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Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis: Bullish Structure Emerges
Gold prices start the week lower as the US Dollar strengthens due to averted government shutdown and expectations of a stronger dollar in 2025. Gold's safe haven appeal may be tested by geopolitical risks in Syria and the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict. Technical analysis suggests a bullish structure for Gold on a four-hour timeframe, with a potential for further upside if the "Golden Ratio" price level holds.
by Zain Vawda
AUD/USD lower ahead of RBA minutes
The Australian dollar has posted losses on Monday. Early in the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6227, down 0.31% at the time of writing. Market hopes for rate path hints from RBA minutes It's a very light calendar week, with the Christmas holiday just around the corner.
by Kenneth Fisher
Canadian dollar eyes GDP
The Canadian dollar posted its fourth straight losing week, declining about 1%. In Monday's European session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.4397, up 0.16% at the time of writing. Canada's GDP expected to remain at 0.1% The market is keeping expectations low for today's GDP report, with a forecast of 0.1% m/m for October after a 0.1% gain in September.
by Kenneth Fisher
Markets Weekly Outlook - S&P 500 in Focus as Markets Brace for Holiday Lull
The Federal Reserve's policy change and economic projections have significantly impacted markets, leading to a rise in US yields. The US PCE data released on Friday rose less than expected, alleviating some selling pressure on US equities. The Bank of Japan held rates steady, defying expectations of a rate cut, while the risk of a U.S. government shutdown increased. The upcoming week is expected to have thin liquidity and range-bound trade due to the Christmas holiday and a bank holiday in the U
by Zain Vawda
Yen rises on stronger inflation
The Japanese yen has reversed directions on Friday after sharp losses a day earlier. Early in the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 156.54, down 0.53% on the day at the time of writing.
by Kenneth Fisher
British pound stabilizes as retail sales edge up
The British pound has steadied on Friday, after sliding 1.6% in the past two days. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2510, down 0.10% on the day at the time of writing. Retail sales point to weak Christmas spending UK retail sales posted a small gain of 0.2% m/m in November.
by Kenneth Fisher
Nasdaq 100 Technical: At risk of staging a multi-week corrective decline
A transition from a Fed “dovish pivot” to a “normalization” pivot may put a halt to this year-end seasonal “Santa Rally” on the US stock indices. Nasdaq 100 momentum and market breadth have weakened which supports a potential medium-term (multi-week) corrective decline sequence. Watch the 20,790 downside trigger level of the Nasdaq 100. The Nasdaq 100 has reversed its bullish momentum where at the start of this week, it was the sole major US benchmark stock index to print a fresh all-time high
by Kelvin Wong
Stagflation Fears and Soaring US Yields: S&P 500's Next Move
The Federal Reserve's hawkish outlook for 2025, with plans for only two small rate cuts, has triggered a significant selloff in the S&P 500, raising concerns about stagflation. The S&P 500 experienced its biggest one-day drop since August, and the Volatility Index saw its second-largest daily jump in history. Technical analysis suggests a break in bullish structure, with the S&P 500's next move depending on the daily candle close and US Treasury Yields.
by Zain Vawda
BoE holds rates, pound surrenders gains
The British pound rose as much as 0.70% today but has given up almost all of these gains. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2560, down 0.10% on the day at the time of writing. BoE stays on the sidelines, says cuts will be 'gradual' The Bank of England joined the parade of central bank rate announcements earlier today.
by Kenneth Fisher
Brent Crude Oil Prices Toil as Market Awaits Fed Decision. Range Trading Ahead?
Oil prices rose due to lower-than-expected US crude oil stockpiles, but demand concerns remain. OPEC+ is worried about a potential increase in US oil output under a Trump presidency. From a technical perspective, oil prices are range-bound, and range trading might remain in play heading into 2025. Most Read: USD/JPY rises ahead of BoJ meeting Oil prices arrested a two day s;ump today to trade around 1% higher heading into the FOMC meeting.
by Zain Vawda
UK inflation jumps to 8-mth high, pound shrugs
British pound is showing little movement on Wednesday. Early in the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2679,  down 0.07% on the day. UK inflation climbs to 2.6% Inflation in the UK climbed to 2.6% in November, its highest level since March.
by Kenneth Fisher
FOMC Preview: What to Expect and How Will it Impact the US Dollar?
The FOMC meeting today is highly anticipated due to uncertainty surrounding future US monetary policy. Markets expect a 25 bps rate cut today and a slower pace of easing in 2025 due to President-elect Trump's policies. The Fed's reverse repo rate may be adjusted, potentially impacting the US Dollar's strength. Most Read: Gold (XAU/USD) Traders Await Fed Meeting: Will Prices Rally or Fall? The FOMC meeting today is key as interest rate meetings tend to be from the US. However, today's meeting is
by Zain Vawda
Gold (XAU/USD) Traders Await Fed Meeting: Will Prices Rally or Fall?
Gold prices have dropped due to increased US Treasury yields, profit-taking, and the anticipation of a less dovish Fed outlook for 2025. The upcoming Fed meeting and its economic projections, especially regarding rate cuts, will significantly impact gold prices. India's gold imports are expected to decline in December due to a lack of festivals and rising gold prices.
by Zain Vawda
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