, up 0.55% on the day. Manufacturing Sales surge in Q4 Manufacturing Sales were outstanding in the fourth quarter, with a gain of 12.0%. This marked an impressive rebound from the -2.3% reading in Q3.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil rises, gold punches past USD 2000
Oil prices stay firm Oil prices remained firm overnight, finishing around 4.0% higher for the day after President Biden announced a unilateral ban on Russian energy imports. The move was well telegraphed, with oil markets having already moved higher this week in anticipation.
by Jeffrey Halley
Asia’s modest relief rally
US bans all Russian energy imports The announcement by President Biden overnight of a unilateral ban on Russian energy imports had been well flagged to markets already. That limited the fallout from the announcement and although energy prices still finished higher overnight, equity markets in New York were only slightly lower.
by Jeffrey Halley
Oil surges, gold eyes record highs
Oil powers higher All the headlines suggest oil prices will continue to go higher.  Global energy supplies will continue to get tighter now that both the US and UK will ban Russian oil.  The US took it one step further and also will ban Russian natural gas and other energy sources.  Russia's economy will take a big hit as the West shows unity and intensifies its sanctions against the Kremlin. The crude supply outlook will struggle to make up for Russian supplies over the next few months, so wha
by Edward Moya
Stocks remain persistently volatile, commodity craziness, nickel's historic move, bitcoin higher
Trading US stocks has become massively complicated as the impact from the war in Ukraine continues to drive persistent volatility with commodity prices, which is wreaking havoc on inflation expectations and driving recession fears.  US stocks pared losses as some investors still remain confident with the economic outlook for the rest of the year, but that rebound did not last.  Geopolitical risks and surging commodity prices are crippling everyone’s short-term US stock market outlook and that wi
by Edward Moya
Gold - Record highs on the way?
Pullback may be brief Gold came within a whisker of record highs on Tuesday and it may not be done there. The yellow metal is a traditional safe haven and inflation hedge, which makes it perfect in highly uncertain times like this. Not only is the world already desperately trying to get to grips with high inflation, it's also facing the prospect of an economic slowdown and maybe even recession. Putin's decision to invade Ukraine will have severe consequences, not just for Russia - although th
by Craig Erlam
NZD extends losses ahead of mfg. sales
The New Zealand dollar is trading lower on Tuesday, after starting the week with considerable losses. NZD/USD is trading just above the 0.68 line in the North American session. Investors are keeping an eye on New Zealand Manufacturing Sales, which will be released later in the day.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil rises on expected US ban, gold rises
Oil higher as the US prepares Russian import ban There's a lot going on in the oil market at the minute which is contributing to the huge amount of volatility and uncertainty we're seeing. It's such a headline-driven market at the moment and today is certainly no different.
by Craig Erlam
Temporary comfort
European stock markets have been given an unexpected boost on Tuesday following reports that the bloc is close to an agreement on fresh joint bond sales to fund major projects. It was reported that the joint bond sale will fund energy and defence spending across the EU following the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Europe has long been criticised for its over-reliance on Russian oil and gas, as well as its failure to hit its 2% NATO defence spending target, and the invasion has created the urgency
by Craig Erlam
Euro finds its feet
The euro has been having a rough time of late and plunged 2.96% last week. EUR/USD started the week with more losses but finally found its feet today.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil powers higher, gold steady
Oil prices, I don’t know what to say…… Reports that a Russian general has been killed in Ukraine seem to have been the excuse for Asia to lift prices once again this morning after the breathtaking price action overnight. Although some sense finally prevailed in Northern Hemisphere markets, Brent crude still finished 5.20% higher at USD 124.10 a barrel, and WTI 4.70% higher at USD 120.35 a barrel. Russian scaremongering around USD 300 a barrel of oil may have also spooked Asian markets, but oil
by Jeffrey Halley
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