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US Close: Retail Sales weighed by energy price surge, Musk’s calculated Twitter offer, Commodities hit hard by strong dollar, Bitcoin below $40k
Wall Street is ready for a long weekend and stocks are struggling here after mixed bank earnings and a retail sales report that showed the consumer is spending more money on essentials.  The second act of bank earnings rewarded Goldman and Morgan Stanley for strong trading revenues, while Citigroup was hampered by their exposure to Russia and Wells Fargo posted disappointing revenue and net interest income.
by Edward Moya
Australian dollar falls on US retail sales
The Australian dollar is in negative territory today, as it trades slightly above the 0.74 line in the North American session. Australia's employment report was respectable, and the Australian dollar's reaction was muted. The economy created 17.9 thousand new jobs in March, down from 77.4 prior and shy of the estimate of 40.0 thousand.  The unemployment rate remained at a sizzling 4.0%, the lowest since 2008. Today's numbers are unlikely to shed much light on the timeline for the RBA's expecte
by Kenneth Fisher
ECBs unhelpful ambiguity
European stocks are edging higher ahead of the long bank holiday weekend, ending the week not far from where they started as investors mull the latest policy decisions, inflation data and earnings. There's been a number of interest rate hikes this week, some more expected than others, while the ECB has instead opted for the usual cocktail of unhelpful ambiguity. Anyone hoping for a hawkish hint ahead of its next meeting and forecasts will no doubt be very disappointed, albeit not surprised.
by Craig Erlam
Oil drifting, gold pares gains
Oil remains rangebound after recovery this week Oil prices are a little lower on Thursday after rallying strongly the previous two days. The flirtation below USD 100 didn't last long as the slight lifting of restrictions in China partly removed one key downside risk for prices.
by Craig Erlam
BoC hike boosts Canadian dollar
Canadian dollar climbs to 1-week high The Canadian dollar is drifting on Thursday, after posting strong gains a day earlier following the BoC rate decision. The Bank of Canada raised interest rates by 0.50% on Wednesday, the first G-7 central bank to do so. It marked the BoC's largest rate hike since 2000.
by Kenneth Fisher
Euro edges up ahead of ECB meeting
The euro has posted slight gains ahead of today's ECB policy meeting and is trading at 1.0916 in the European session. ECB expected to maintain rates We are seeing central banks respond to spiralling inflation with tighter policy. On Tuesday, both the Reserve Bank of New Zealand and the Bank of Canada implemented super-size increases of 0.50%, although the Canadian and New Zealand dollars moved in different directions after the moves.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil and gold rally
Oil prices rally again overnight Oil prices ignored the peak inflation noise from equity and currency markets, posting another day of sharp increases as concerns around tight supplies globally persist and China Covid restrictions were eased in Shanghai. The difference in perceptions between the various asset classes could not be starker now.
by Jeffrey Halley
US dollar in peak inflation hopes
US dollar retreats Rallies by the euro and sterling pushed the US dollar lower overnight as markets in New York continued to price in peak inflation expectations and assume that all the Fed tightening was now priced into US markets. The dollar index fell sharply by 0.46% to 99.85 after touching my initial target of 100.50 earlier in the day.
by Jeffrey Halley
New York rally lifts Asian equities
Markets higher after US inflation report Wall Street ignored weak JP Morgan Q1 results and instead continued to focus on the peak US inflation theme overnight, sending US equities sharply higher. The S&P 500 rose 1.12%, the Nasdaq leapt 2.03% higher, and the Dow Jones climbed by 1.05%.
by Jeffrey Halley
Hawks fill the skies
The procession of central banks hiking rates in an attempt to see off inflation has continued over the last 24 hours. The Bank of Canada hiked by 0.50% overnight, and the Bank of Korea sprung a surprise 0.25% hike this morning.
by Jeffrey Halley
Oil rally returns, Gold eyes USD 2k
Oil  Crude prices were unfazed after the EIA crude oil inventory report posted the biggest build since March 2021.  Overall, the EIA report was mixed as the massive build was offset by improving gasoline and jet fuel demand, while US production remained steady.
by Edward Moya
Oil rises, gold extends rally
Oil pushing higher as OEPC continues to disappoint Oil prices are continuing to push higher after spiking on Tuesday. The slight easing of restrictions in China and pushback from OPEC to EU requests for higher output triggered a sharp rally yesterday just as the price was flirting with double digits.
by Craig Erlam
Tightening continues amid higher inflation
Another mixed session on Wednesday, with Europe edging lower once more and US posting small gains early in the day. There is so much focus on the inflation outlook right now and what policymakers are doing to get to grips with it. Two central banks have raised interest rates by 50 basis points today and the Fed is expected to follow that with a similar move in a couple of weeks' time. The moves from the RBNZ and BoC were not surprising, although the consensus for the former was 25 basis points p
by Craig Erlam
Bank of Canada raises rates by 0.50%
Canadian dollar yawns after rate hike The Bank of Canada was expected to come out flying, and it certainly didn't disappoint as it increased interest rates by 50-basis points. This was the second hike in two months after the central bank had kept rates at an ultra-low 0.25% for close to two years.
by Kenneth Fisher
Market Insights Podcast (Episode 319)
OANDA Senior Market Analyst Craig Erlam reviews the latest market news with Jonny Hart. They discuss the latest inflation data from the UK and US, the RBNZ rate hike, upcoming BoC rate decision and the moves in oil.
by Craig Erlam
RBNZ super-hikes but NZD slides
RBNZ hikes rates by 0.50% The RBNZ came out swinging on Wednesday, as it hiked the Cash Rate to 1.50%, with an oversized hike of 50-basis points. Ordinarily, a sharp rate hike by a central bank would prop up the local currency, but that was not the case today.
by Kenneth Fisher
Inflation relief for GBP/USD
OANDA Senior Market Analyst Craig Erlam talks about how the latest US inflation report offered relief for GBPUSD around key technical support.
by Craig Erlam
Oil rallies, gold edges higher
Oil prices rally overnight Oil prices rallied sharply overnight as OPEC rebuffed increasing production above already agreed amounts, and Russian oil production fell below 10 mio barrels per day. Putin’s Ukraine negotiation dead-end comments also dampened hopes that a negotiated settlement could relieve tight energy markets. Brent crude rallied 5.55% higher to USD 104.85, and WTI leapt 6.10% higher to USD 101.00 a barrel.
by Jeffrey Halley
US dollar rally accelerates overnight
US dollar extends gains In contrast with the exuberance of equity markets, the US dollar rally accelerated overnight, with dollar index gains led by weakness in the euro and sterling. The dollar index ignored the softer monthly core-inflation print, rallying an impressive 0.34% to 100.33, where it remains in Asia.
by Jeffrey Halley
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