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Ex-China equities rally sharply in Asia
Asian markets rise after Brainard remarks Equity markets ex-China, in Asia, are having a positive session, helped by US index futures booking strong gains today after Lael Brainard torpedoed the “peak inflation” rally on Wall Street overnight. Overnight, The S&P 500 finished 0.34% lower, the Nasdaq lost 0.30%, and the Dow Jones fell by 0.26%.
by Jeffrey Halley
Peak inflation nations
Has US inflation peaked? Equity markets ex-China are rallying today as US equity futures jump in Asian trading. Overnight, US inflation hit multi-decade highs, with YOY inflation printing at 8.50%, while core inflation rose by 6.50% YOY.
by Jeffrey Halley
Oil back above USD 100, gold shines
USD 100 oil is back and it is probably going to stay.  The crude correction ended now that the market has mostly priced in the strategic petroleum release plan, China is beginning to lift some of their lockdowns and as negotiations between Russia and Ukraine appear to have hit a dead-end.
by Edward Moya
Oil surges on OPEC, gold jumps on inflation
Oil spikes as OPEC offers the EU little hope Oil prices are spiking after flirting with sub-USD 100 levels in recent days as China appeared to loosen lockdown restrictions and OPEC warned that it would be impossible to replace Russian crude while pushing back against calls for it to utilise its spare capacity. This also came as it reported a decline in supply and demand growth this year and another missed month of production targets; something that the market expects after months of the same. Wh
by Craig Erlam
Relief as US inflation offers hope
European stock markets are heading for the second day of losses at the start of the week while the US is enjoying a boost following the latest inflation data. I never thought I'd see markets responding positively to inflation rising 1.2% on the month and 8.5% on the year but these are not normal times. The headline numbers still don't make for easy reading, especially for households that are continuing to see real incomes fall as a result of higher prices, particularly for energy and food. But t
by Craig Erlam
Euro dips as German inflation soars
German data was in the spotlight on Wednesday, with the release of German inflation and ZEW Economic Sentiment. The numbers were worrying, but the euro's response was muted, as the currency trades in the mid-1.08 range. German, US inflation soars German CPI for March came in as expected, at 7.3% YoY.
by Kenneth Fisher
New Zealand dollar eyes RBNZ
The New Zealand dollar is finally in positive territory on Tuesday, after posting five consecutive losing sessions. RBNZ rate decision looms The RBNZ is widely expected to increase rates from the current 1.00% at the Wednesday meeting, but by how much? Pundits are calling the rate decision a "coin toss" between a 0.25% and a 0.50% increase.
by Kenneth Fisher
Will Dollar/Yen hit 130?
The Japanese yen hasn't managed a single winning session in the month of April, as the dollar has pummelled the yen over the past few weeks. Dollar/yen has climbed to 6-year highs and appears headed for even higher levels.
by Kenneth Fisher
China weighs on oil, gold edges up
China growth fears continue to weigh on oil Oil prices finished sharply lower overnight, despite OPEC telling Europe they wouldn’t be pumping any more oil. Recession fears around US monetary policy and mostly, fears surrounding China’s growth outlook and its Covid zero policy, pushed oil prices down in overnight trading. Brent crude fell 2.90% to USD 99.25 overnight, while WTI fell 2.65% to USD 95.20 a barrel.
by Jeffrey Halley
US yields lift the dollar
Higher US yields boost the dollar The rise in long-dated US yields overnight reversed intraday losses and lifted the greenback. The dollar index rose 0.14% to 99.98, where it remains in Asia.
by Jeffrey Halley
Asia equities remain under pressure
Higher yields weigh on equities Overnight, US markets took fright as US long-dated yields shot higher as inflation nerves grew on Wall Street. The S&P 500 fell 1.68%, the Nasdaq slumped by 2.18%, and the Dow Jones retreated by 1.17%.
by Jeffrey Halley
Equities yield to bonds
US yields hit 3-year high Markets got a case of inflation nerves overnight, with long-dated US yields shooting higher ahead of US inflation data this evening. The US 2-year 10-year curve now has nearly 30 points of positive daylight in it, thankfully removing the “inverse yield curve, we’re all doomed” headlines off the front page for now.
by Jeffrey Halley
Market Insights Podcasr (Episode 318)
Jonny Hart speaks to APAC Senior Market Analyst Jeffrey Halley about news impacting the market and the week ahead.   In this episode, we start off with China equities which have staged a very suspicious 3.0% reversal higher late in the session, as well as glancing at the overnight price action in New York and Asia today. We then turn our attention to a packed data calendar that includes US Inflation this evening and the ECB policy decision on Thursday, as well as German and UK data just releas
by Jeffrey Halley
Oil slumps as China struggles with COVID, gold remains volatile
Oil falls on China's Covid outbreak Oil prices headed lower as energy traders continue to price in further crude demand destruction as China's covid outbreak worsens.  WTI crude knew it was in trouble given the deteriorating crude demand outlook, a stronger dollar, and after a senior US administration official said that President Biden did not make a “concrete ask” to India to ease up their energy purchases from Russia. The oil market is getting beat up and it might take exhaustion from the stro
by Edward Moya
Inflation wall of worry send stocks lower, bitcoin selloff continues
Fed, China weigh on equity markets US stocks declined as the bond market selloff continued as investors fret over aggressive monetary tightening by the Fed and as China continues to struggle with their latest Covid outbreak.  Wall Street is worried that inflation will eventually destroy all the growth potential that was supposed to happen this year.
by Edward Moya
Oil falls below 100, gold pares gains
Oil slides amid Chinese restrictions Oil is off around 3% on the day, with Brent back below USD 100 and hitting its lowest level in almost four weeks. There has been a big effort to alleviate the pressures in the oil market in recent weeks which has no doubt helped but it's the lockdowns in China that are driving the latest declines. The country's zero-Covid policy is naturally having a dampening effect on demand which is aiding the rebalancing efforts.
by Craig Erlam
France outperforms after weekend election
European stocks are slipping again at the start of what is likely to be another very lively week in financial markets. That has very much become the norm this year for obvious reasons but this week has an interesting mix of central bank decisions, the start of earnings season and major data releases which will keep us all on our toes. And then of course there's China, where restrictions are causing concern, property firms are back in the spotlight and policymakers could unleash some support afte
by Craig Erlam
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