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Yen drifting ahead of household spending
The Japanese yen has been drifting for most of the week and is almost unchanged today, trading just shy of the 136.00 level. Japan releases household spending on Friday. After a decline of 1.7% YoY in April, the key consumer indicator is forecast to bounce back in May with a gain of 2.1%.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil takes a tumble, gold in trouble
Asia buys oil after another overnight slump Oil had another hugely volatile session overnight as hawkish FOMC minutes and recession fears prompted more long liquidation and attracted algo-driven momentum sellers. Brent crude tumbled by 4.80% to USD 99.75 a barrel in another mind-boggling session.
by Jeffrey Halley
US dollar rally continues unabated
US dollar rises on hawkish FOMC minutes The US dollar continued its upward momentum overnight after hawkish FOMC Minutes lifted US bond yields higher across the curve. Recession nerves are also serving the greenback well as haven inflows continue to boost it.
by Jeffrey Halley
Asian heavyweights rally on lower oil prices
Asian equity markets rise as crude falls The North Asian energy-importing heavyweights are booking impressive gains today as Brent crude slumped to around USD 100 a barrel overnight. In contrast, Wall Street had a restrained session as hawkish FOMC Minutes push US yields higher and tempered that genetically programmed urge to by the dip.
by Jeffrey Halley
FOMC minutes reality check
FOMC to remain aggressive with rate policy US markets got little solace but more clarity from the FOMC Minutes overnight. It was clear from the minutes that the committee members remained highly focused on culling inflation, even if it was at the expense of a sharp economic slowdown.
by Jeffrey Halley
Market Insights Podcast (Episode 349)
Recession watch   Senior Market Analyst Jeffrey Halley talks about news impacting the market and the week ahead.   In this week's episode, Jeffrey Halley is filling in for a holidaying Craig Erlam. Market volatility continues to percolate at boiling point as asset markets try to price in a recession, or not!
by Jeffrey Halley
Euro slide continues
Euro tumbles below 1.02 The month of July has been an unmitigated disaster for the euro - with only three trading sessions in the books, EUR/USD has declined a staggering 2.73%. Earlier in the day, the euro dropped to 1.0186, its lowest level since December 2002.
by Kenneth Fisher
Pound stabilizes after tumble
The British pound has edged lower today after a massive slide of 1.18% yesterday. GBP/USD is trading at 1.1944 in the European session, down 0.14% on the day.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil tumbles on recession nerves, gold slides
Oil plummets overnight on recession fears Recession fears saw oil markets plummet overnight, with both Brent crude and WTI taking out their 2022 rising support lines in no uncertain terms. Brent crude slumped by 7.90% to USD 104.75, having tested USD 101.00 a barrel intraday.
by Jeffrey Halley
​US dollar soars on haven demand
US dollar broadly higher as risk sentiment fizzles The US dollar soared versus both developed and emerging market currencies overnight, as recession fears saw a spike in haven demand for US dollars. Quite a bit of that looks to have been recycled into US bond markets as well, adding to the recessionary downward pressure on yields.
by Jeffrey Halley
Asian down on recession, Covid fears
Asian equities slump on China lockdown fears US equities endured a torrid session overnight, dropping initially, but then rallying hard as US yields fell across the curve. With markets racing to price in a US recession, the US equity performance was somewhat counterintuitive with the rate-sensitive Nasdaq outperforming.
by Jeffrey Halley
Recession meltdown
Recession fears buffeted markets overnight, with the price action across various asset classes looking like a self-sustaining negative feedback loop, triggering more stop losses as prices slumped and dragging in trend-following momentum-hunting fast money. European equities, euro take a tumble Europe endured a torrid day as the Norwegian oil worker strike proved the last straw for an energy-starved Europe. European equities plummeted and rightly so, as Europe's energy-from-Russia Achilles heel w
by Jeffrey Halley
Pound dives below 1.19 as dollar soars
The British pound has taken a nasty tumble today, falling 1.63%. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading just above the 1.1900 line. Bailey warns about economic outlook The US dollar is having its way with all of the major currencies today, with the exception of the Japanese yen.
by Kenneth Fisher
Euro tumbles to 20-year low
Euro slides below 1.03 The euro enjoyed a quiet Monday, as the currency markets were calm with US markets closed for a holiday. The euro started the Tuesday session without incident, but the roof fell in late in the Asian session.
by Kenneth Fisher
Aussie slammed after RBA hike
The Australian dollar is sharply lower on Tuesday. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6796, down 1.0% on the day. RBA hikes by 0.50%, Aussie plunges The RBA delivered a 0.50% rate hike for a second straight month, bringing the cash rate to 1.35%.
by Kenneth Fisher
Asian equities China tariff rally fades
China's Covid flare-up weighs on Asian markets US OTC equity markets were closed overnight for the July 4th holiday, but US futures posted consistent gains as markets pinned their hopes on a reduction of US tariffs on Chinese goods this week. S&P 500 futures are 0.40% higher, Nasdaq futures have rallied by 0.85%, and Dow futures have gained 0.55%. That theme saw Asian markets open higher this morning, but that rally seems to have faded as the session marched on.
by Jeffrey Halley
Oil stable, gold vulnerable
Oil is steady in Asia Oil price continued their recovery from Thursday’s recession-fear sell-off as the supply-demand balance in the real world continues to underpin prices in the futures market. Brent crude rose by 2.15% overnight, easing 0.35% to USD 113.40 a barrel in subdued Asian trading.
by Jeffrey Halley
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