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Pound gains ground on broad USD retreat
The British pound is finally in positive territory, after a nasty slide over most of the past week. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3145, up 0.39% on the day. On Thursday, the UK releases Final GDP for the fourth quarter, which is expected to confirm the initial reading of 1.0%.
by Kenneth Fisher
Market Insights Podcast (Episode 313)
OANDA Senior Market Analyst Craig Erlam reviews the latest market news with Jonny Hart. They discuss the latest on the markets in light of progress in Ukraine/Russia talks and the upcoming OPEC+ meeting.
by Craig Erlam
NZ bus. confidence soft, but NZ dollar rises
The New Zealand dollar has extended its rally as it closes in on the symbolic 70 level. In the European session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.6975,  up 0.59% on the day. NZ business confidence remains ice cold Business confidence for March posted a reading deep in negative territory.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil rebounds, gold stabilizes
Oil recovers ahead of OPEC+ meeting Oil prices are heading higher once more on Wednesday as the prospect of a ceasefire being close quickly faded and the economic war between Russia and its "unfriendly" trading partners ramped up. The Kremlin's decision to demand gas payments in roubles and threaten similar actions on other commodities that its trading partners rely upon risks stoking shortages and recessions. There's seemingly no end in sight for the increasingly tight oil market and should R
by Craig Erlam
Ceasefire hopes short-lived
Stock markets are giving back some of their gains on Wednesday, as scepticism grows around Russia's intentions following yesterday's announcements. Reports on Tuesday suggested we're finally seeing a de-escalation in Ukraine, as Russia indicated its intentions to scale back certain military operations. While that was initially viewed as a first step towards a ceasefire, it wasn't long before doubts started to creep in which weighed on sentiment once more. All we're seeing here is cautious opti
by Craig Erlam
Oil and gold pare losses
Lots of noise, little substance for oil Oil prices did the Neville Chamberlain's “peace in our time” gag reflex overnight after Russia’s “reduced operations” comments. Oil prices traded in a 10-dollar range and initially tumbled after the announcement, Brent crude touching USD 105.00, and WTI USD 98.50 a barrel.
by Jeffrey Halley
Dollar falls on higher risk sentiment
Ukraine talks weigh on dollar The US dollar retreated overnight, led by USD/JPY which collapsed to 122.00. Hopes of an improvement in the Ukraine situation, after comments by Russia also lifted market sentiment, reducing the US dollar's haven bid.
by Jeffrey Halley
Asia equities are mostly higher
Ukraine talks spark equity stampede The first sign of good news, no matter how tenuous, from the Ukraine-Russia talks resulted in a mass stampede into equities with the FOMO gnomes pricing in “peak-Ukraine.” European markets soared and the rally continued into New York, where excellent data and lower US yields boosted sentiment. The S&P 500 closed 1.23% higher, the Nasdaq jumped by 1.84%, and the Dow Jones finished 0.97% higher.
by Jeffrey Halley
Oil tumbles, gold pares losses
Oil Crude prices pared losses after a pivotal round of Russia-Ukraine peace talks did not lead to a ceasefire. Initially, oil had a precipitous fall after Moscow said they would reduce military presence near Kyiv.
by Edward Moya
USD/JPY - Running into major resistance
Interventions on the way? The rally in USD/JPY has massively accelerated in recent weeks as markets and the Fed have become increasingly hawkish on US interest rates. This has happened at a time when many central banks are heading in that direction, even the ECB which at one point looked years away from interest rates above 0%. While they haven't yet conceded on the kind of rate hikes that the markets are pricing in, they're certainly heading in that direction. The BoJ is the outlier here.
by Craig Erlam
Euro surges on Ukraine talks
It's been a dramatic afternoon, as EUR/USD has rocketed in the North American session, gaining 1.16%. The pair is currently trading just above the 1.11 level. Euro flies as peace talks show progress  The euro has been showing limited movement for a week, which led me to caption Monday's post as, "Euro looking for direction".
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil edges higher, gold eases
Oil higher as political OPEC+ prepares to continue gradual output increases Oil prices are a little higher today, slightly paring heavy losses on Monday sustained on the back of intensifying lockdowns in China as the government has enacted harsh measures to contain the Covid outbreak. The country remains committed to its zero-Covid policy which will ultimately weigh on crude demand in the near term.
by Craig Erlam
Ceasefire talks lift stock markets
Stock markets across Europe are rallying on Tuesday, buoyed by positive noises coming from Turkey where Ukraine and Russia may be nearing a ceasefire agreement. While there are reportedly still plenty of gaps in the demands of the two teams, there appear to have been compromises found on some big issues including Ukraine's previous ambitions of NATO membership. The next couple of days could be crucial but the signs are promising which we're seeing reflected in the markets today. There has been
by Craig Erlam
Aussie shrugs despite strong retail sales
Australian retail sales outperform Australian retail sales posted a 1.8% gain for a third straight month. The February release beat the consensus estimate of 1.0% and is a further indication that the economic recovery continues. The Australian dollar has sparkled in March, gaining 3.20%.
by Kenneth Fisher
Japanese yen settles down
The Japanese yen has stabilized on Tuesday, after starting the week with sharp losses. USD/JPY is trading at 123.60 in the European session. Yen flirts with 125 line The yen took investors on a wild ride on Monday.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil sinks on China concerns, gold tumbles
China worries push oil lower An already nervous oil market saw prices slump overnight as a lack of two-way liquidity in futures markets exacerbated China’s consumption outlook as the lockdown of Shanghai was tightened. Brent crude fell by 8.20% to USD 109.50, while WTI fell by 8.15% to USD 103.45 a barrel.
by Jeffrey Halley
US yields support dollar strength
US yields continue underpinning US dollar strength with the dollar index rising by 0.32% to 99.12 overnight, where it remains in Asia today. Weakness in the yen also helped lift the dollar index which traded as high as 99.36 intraday.
by Jeffrey Halley
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