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Week Ahead - Jobs report eyed
It remains all about the Fed as it continues down an aggressive tightening path.  Wall Street will now fixated on how quick this economy is going to weaken.  A weakening consumer will help drive down inflation but so far this economy has shown a lot of resilience in the service sector.  Investors will have a handful of key economic releases to follow this week.  On Monday, the ISM manufacturing report is expected to soften but still remain in expansion territory while prices paid, new orders
by Craig Erlam
A busy end to the week
Stock markets are bouncing back on Friday, although I don't think anyone is getting excited by the moves which pale in comparison to the losses that preceded them. This looks like nothing more than a dead cat bounce after a steep decline over the last couple of weeks as investors have been forced to once again accept that interest rates are going to rise further and faster than hoped. Double-digit eurozone inflation Inflation in the eurozone hit 10% in September ahead of schedule, with markets e
by Craig Erlam
Oil edges higher, gold rally continues
Oil edges higher into the weekend Oil prices are rising again as we head into the weekend, with the focus now on the OPEC+ meeting next week. There's been plenty of rumours about how the alliance will respond to the deteriorating economic outlook and lower prices.
by Craig Erlam
EUR/USD falls as inflation jumps
The euro is showing limited movement today, after a two-day rally. In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 0.9759, down 0.55%. It has been a week of swings for the euro, which has traded in a 300-point range.
by Kenneth Fisher
Japanese yen shrugs after solid data
The yen has been drifting for most of the week and the trend is continuing today. USD/JPY is almost unchanged at 144.32. Japanese data surprises on the upside Japan has released strong industrial production and retail sales data, a further indication that the Japanese economy is improving.
by Kenneth Fisher
Pound takes a breather after wild ride
British pound calm after tumultous week The British pound has posted slight gains, after a spectacular showing on Thursday. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.1145, up 0.26%. For anyone looking for lots of volatility, look no further.
by Kenneth Fisher
US close – stocks slump on Fed hawks and hot economic data, Apple and Meta hit hard, dollar softens into quarter-end, oil falls, gold pared losses, bitcoin holds onto $19k
US stocks are weakening once again after hot inflation readings and another round of hawkish Fed speak. Risky assets don’t stand a chance of a meaningful rally if the economy continues to show resilience while inflation continues to be significantly above the Fed’s Funds rate. ​ Fed’s Mester signaled that a recession won’t prevent the Fed from tightening policy further and Bullard reiterated their determination to get rates to a level that can cool inflation. ​ Big-Tech Woes
by Edward Moya
Stubborn inflation
Another miserable day for European equity markets as the prospect of recession becomes ever more real. US markets aren't faring any better after the jobless claims data that showed the labour market is still performing remarkably well despite all of the challenges the economy faces. While that would ordinarily be celebrated, on this occasion that resilience could translate to stubborn inflation and more rate hikes. Focus will now shift to inflation, income and spending figures tomorrow.
by Craig Erlam
Oil in choppy waters, gold recovers
Oil choppy amid OPEC+ rumours The battle between the economic outlook and OPEC+ continues in the oil market, with prices boosted by reports of discussions between producers around an output cut ahead of the meeting next week. This shouldn't come as a huge surprise under the circumstances as the alliance has previously alluded to its willingness to cut further if fundamentals change. The question is whether they'll take the leap given the enormous uncertainty in the economic outlook at this poi
by Craig Erlam
Australian dollar remains volatile
AUD/USD has reversed directions today and is down 1.07%, trading at 0.6425. Aussie roller-coaster continues The currency markets have been busy this week, and the Australian dollar hasn't missed out on the action. On Wednesday, AUD/USD traded in a range of almost 200 points and ended the day with sharp gains of 1.3%, but has pared most of those gains today.
by Kenneth Fisher
Canadian dollar slides, GDP next
The Canadian dollar continues to show sharp volatility this week. USD/CAD has jumped 0.65% today and is trading at 1.3693. We are seeing significant volatility in the currency markets this week, with weaker risk appetite propelling the US dollar higher.
by Kenneth Fisher
GBP/USD slides as turmoil continues
Pound sharply lower despite BoE intervention The roller-coaster continues for the British pound, which is down sharply today. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.0774, down 1.05%. It has been a remarkable week for the British pound, which has exhibited sharp volatility since Friday, when Chancellor Kwarteng unveiled his mini-budget.
by Kenneth Fisher
Market Insights Podcast (Episode 380)
Jonny Hart discusses what is driving markets today with OANDA Senior Market Analyst Ed Moya in New York.  This week they talk about US stock market volatility, BOE action, the short-term backdrop for crypto, and end on a positive note with Biogen's landmark Alzheimer's data.
by Edward Moya
Stocks rally as BOE intervenes, promising news from Biogen, bitcoin
US stocks are rallying after the BOE’s intervention tentatively halted the bond market selloff. ​ The theme on Wall Street is rising risks for a hard landing next year, while we are hearing a steady chorus of Fed speak that mostly confirmed the market’s expectation that rates will rise to 4.25%-4.50% by the end of the year. Some traders are growing confident that we are close to seeing the end of the Fed's tightening cycle, but that is still too early to say. BOE The UK economy was hit with Br
by Edward Moya
Energy traders eye OPEC+ supply cuts, gold rallies as yields tank
Oil Energy traders are widely awaiting the next OPEC+ meeting that will likely make sure the oil market remains tight. ​ Oil is back above the $80 level on seasonal stockpiling, some resilience in the economy that is delaying recession risks, and mostly on expectations OPEC+ will cut production between 500k and 1 million bpd.
by Edward Moya
GBP/USD jumps after BoE intervention
The pound started the day with losses but has reversed directions and soared in the North American session. GBP/USD is trading at 1.0838, up 0.98%. Bank of England steps in to calm markets The new Truss government has started off on the left foot, sending the pound to a record low in the process.
by Kenneth Fisher
EUR/USD falls to new 20-year low
The euro is in negative territory today, after posting six straight days of losses. EUR/USD is trading at 0.9553 in Europe, down 0.41%. Referendums, Nord Stream explosions weigh on euro September can't end fast enough for the euro, which has declined a massive 4.8% against the dollar.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil pares gains, gold loses ground
Oil rebound brief as gas spikes amid sabotage on Nord Stream pipelines Oil prices rebounded on Tuesday but that proved to be only a brief correction as economic doom and gloom has driven them lower again this morning. With Brent trading only a little above $80 and WTI below, you have to wonder how much more OPEC+ will tolerate and the size of output cut they may be considering next week in light of the new economic outlook and price. Gas prices have also been highly volatile in light of the late
by Craig Erlam
No letting up
It would appear we're in for another day of risk-off trade, with parts of Asia recording heavy losses and Europe opening on the backfoot. Fear of tightening-induced recessions has wiped out the recovery we saw in stock markets over the bulk of the summer as investors were once again burned by an over-eagerness to catch the bottom in the market despite there being little evidence of it being justified. That fear has now gripped the markets and we may see a little more caution going forward as the
by Craig Erlam
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