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An encouraging end to the week for stock markets
An action-packed end to the week, month, and quarter sees equity markets cautiously higher going into the weekend. If we end the week in the green, that's a big deal considering how almost disastrous the rest of the month was. Confidence is easily shattered and difficult to restore and a positive end to the week would send a strong signal that investors are feeling reassured by the lack of turmoil recently. We saw quite the opposite a week ago, as a spike in Deutsche Bank credit default swaps tr
by Craig Erlam
Oil recovering slowly, can gold hit $2000?
Economic fears weigh on oil recovery Oil prices are continuing to gradually recover but remain way off pre-banking mini-crisis levels. The prolonged economic scarring of the last month will likely slow the economy if not cause a recession and lower interest rate expectations are not enough to support oil prices in the short term. They continue to trade around the range lows from the months that preceded recent events and may struggle to reestablish themselves around those previous levels.
by Craig Erlam
USD/CAD rally continues, GDP next
The Canadian dollar is looking sharp, with gains of 1.5% this week against the greenback. The week wraps up with Canadian GDP, while the US releases the Core PCE Price Index.
by Kenneth Fisher
Stock market recovery continues as investors eye jobless claims
Stock markets are in the green once more on Thursday, with confidence slowly returning as we near the end of the second week without serious drama. Of course, I'm not including the bank sell-off we saw late last week considering there was no obvious trigger, and fear and panic played a huge role in it. That was more a symptom of what preceded it than evidence of further vulnerabilities in the banking sector. That isn't to say that other vulnerabilities and casualties won't emerge but investors w
by Craig Erlam
Oil gains ground as risk appetite improves, gold steady
Oil prices have continued to recoup losses in recent days as sentiment has improved, yields have edged higher and global economic prospects have improved. Recent volatility has been a firm reminder of the uncertainty that lies ahead, even as we seemingly near the end of the tightening cycles.
by Craig Erlam
AUD/USD - Aussie falls as inflation dips
The Australian dollar is trading at 0.6670 in Europe, down 0.57%. Australian inflation was lower than expected, raising speculation that the Reserve Bank of Australia might pause at its April meeting. RBA keeping eye on retail sales and inflation ahead of rate meeting Australia's inflation rate for February eased to 6.7% y/y, down from 7.4% prior and the 7.2% estimate.
by Kenneth Fisher
Gradual recovery
Equity markets are edging higher again today, a sign of gradually improving confidence following a relatively drama-free weekend. As we saw on Friday though, anxiety remains high and things quickly spiral in those circumstances so investors are likely to remain vigilant. The dust is still settling but every passing day rebuilds confidence and allows investors to feel a little bit more relaxed.
by Craig Erlam
Oil rally continues, gold treading water
A cautious recovery Oil prices are continuing to recover after popping higher at the start of the week. There's been a broad improvement in risk appetite at the start of the week thanks to a weekend without drama in the banks.
by Craig Erlam
USD/JPY - Japanese yen tests 131, BOJ Core CPI eases
The Japanese yen is in positive territory and broke below the 131 line in the Asian session. USD/JPY is trading at 131.17, in Europe, down 0.30% on the day. BoJ inflation indicator eases BoJ Core CPI, the preferred inflation gauge of the central bank, dropped to 2.7% in February, down from 3.1% in January and below the estimate of 3.5%.
by Kenneth Fisher
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