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NZD/USD slide continues as Services PMI decelerates

New Zealand Services PMI declines in March US retail sales fall, inflation expectations jump NZD/USD falls to 3-week low New Zealand Services PSI declines New Zealand's services sector saw expansion levels ease in March. The BusinessNZ PSI (Performance of Services Index) fell to 54.4, down from 55.8 in February but well above the 50.0 line which separates contraction from expansion.

17-04-2023 10:45 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

USD/JPY - Yen falls below 134 as US dollar gains strength

USD/JPY slips to 1-month low US retail sales fall for second straight month Fed members Waller and Bostic urge more rate hikes Japanese yen extends losses The Japanese yen took it on the chin on Friday, as USD/JPY jumped 0.90%. The yen has edged lower on Monday and fell as low as 134.22, its lowest level since March 15th.

17-04-2023 06:58 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

AUD/USD - Australian dollar takes traders for a wild ride

US retail sales decelerate sharply in May US bank earnings were solid Markets have priced a May rate hike at 80% AUD/USD steady after swings of over 1% late last week The Australian dollar has steadied on Monday, trading just above the 0.67 level. We could see further movement from the Aussie early on Tuesday, as China releases GDP. Aussie sinks after strong US earnings, Fed speak The markets received another clear sign on Friday that the US economy is slowing, after a disappointing March ret

17-04-2023 04:19 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Week Ahead - All eyes on China's GDP, UK CPI, Flash PMIs, and Earnings

The first few banks are delivering a strong start to earnings season, reigniting soft landing calls, while large parts of Wall Street remain confident that the economy is recession bound as expectations remain that banking turmoil will persist. Fed rate cut bets for later in the year have steadily increased and that has kept the dollar under pressure.

14-04-2023 15:58 GMT by Edward Moya

Market Insights Podcast (Episode 554); June Rate Hike Odds Sink Risk Appetite

OANDA Senior Market Analyst Ed Moya reviews the latest market news with Jonny Hart. They discuss the University of Michigan inflation expectations, JPMorgan's impressive earnings, weakening retail sales, cryptos, and the week ahead.

14-04-2023 15:48 GMT by Edward Moya

Oil rallies, Gold's record run ends for now, Cryptos shine

Oil shrugs off OPEC demand warnings Gold tumbles after failing to reach record highs Ethereum momentum remains post Shapella upgrade Oil Oil’s fourth weekly advance has been mostly relentless as the OPEC+ output cut has sent global oil markets to a very deep supply deficit. The risk of a couple million-barrel deficit in the second half of the year should keep prices supported regardless of whatever noise emerges from the Fed contemplating another quarter-point or so in rate hikes. Energy trad

14-04-2023 15:16 GMT by Edward Moya

Bank Earnings Impress, Inflation Expectations and Hawkish Fed Speak rattles stocks

Fed rate hike odds emerge for June meeting +16.7% UMich keeps Fed focused on inflation fight Early bank earnings impress Wall Street got scared after strong results from JPMorgan, surging inflation expectations, and some hawkish Fed speak, supported the idea that the Fed could raise rates not just in May but also in June. There was too much news to digest this morning, but the key takeaway is that the Fed has room to do more harm.

14-04-2023 14:59 GMT by Edward Moya

GBP/USD - Another strong week for the British pound, will US retail sales slip?

British pound has jumped close to 500 points over past five weeks UK economy grappling with high inflation, widespread strikes US retail sales expected to decline in March British pound rallies, but UK economy struggling The British pound is poised to post its fifth successive winning week. During this time, the GBP/USD has sparkled, rallying almost 500 points. This week's UK releases have not been as positive as the pound's upswing.

14-04-2023 08:07 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

USD/JPY steady, BOJ's Ueda pledges to maintain policy, markets eye US retail sales

At G20 meeting, BoJ Governor Ueda says he'll maintain policy US markets brace for soft US retail sales BoJ's Ueda says he'll maintain policy It has been a light data calendar in Japan this week, leaving Bank of Japan Governor Ueda's remarks at a G20 meeting in Washington as the highlight of the week. Ueda took over as head of the central bank on Sunday and will chair his first BoJ policy meeting at the end of the month. Ueda didn't veer from the script which he has been using since his

14-04-2023 06:17 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

New Zealand dollar drifting after soft Manufacuturing PMI, markets brace for soft US retail sales

New Zealand Manufacturing PMI declines in March US retail sales expected to decline in March NZD/USD is trading quietly around the 0.6300 line New Zealand manufacturing declines New Zealand wrapped up the week on a sour note, as Manufacturing PMI for March slipped to 48.1, after a downwardly revised 51.7 in February and below the estimate of 51.0. A reading above 50.0 indicates expansion; below 50.0 indicates contraction.

14-04-2023 05:14 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Oil rally hits wall, Gold eyes record, Ethereum's successful upgrade

Oil slumps 1%, Delta optimistic on Q2 travel demand Gold less than $20 from record territory Ethereum rallies above $2,000 following Shapella Upgrade Oil It looks like the rally in crude prices has finally hit a wall. It was a busy week for energy traders with the EIA short-term energy outlook, Colombia’s global energy summit, the OPEC monthly report, and nationwide strikes impacting French oil product shipments. WTI crude couldn’t quite rally above the $83.45 level and traders decided that

13-04-2023 14:44 GMT by Edward Moya

Bad news is good news for stocks, Mixed Earnings from Delta and Fastenal

Stocks poised for best day in almost 2 months Euro hits highest levels in a year against dollar Early earnings paint mixed outlook US stocks are rallying as the economic data continues to soften and as corporate updates support the idea that the economy is gradually weakening. Bad news is once again good news for stocks. The US dollar softened after soft PPI data and rising jobless claims bolstered Fed rate cut bets. US Data Today’s inflation readings showed a little bit more softness as s

13-04-2023 14:35 GMT by Edward Moya

GBP/USD - Pound climbs to highest level since June 2022

British pound extends rally UK growth was flat in February US Producer Price Index contracted in March GBP/USD has edged higher and is trading around the 1.25 line. Earlier today, GBP/USD touched a high of 1.2537, its highest level since June 6th. UK GDP stalls The UK economy flatlined in February, versus an upwardly revised 0.4% gain in January and the consensus estimate of 0.1%.

13-04-2023 10:47 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

AUD/USD - Australian dollar jumps on sizzling jobs report

Australia added 53,000 new jobs in March Australian dollar climbs 0.50% RBA Deputy Governor Bullock says rate pause not related to banking crisis Australian job creation surges Australia posted a blowout employment report today, giving the Australian dollar a strong boost. The economy created 53,000 new jobs in March, after a downwardly revised 63,600 a month earlier.

13-04-2023 06:49 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

USD/CAD - Canadian dollar hits 2-month high as BoC pauses again

Bank of Canada pauses rates for second straight month US headline inflation drops to 5%, core rate rises to 5.6% Canadian dollar climbs to highest level since February 16 The Canadian dollar has extended its rally, and is up 0.29% today, trading at 1.3402 in Europe. Bank of Canada holds rates There wasn't much drama ahead of the Bank of Canada's decision to hold rates, as the non-move was widely expected. The benchmark cash rate is at 4.5% and the rate statement said that the BoC was prepare

13-04-2023 04:41 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Market Insights Podcast (Episode 553); Sticky Inflation, BOC Holds, Ethereum Watch Parties

OANDA Senior Market Analyst Ed Moya reviews the latest market news with Jonny Hart. They discuss the latest inflation report, the Bank of Canada rate decision, Bitcoin's great start to the year and Ethereum's Shanghai Upgrade. Inflation moderates as a half-point in rate cuts gets priced in by year end BOC holds and signals higher for longer Ethereum's Shanghai Upgrade is finally here

12-04-2023 15:34 GMT by Edward Moya

Oil gets a boost from CPI and EIA reports, Gold wavers, Bitcoin profit-taking

Oil nears 2023 high Gold will have to wait for its record run Bitcoin rally exhausted as profit-taking settles in Oil Crude prices are rallying after a moderating inflation report was followed by an EIA report that highlighted tightness at Cushing and strong gasoline demand. In addition to a double dose of bullish reports, oil got a boost from Energy Secretary Granholm's comment that said the US wants to soon bring back the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) back to pre-Ukraine War levels. Sh

12-04-2023 14:37 GMT by Edward Moya

Stocks waver as inflation concerns remain and Fed Minutes project a 'mild recession' later this year

Inflation is cooling but still nowhere near target Fed Minutes show policymakers are eyeing a mild recession this year Dollar softer as rate cut bets boosted post CPI and Minutes US stocks initially rallied after the March inflation report showed consumer prices are decelerating, prompting bets that the Fed might be done tightening. Wall Street wants the Fed to be done with this rate hiking campaign but with supercore inflation nowhere near target, more work needs to be done. The initial stoc

12-04-2023 14:25 GMT by Edward Moya

Fed dovishness emerges ahead of pivotal CPI report, Oil and gold rally, Ethereum's Shapella Upgrade is here

Stocks get a boost from a double dose of dovishness from Williams and Goolsbee Commodities rally as dollar softens Ethereum Shanghai Upgrade is here US stocks are mixed heading into a pivotal inflation report that should support one more rate hike by the Fed. Today’s headlines didn’t tell Wall Street anything it didn’t already know: IMF trimmed their growth outlook, Fed’s Williams supported one more hike, and CarMax earnings showed consumers are leaning towards older vehicles. CarMax is rally

11-04-2023 15:03 GMT by Edward Moya

Australian dollar edges higher as consumer sentiment soars

Australian consumer and business confidence head higher after RBA pause Australian dollar edges higher US releases CPI on Wednesday The Australian dollar has posted slight gains today. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6653, up 0.18%. Australian consumer sentiment jumps Australia's Westpac Consumer Sentiment was red-hot in April, climbing 9.4% to 85.8, up from 78.4 a month earlier.

11-04-2023 09:28 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

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