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Wind out of the sails
Stock markets are making small losses on Tuesday, while US futures are relatively unchanged ahead of the open. The recovery rally has lost momentum in recent sessions which is understandable after that jobs report. That's not to say optimism can't and won't return but that wages component was a huge body blow.
by Craig Erlam
Oil remains volatile, gold pares losses
The only guarantee for oil markets It's been a volatile start to the week in oil markets, continuing in much the same way we ended last, with traders still working through the announcements from the G7 and OPEC+, as well as the latest Covid moves from China. In many ways, none of the above improve visibility in the crude oil space; they arguably actually make the outlook more uncertain. But the intial response to the above has seemingly been negative for crude prices, with the loosening of Chine
by Craig Erlam
USD/CAD eyes Bank of Canada meet
The Canadian dollar is slightly lower on Tuesday. In the European session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3620, up 0.24%. What does the Bank of Canada have planned? The Bank of Canada has been aggressive in its tightening, including a whopping full-point hike in July, which brought the cash rate to 2.50%.
by Kenneth Fisher
Aussie steadies as RBA hikes by 25 bp
The Australian dollar is in positive territory on Tuesday, after sustaining losses of 1.4% a day earlier. In European trade, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6721, up 0.35%. RBA raises cash rate by 25 bp The Reserve Bank of Australia lifted interest rates by 25 basis points, bringing the cash rate to 3.1%.
by Kenneth Fisher
ISM Service Index sends stocks lower, Crypto volatility
US stocks are declining as Wall Street debates whether this bear market rally has finally come to an end. ​ With the exception of an inflation-fueled ISM Services index, it should be relatively on the data front until Friday’s one-two punch of PPI and the University of Michigan report.
by Edward Moya
Oil rallies post OPEC+/Russian price cap, gold tumbles
Oil Oil prices are rallying as OPEC+ has shown it is committed to keeping prices supported and on optimism China will continue to loosen Covid controls. ​ Risk appetite on Wall Street is fading away and that might prevent crude prices from pushing much higher right now.
by Edward Moya
Euro dips lower on weak euro data
EUR/USD is steady at the start of the week. In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0534, down 0.06%. The US dollar has been struggling and fell 1.5% against the euro last week.
by Kenneth Fisher
Market Insights Podcast (Episode 407)
OANDA Senior Market Analyst Craig Erlam reviews the latest market news with Jonny Hart. They discussed the aftermath of the US jobs report, further reports of China loosening Covid restrictions, PMIs and how oil has responded to the G7 Russian oil price cap and OPEC+.
by Craig Erlam
USD/JPY roars back after solid NFP
The Japanese yen has been on an impressive streak but has dropped sharply on Monday. USD/JPY is trading at 135.83, up 1.13% on the day. Nonfarm payrolls boosts US dollar The US dollar is showing some signs of life, courtesy of Friday's US employment report, which was stronger than expected.
by Kenneth Fisher
A nervy start to the week
What could have been a really positive week for equity markets is off to a much more nervy start, with stocks in Europe treading water and US futures slightly lower. The US jobs report on Friday was red hot once more, extinguishing any hope that investors could hop aboard the Fed pivot train and ride stock markets higher into year-end. Perhaps it's not quite so dramatic but it was a real setback, something we should be used to by now. The wages component was the killer blow.
by Craig Erlam
Oil higher, gold retreats
Oil higher as China looks to ease Covid restrictions Oil prices are higher on Monday, rallying 2%, after the G7 imposed a $60 price cap on Russian oil and OPEC+ announced no new output cuts. Both bring a degree of uncertainty, with the details of the cap and the impact on Russian sales still unclear. From the OPEC+ perspective, it can't be easy to make reliable forecasts against that backdrop and the constantly evolving Covid situation in China, which currently looks far more promising from a de
by Craig Erlam
Australian dollar calm ahead of RBA
The Australian dollar has posted slight gains at the start of the trading week. AUD/USD is trading at 0.6801, up 0.10%. RBA likely to deliver 25-bp hike The Reserve Bank of Australia meets on Tuesday and is expected to hike by 25 bp for a third straight time.
by Kenneth Fisher
Market Insights Podcast (Episode 406)
Jonny Hart looks back on the week's business and markets news with OANDA Senior Market Analyst Ed Moya in New York.  This week they talk about a hot nonfarm payroll report, what is driving the oil markets, and discuss Bitcoin resilience.  They also discuss what the week ahead has in store for financial markets.
by Edward Moya
NFP React: Fed bets rise post hot NFP report, stocks lower, oil awaits big week ahead, gold dips, cryptos little changed
US stocks tumbled after the nonfarm payroll report showed the labor market, especially wage pressures, is not cooling quickly at all. ​ Wall Street is scratching its head as a lot of traders expected to see a labor market slowdown accelerate. A headline gain of 263,000 jobs was almost above the most optimistic estimate and the gain with wages was jaw-dropping.
by Edward Moya
Week Ahead - The calm before the storm
US After a hotter-than-expected NFP report, investors will fixate on producer prices, inflation expectations, and retail earnings. It will be a busy week filled with a wide range of economic releases, but the big ones, PPI and University of Michigan sentiment are released at the end of the week.  Producer prices are expected to cool again, while the consumers’ current conditions and expectations should soften.     Wall Street is looking for clearer signals that the labor market is softening an
by Craig Erlam
Oil risk, gold steadies, bitcoin cautious
Steady going into a highly uncertain weekend Oil prices are quite steady on approach to the weekend. There remains considerable uncertainty around the action OPEC+ will take when it meets on Sunday, although there's every chance that the meeting will be delayed or that discussions take longer than normal, as a result of the price cap being finalized by the EU. A cap of around $60 is now reportedly close to being signed off, the impact of which is still unclear as Russia already sells to its tr
by Craig Erlam
Euro pauses after sharp gains, NFP looms
EUR/USD is unchanged on Friday, trading at 1.0524. US nonfarm payrolls expected to drop to 200K The week wraps up with one of most important releases on the calendar, US nonfarm payrolls. The robust labour market is showing signs of cooling down, as rising interest rates have slowed economic activity.
by Kenneth Fisher
Australian dollar steady ahead of NFP
The Australian dollar has posted small gains today and is trading at 0.6816. After starting the week with sharp losses, AUD/USD has rebounded and hit a 13-week high on Thursday, at 0.6845. All eyes on US nonfarm payrolls Today's highlight is the US nonfarm employment report, with a consensus of 200,000 for November.
by Kenneth Fisher
Brent Crude - Immense uncertainty
OANDA Senior Market Analyst Craig Erlam discusses the latest crude moves against the backdrop of record Covid cases in China, an imminent EU decision on the Russian oil price cap, and the weekend OPEC+ meeting.
by Craig Erlam
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