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Brent Crude - Oil Eyes Break of Key Confluence Level on Chinese Optimism
Oil prices rose due to declining US stockpiles and renewed Chinese optimism after President Xi Jinping pledged to promote growth. Mixed results from Chinese manufacturing data may indicate that government stimulus programs are starting to work. A Reuters poll predicts oil prices will remain around $70 a barrel in 2025. From a technical perspective, price action suggests a breakout may be imminent.
by Zain Vawda
Gold (XAU/USD) Price Analysis: Will Prices Continue to Soar in 2025?
Gold prices on course to end 2024 with a 27% gain, the best yearly performance since 2010. 2025 outlook is positive due to geopolitical risks, central bank buying, and safe-haven demand. Trump administration policies present both risks and opportunities for gold prices. Technical analysis shows potential for further gains, but a deeper correction before reaching new highs is possible.
by Zain Vawda
Markets Weekly Outlook - PMI Data and Increased Liquidity to Drive Markets
US equities experience volatility amid tech and growth stock fluctuations, ending the Santa Rally week with marginal gains. Japanese Yen strengthens due to expected Bank of Japan policy changes, while US Dollar continues its advance. Key data releases next week include Chinese PMI data and US manufacturing PMI, with market focus on potential economic recovery signs in China and continued US resilience.
by Zain Vawda
USD/JPY calm as BoJ Core CPI rises
The Japanese yen is showing limited movement on Tuesday. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 157.33, up 0.11% on the day at the time of writing. The yen is having a dreadful time as it continues to lose ground against the strong US dollar.
by Kenneth Fisher
Canada's economy contracts in November
The Canadian dollar is showing little movement on Tuesday. In the North American session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.4385, up 0.08% at the time of writing. Canada's GDP declines for first time in 11 months The GDP report on Tuesday was a good news-bad news event.
by Kenneth Fisher
RBA more confident about rate cut, Aussie shrugs
The Australian dollar has posted slight losses on Tuesday. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6247, down 0.18% at the time of writing. RBA minutes hint at rate cut The Reserve Bank of Australia minutes from the December meeting were significant although they didn't have much impact on the Australian dollar. The minutes signaled that the RBA is increasingly confident that inflation is moving sustainably towards the Bank's target range of 2% to 3%.
by Kenneth Fisher
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis: Bullish Structure Emerges
Gold prices start the week lower as the US Dollar strengthens due to averted government shutdown and expectations of a stronger dollar in 2025. Gold's safe haven appeal may be tested by geopolitical risks in Syria and the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict. Technical analysis suggests a bullish structure for Gold on a four-hour timeframe, with a potential for further upside if the "Golden Ratio" price level holds.
by Zain Vawda
AUD/USD lower ahead of RBA minutes
The Australian dollar has posted losses on Monday. Early in the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6227, down 0.31% at the time of writing. Market hopes for rate path hints from RBA minutes It's a very light calendar week, with the Christmas holiday just around the corner.
by Kenneth Fisher
Canadian dollar eyes GDP
The Canadian dollar posted its fourth straight losing week, declining about 1%. In Monday's European session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.4397, up 0.16% at the time of writing. Canada's GDP expected to remain at 0.1% The market is keeping expectations low for today's GDP report, with a forecast of 0.1% m/m for October after a 0.1% gain in September.
by Kenneth Fisher
Markets Weekly Outlook - S&P 500 in Focus as Markets Brace for Holiday Lull
The Federal Reserve's policy change and economic projections have significantly impacted markets, leading to a rise in US yields. The US PCE data released on Friday rose less than expected, alleviating some selling pressure on US equities. The Bank of Japan held rates steady, defying expectations of a rate cut, while the risk of a U.S. government shutdown increased. The upcoming week is expected to have thin liquidity and range-bound trade due to the Christmas holiday and a bank holiday in the U
by Zain Vawda
Yen rises on stronger inflation
The Japanese yen has reversed directions on Friday after sharp losses a day earlier. Early in the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 156.54, down 0.53% on the day at the time of writing.
by Kenneth Fisher
British pound stabilizes as retail sales edge up
The British pound has steadied on Friday, after sliding 1.6% in the past two days. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2510, down 0.10% on the day at the time of writing. Retail sales point to weak Christmas spending UK retail sales posted a small gain of 0.2% m/m in November.
by Kenneth Fisher
Nasdaq 100 Technical: At risk of staging a multi-week corrective decline
A transition from a Fed “dovish pivot” to a “normalization” pivot may put a halt to this year-end seasonal “Santa Rally” on the US stock indices. Nasdaq 100 momentum and market breadth have weakened which supports a potential medium-term (multi-week) corrective decline sequence. Watch the 20,790 downside trigger level of the Nasdaq 100. The Nasdaq 100 has reversed its bullish momentum where at the start of this week, it was the sole major US benchmark stock index to print a fresh all-time high
by Kelvin Wong
Stagflation Fears and Soaring US Yields: S&P 500's Next Move
The Federal Reserve's hawkish outlook for 2025, with plans for only two small rate cuts, has triggered a significant selloff in the S&P 500, raising concerns about stagflation. The S&P 500 experienced its biggest one-day drop since August, and the Volatility Index saw its second-largest daily jump in history. Technical analysis suggests a break in bullish structure, with the S&P 500's next move depending on the daily candle close and US Treasury Yields.
by Zain Vawda
BoE holds rates, pound surrenders gains
The British pound rose as much as 0.70% today but has given up almost all of these gains. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2560, down 0.10% on the day at the time of writing. BoE stays on the sidelines, says cuts will be 'gradual' The Bank of England joined the parade of central bank rate announcements earlier today.
by Kenneth Fisher
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